NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	107		Excitement	7.0 [452]		MVP	Marcus Thornton (WAS): +12.7%
Chicago Bulls	97		Comeback	3.4 [197]		LVP	Rajon Rondo (CHI): -26.2%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Thornton	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.04	0.09	0.00	9	56%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.00	0.00	5	80%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sheldon McClellan	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	3	70%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.02
Markieff Morris	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.02	0.06	-0.01	10	40%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	-0.01	0.03	14	66%	0.09	2	-0.05	7	71%	-0.00
Trey Burke	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.03	0.00	5	55%	0.08	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.03
Marcin Gortat	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	9	78%	0.12	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	46%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Bradley Beal	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.11,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.02	18	48%	0.05	2	-0.06	8	75%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	4	40%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.05	-0.02	4	56%	0.13	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Cristiano Felicio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	3	100%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.04	-0.02	11	45%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Mirotic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	10	55%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.03	0.01	5	60%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.05	-0.09	0.03	12	63%	0.03	2	-0.10	3	33%	-0.03
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	20	41%	-0.08	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.12	-0.06	-0.02	20	41%	-0.06	4	-0.09	9	89%	0.02
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.18	-0.09	-0.02	10	15%	-0.16	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.6	2.4	30.8	15.5	25.3	1.8	35.3	131.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +59.0%

WAS +2.6%

CHI -21.8%

WAS +14.6%

CHI -4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CHI	NBA	WAS	CHI	NBA
this game	13.4	16.1	14.8	109.2	100.0	107.7
season	14.4	15.1		109.9	105.9
opponent	14.8	14.9		105.9	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.2	12.2	13.1	13.2	13.4
CHI	14.1	15.5	20.2	15.1	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Markieff Morris	82	80	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.19	18	-8	26	13.1	15.2	-2.11	16.3	15.4	0.95
Bradley Beal	79	76	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.16	8	2	6	12.5	17.4	-4.90	15.9	17.1	-1.23
John Wall	77	74	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.23	2	8	-6	12.6	16.5	-3.95	16.1	16.3	-0.17
Kelly Oubre Jr.	44	44	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.23	2	8	-6	14.7	12.4	2.25	15.5	16.7	-1.24
Marcin Gortat	72	71	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.24	1	9	-8	12.7	15.3	-2.52	16.6	14.8	1.86
Jason Smith	24	24	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.06	6	4	2	15.7	12.7	3.09	15.0	16.5	-1.45
Trey Burke	21	23	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.02	8	2	6	16.5	12.6	3.95	16.3	16.1	0.17
Sheldon McClellan	37	38	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.13	10	0	10	12.3	14.1	-1.80	17.9	15.0	2.85
Marcus Thornton	28	30	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.01	2	8	-6	15.9	12.4	3.41	15.4	16.5	-1.11
Otto Porter	26	25	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.09	-7	17	-24	14.0	13.2	0.74	15.5	16.3	-0.83

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cristiano Felicio	15	15	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.05	0	-10	10	12.7	16.8	-4.10	16.7	12.8	3.84
Nikola Mirotic	42	42	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.20	5	-15	20	16.2	16.1	0.10	14.9	12.3	2.56
Robin Lopez	68	66	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.12	-2	-8	6	16.6	15.1	1.52	12.8	14.7	-1.88
Jerian Grant	24	26	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.08	-10	0	-10	15.6	16.3	-0.68	15.3	12.7	2.57
Doug McDermott	50	51	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.23	-1	-9	8	16.1	16.2	-0.07	13.8	13.0	0.72
Rajon Rondo	72	72	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.14	-5	-5	0	16.5	15.2	1.26	12.7	15.5	-2.83
Jimmy Butler	81	82	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.17	-6	-4	-2	16.0	16.9	-0.96	12.6	17.6	-5.03
Dwyane Wade	66	66	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.08	-11	1	-12	16.0	16.3	-0.28	13.9	12.3	1.60
Taj Gibson	67	70	-0.82	0.32	-1.13	-0.23	-20	10	-30	16.6	15.2	1.35	12.7	15.2	-2.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.5,0.62,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.38,0.43,0.57,0.42,0.26,0.29,0.17,0.1,0.11,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 89, GSW 82	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.68,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.59,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.48,0.47,0.36,0.24,0.27,0.19,0.21,0.06,0.04,0	92.9%
NOK 88, POR 75	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.04,0,0,0	92.9%
WAS 110, CLE 103	0.5,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.64,0.54,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.42,0.32,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.48,0.42,0.31,0.12,0.13,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.09,0	92.5%