NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	107		Excitement	7.0 [150]		MVP	Ivica Zubac (LAC): +18.0%
LA Clippers	114		Comeback	3.8 [207]		LVP	Bogdan Bogdanovi? (LAC): -26.4%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jrue Holiday	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.00	0.02	14	64%	0.10	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Donovan Clingan	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	6	64%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Matisse Thybulle	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.02	10	59%	0.05	1	-0.04	9	78%	-0.02
Yang Hansen	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Blake Wesley	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	7	35%	-0.02	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Kris Murray	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deni Avdija	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	0.02	-0.05	0.02	16	59%	0.07	5	-0.14	7	86%	0.02
Toumani Camara	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	8	28%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Shaedon Sharpe	-0.23	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.21,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.19	-0.09	-0.05	24	37%	-0.05	6	-0.18	4	100%	0.03

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ivica Zubac	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.12	0.05	-0.01	14	68%	0.20	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.14	0.03	0.01	21	65%	0.21	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
John Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.04	-0.04	8	94%	0.18	4	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.12	0.05	0.08	-0.00	4	75%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.04	-0.02	6	75%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.01	5	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	12	65%	0.16	7	-0.19	7	86%	0.02
Derrick Jones Jr.	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	3	67%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovi?	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.17	-0.10	-0.00	4	0%	-0.11	5	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.4	1.3	30.5	15.6	26.5	1.2	37.9	144.5
league avg	26.3	2.1	28.8	14.6	29.4	2.3	32.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +90.6%

POR -12.1%

POR -17.5%

POR -11.6%

LAC +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	LAC	NBA	POR	LAC	NBA
this game	12.3	15.5	14.1	103.9	109.6	113.7
season	13.5	15.4		112.1	112.6
opponent	13.8	13.9		117.1	116.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	13.4	10.3	13.7	11.8	12.3
LAC	14.5	15.8	15.1	16.6	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Yang Hansen	18	17	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.05	-5	-2	-3	13.7	12.0	1.70	16.0	15.4	0.61
Kris Murray	65	65	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.20	0	-7	7	13.1	10.8	2.29	16.0	14.6	1.48
Toumani Camara	86	86	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.36	4	-11	15	11.9	14.1	-2.15	16.1	12.7	3.35
Donovan Clingan	80	82	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.11	-5	-2	-3	12.6	10.9	1.74	15.5	15.5	-0.01
Deni Avdija	88	88	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.33	2	-9	11	11.9	14.4	-2.50	15.9	13.1	2.87
Matisse Thybulle	87	87	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.22	-2	-5	3	12.4	11.4	1.05	15.3	16.6	-1.31
Blake Wesley	77	80	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.13	-6	-1	-5	12.9	10.3	2.67	15.5	15.6	-0.12
Jerami Grant	97	97	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.33	0	-7	7	12.1	14.7	-2.55	15.8	11.3	4.51
Jrue Holiday	95	95	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.39	1	-8	9	12.0	15.1	-3.10	15.8	11.8	4.06
Shaedon Sharpe	103	104	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.29	-7	0	-7	12.3	0.0	12.26	15.5	0.0	15.49

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Collins	87	87	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.28	14	-7	21	16.0	13.1	2.91	12.5	10.9	1.57
Brook Lopez	66	66	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.09	17	-10	27	15.3	15.8	-0.43	13.7	9.7	3.95
James Harden	104	103	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.29	7	0	7	15.5	0.0	15.49	12.3	0.0	12.26
Nicolas Batum	102	102	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.24	9	-2	11	15.5	16.5	-1.03	12.3	6.0	6.32
Kris Dunn	66	67	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.25	7	0	7	16.9	13.1	3.76	12.4	12.1	0.32
Ivica Zubac	91	92	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.31	4	3	1	15.8	13.2	2.58	12.5	10.2	2.33
Kawhi Leonard	84	83	0.20	0.29	-0.09	0.32	-4	11	-15	16.2	12.4	3.83	11.8	14.0	-2.22
Bogdan Bogdanovi?	80	80	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.23	-1	8	-9	15.6	15.1	0.48	12.8	10.4	2.41
Chris Paul	21	22	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.18	-7	14	-21	18.0	14.9	3.08	13.2	12.0	1.23
Derrick Jones Jr.	59	59	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.07	-7	14	-21	16.2	14.6	1.53	12.2	12.3	-0.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.61,0.44,0.44,0.31,0.26,0.21,0.25,0.37,0.31,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.62,0.66,0.87,0.91,0.83,0.88,0.95,0.99,0.96,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 92, DEN 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.67,0.65,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.46,0.29,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.77,0.79,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1	92.7%
TOR 102, DAL 110	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.43,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.69,0.63,0.56,0.44,0.54,0.7,0.72,0.86,0.81,0.79,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.93,0.77,1,1	91.5%
CHA 91, ATL 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.67,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.41,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.37,0.36,0.52,0.68,0.65,0.76,0.63,0.63,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.7,0.86,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.86,0.96,1	91.2%