NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	102		Excitement	6.9 [468]		MVP	Norman Powell (TOR): +20.3%
Dallas Mavericks	110		Comeback	2.7 [568]		LVP	Pascal Siakam (TOR): -27.4%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Norman Powell	0.20	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.2	0.19	0.05	0.04	15	79%	0.24	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.02
Matt Thomas	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.01	0.00	5	100%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
OG Anunoby	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	6	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred VanVleet	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.00	18	60%	0.13	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.04	0.02	6	67%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Boucher	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Terence Davis	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	7	35%	-0.04	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Pascal Siakam	-0.27	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.25,-0.27,-0.27	-0.23	-0.08	-0.04	24	29%	-0.13	5	-0.15	3	33%	-0.03

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Delon Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.11	0.08	-0.02	8	83%	0.23	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Seth Curry	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.03	0.00	7	94%	0.19	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	2	100%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maxi Kleber	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.01	10	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kristaps Porzingis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.04	-0.02	20	43%	0.08	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	11	42%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Justin Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.04	-0.02	11	18%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luka Doncic	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.19,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.25,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.05	-0.04	0.07	14	55%	0.05	7	-0.21	19	79%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.1	2.3	27.4	15.0	23.1	2.4	35.7	134.9
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +15.2%

DAL +11.2%

DAL +24.7%

TOR -0.2%

TOR -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	DAL	NBA	TOR	DAL	NBA
this game	14.2	13.9	14.2	100.0	106.8	109.6
season	14.0	14.5		109.9	115.2
opponent	14.1	14.5		111.3	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	12.0	14.5	17.4	13.3	14.2
DAL	13.7	14.9	13.9	13.4	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Thomas	34	33	0.14	-0.64	0.79	-0.21	12	-20	32	14.5	14.0	0.51	14.8	13.5	1.29
Pascal Siakam	86	87	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.18	3	-11	14	14.2	14.1	0.04	14.1	12.9	1.26
Terence Davis	33	34	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.14	0	-8	8	14.2	14.1	0.04	14.1	13.9	0.22
Chris Boucher	26	27	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.16	-1	-7	6	13.8	14.3	-0.42	13.5	14.1	-0.62
Norman Powell	69	69	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.27	1	-9	10	14.2	14.2	0.01	14.1	13.6	0.48
Marc Gasol	56	55	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.02	-13	5	-18	15.5	12.5	2.94	13.8	14.1	-0.38
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	54	56	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.17	-8	0	-8	13.4	15.0	-1.55	13.9	14.0	-0.03
OG Anunoby	68	70	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.08	-12	4	-16	14.0	14.6	-0.60	13.7	14.4	-0.67
Fred VanVleet	84	84	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.13	-22	14	-36	13.8	15.6	-1.77	13.7	15.2	-1.56

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dorian Finney-Smith	69	67	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.09	12	-4	16	13.6	14.7	-1.14	14.2	14.1	0.06
Kristaps Porzingis	74	76	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.25	6	2	4	13.5	15.1	-1.57	15.1	11.5	3.51
Luka Doncic	78	77	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.02	14	-6	20	13.8	14.4	-0.61	14.0	14.8	-0.80
Dwight Powell	32	31	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.15	5	3	2	14.5	13.7	0.81	13.1	14.6	-1.52
Maxi Kleber	81	80	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.08	7	1	6	14.1	13.5	0.62	14.2	14.1	0.03
Seth Curry	67	68	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.17	1	7	-6	14.1	13.6	0.47	14.5	13.4	1.07
Delon Wright	42	40	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.14	2	6	-4	14.4	13.6	0.78	13.2	14.7	-1.49
Jalen Brunson	19	19	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.20	-1	9	-10	12.9	14.2	-1.22	15.6	13.8	1.75
Tim Hardaway Jr.	42	42	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.14	0	8	-8	14.4	13.6	0.74	13.0	14.9	-1.93
Justin Jackson	11	10	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.08	-6	14	-20	15.0	13.8	1.18	15.2	14.0	1.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.43,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.69,0.63,0.56,0.44,0.54,0.7,0.72,0.86,0.81,0.79,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.93,0.77,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 92, DEN 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.67,0.65,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.46,0.29,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.77,0.79,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1	91.9%
OKC 119, NOP 123	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.64,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.79,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.96,1	91.5%
CLE 99, WAS 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.46,0.41,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.62,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.95,0.89,0.89,0.82,1	91.3%