NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	119		Excitement	6.9 [454]		MVP	Toney Douglas (NOP): +22.7%
New Orleans Pelicans	123		Comeback	1.6 [368]		LVP	Kyle Singler (OKC): -6.7%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Russell Westbrook	0.16	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.16	0.26	0.01	0.11	25	69%	0.22	2	-0.06	14	79%	0.01
Kevin Durant	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08	0.10	0.02	0.03	23	64%	0.19	4	-0.10	4	75%	0.00
Randy Foye	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.05	0.00	4	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	7	57%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dion Waiters	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	7	57%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	11	58%	0.10	3	-0.10	4	75%	0.01
Nick Collison	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	67%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Andre Roberson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Singler	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.11	0.12	-0.00	7	86%	0.23	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.08	0.09	-0.00	22	57%	0.19	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.05	0.00	12	79%	0.23	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.04
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.04	0.00	6	83%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	26	51%	0.08	2	-0.06	7	86%	0.03
Norris Cole	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.03	14	64%	0.11	4	-0.10	5	100%	0.03
Kendrick Perkins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alexis Ajinca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.7	28.2	18.3	28.5	2.7	37.2	142.6
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +22.8%

NOP +6.0%

NOP +7.6%

NOP +11.9%

NOP +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	NOP	NBA	OKC	NOP	NBA
this game	15.1	14.5	14.9	125.3	123.0	105.1
season	14.4	14.3		111.5	104.3
opponent	15.0	15.1		107.9	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	15.6	12.9	17.6	14.5	15.1
NOP	14.5	14.3	14.4	14.8	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Collison	8	9	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-5	6	14.9	15.1	-0.19	15.3	14.4	0.92
Russell Westbrook	75	77	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.24	6	-10	16	14.9	15.5	-0.57	14.7	13.8	0.93
Andre Roberson	40	43	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.00	-3	-1	-2	15.5	14.7	0.82	16.2	13.2	3.04
Steven Adams	36	39	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-1	-2	15.3	14.9	0.36	16.3	13.3	2.96
Kyle Singler	36	38	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.15	0	-4	4	15.7	14.7	0.99	12.7	15.6	-2.93
Serge Ibaka	70	75	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.24	0	-4	4	15.1	14.8	0.34	14.4	14.7	-0.29
Randy Foye	37	37	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.32	0	-4	4	13.9	15.8	-1.90	13.9	14.8	-0.92
Dion Waiters	61	63	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.46	2	-6	8	14.4	16.2	-1.75	14.1	15.1	-1.01
Enes Kanter	35	35	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.08	-16	12	-28	17.1	13.9	3.22	13.1	15.2	-2.13
Kevin Durant	77	84	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.41	-7	3	-10	14.6	17.0	-2.40	14.5	14.6	-0.07

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dante Cunningham	88	84	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.34	8	-4	12	14.7	12.7	2.08	14.5	19.0	-4.46
Jrue Holiday	53	52	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.33	8	-4	12	13.5	15.6	-2.15	15.9	14.0	1.88
Toney Douglas	30	28	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.18	6	-2	8	14.1	14.7	-0.57	16.5	14.4	2.10
Ryan Anderson	55	53	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.39	-2	6	-8	14.1	15.0	-0.95	13.8	16.6	-2.77
Anthony Davis	78	73	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.24	1	3	-2	14.7	13.8	0.93	15.7	13.0	2.61
Kendrick Perkins	27	27	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.11	5	-1	6	13.2	15.0	-1.80	15.6	14.9	0.70
Norris Cole	73	69	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.23	-3	7	-10	14.6	14.1	0.53	14.4	16.7	-2.26
Alexis Ajinca	37	35	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.04	5	-1	6	15.6	13.8	1.82	15.7	14.7	1.05
Luke Babbitt	9	8	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.03	-2	6	-8	13.6	14.6	-1.04	19.9	14.6	5.27
Alonzo Gee	50	46	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.11	-6	10	-16	15.3	13.7	1.68	13.9	16.2	-2.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.64,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.79,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 72, CLE 91	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.82,0.88,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.4%
DET 86, IND 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.83,1	94.3%
LAC 98, LAL 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.4,0.48,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.99,1,1,1	94.3%