NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	86		Excitement	7.0 [410]		MVP	Erick Strickland (IND): +18.3%
Indiana Pacers	88		Comeback	1.7 [690]		LVP	Clifford Robinson (DET): -12.5%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chauncey Billups	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08	0.00	0.11	0.04	17	54%	0.13	2	-0.05	5	100%	-0.01
Chucky Atkins	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	7	29%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	10	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.05	-0.04	0.03	8	67%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Richard Hamilton	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	13	50%	-0.03	1	-0.04	6	50%	-0.05
Ben Wallace	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	3	37%	-0.05	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Clifford Robinson	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	18	32%	-0.10	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.07	0.11	-0.00	7	71%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	-0.01	-0.01	15	58%	0.07	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.01	0.01	10	72%	0.10	2	-0.05	9	100%	0.06
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	11	68%	0.11	3	-0.08	6	100%	0.03
Ron Mercer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.03	-0.03	-0.15	0.10	-0.02	18	40%	0.25	4	-0.28	6	17%	-0.07
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	5	0%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	1.8	28.2	15.6	30.3	2.5	39.7	141.6
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +54.5%

IND +15.7%

DET -0.1%

DET -24.1%

IND +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	IND	NBA	DET	IND	NBA
this game	17.3	15.6	15.5	97.7	101.1	101.6
season	16.8	15.4		101.7	102.2
opponent	15.5	15.6		99.2	97.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	18.8	16.5	15.1	19.2	17.3
IND	13.0	15.6	14.9	19.8	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chucky Atkins	21	22	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.23	10	-12	22	17.4	17.3	0.13	18.4	14.7	3.67
Mehmet Okur	32	32	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.20	4	-6	10	18.2	16.7	1.47	17.7	14.4	3.27
Jon Barry	43	42	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.51	12	-14	26	17.9	16.7	1.17	17.5	13.8	3.73
Corliss Williamson	53	52	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.18	-1	-1	0	18.1	16.1	1.99	15.9	15.3	0.61
Richard Hamilton	57	58	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.11	-6	4	-10	16.9	17.9	-0.96	14.6	17.7	-3.05
Clifford Robinson	72	72	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.33	1	-3	4	16.8	19.6	-2.78	15.3	17.3	-2.07
Michael Curry	23	22	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.08	-9	7	-16	15.2	18.0	-2.86	14.0	16.2	-2.11
Chauncey Billups	67	65	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.23	-12	10	-22	17.3	17.4	-0.13	14.7	18.4	-3.67
Ben Wallace	72	70	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.33	-9	7	-16	17.4	16.9	0.50	15.0	18.0	-2.96

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brad Miller	78	80	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.34	11	-9	20	15.3	18.2	-2.90	17.6	14.4	3.20
Erick Strickland	39	39	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.49	2	0	2	17.3	14.3	3.01	19.1	15.9	3.17
Metta World Peace	69	70	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.45	2	0	2	15.9	14.6	1.27	17.0	18.6	-1.60
Reggie Miller	63	65	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.18	9	-7	16	14.6	18.2	-3.63	16.8	18.8	-2.03
Jermaine O'Neal	76	76	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.41	0	2	-2	15.9	13.4	2.58	17.5	15.8	1.68
Al Harrington	43	43	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.20	-2	4	-6	16.4	14.9	1.53	18.1	16.5	1.58
Jamaal Tinsley	48	49	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.03	0	2	-2	14.3	17.3	-3.01	15.9	19.1	-3.17
Ron Mercer	19	18	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.17	-12	14	-26	16.2	15.5	0.69	16.3	17.5	-1.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 119, NOP 123	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.64,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.79,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.96,1	94.3%
PHI 83, MIA 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.38,0.45,0.51,0.63,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.99,1,1,1	93.5%
PHI 81, CHI 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.92,0.86,0.85,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.5%