NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	83		Excitement	6.1 [625]		MVP	Damon Jones (MIA): +20.4%
Miami Heat	93		Comeback	1.8 [831]		LVP	Udonis Haslem (MIA): -16.0%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corliss Williamson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	8	64%	0.02	0	0.00	12	67%	-0.06
Kyle Korver	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0	0.02	-0.03	-0.01	9	75%	0.12	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Josh Davis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	5	20%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	7	43%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	7	41%	-0.02	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Samuel Dalembert	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	-0.07	0,0,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.03	14	55%	-0.02	2	-0.05	10	70%	-0.02
Andre Iguodala	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	3	73%	0.03	4	-0.13	5	80%	0.01
Willie Green	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.16	-0.05	-0.09	14	19%	-0.12	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.18,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.10	0.06	-0.05	8	94%	0.29	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Wang Zhi-zhi	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	8	56%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.02	-0.04	13	64%	0.12	5	-0.14	13	85%	0.02
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	7	73%	0.06	5	-0.13	12	58%	-0.06
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.16	-0.03	-0.03	13	33%	-0.08	3	-0.07	7	100%	0.04
Udonis Haslem	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.04	0.01	13	34%	-0.10	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	2.5	33.4	16.5	30.4	2.5	32.4	143.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +27.0%

MIA +8.3%

MIA +12.8%

MIA +0.6%

MIA +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MIA	NBA	PHI	MIA	NBA
this game	14.8	17.5	15.5	94.3	103.3	104.0
season	13.9	15.7		101.1	107.9
opponent	15.5	15.8		101.1	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.1	15.7	15.4	13.1	14.8
MIA	16.9	17.0	17.4	18.7	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenny Thomas	37	39	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.06	0	-10	10	14.8	14.9	-0.08	17.8	17.3	0.57
Josh Davis	5	6	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.05	-2	-8	6	10.0	15.1	-5.12	16.7	17.6	-0.89
Kyle Korver	63	64	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	-4	-6	2	15.1	14.1	1.05	17.8	16.8	0.97
Samuel Dalembert	25	25	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.13	-3	-7	4	15.4	14.6	0.80	15.8	18.2	-2.35
Kevin Ollie	31	30	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.09	-5	-5	0	16.1	14.1	2.01	16.5	18.0	-1.45
Willie Green	57	60	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.12	-5	-5	0	14.1	16.1	-2.01	18.0	16.5	1.45
Marc Jackson	63	65	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.08	-7	-3	-4	14.6	15.4	-0.80	18.2	15.8	2.35
John Salmons	37	37	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.12	-6	-4	-2	15.4	14.4	1.04	17.1	17.8	-0.67
Andre Iguodala	76	79	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.22	-10	0	-10	14.3	18.2	-3.96	17.5	17.8	-0.36
Corliss Williamson	46	45	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.31	-8	-2	-6	15.4	14.2	1.18	17.3	17.7	-0.33

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damon Jones	48	47	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.23	14	-4	18	17.5	17.5	-0.09	14.9	14.8	0.14
Udonis Haslem	71	71	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.11	15	-5	20	17.8	16.4	1.37	15.1	13.7	1.39
Shaquille O'Neal	73	72	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.15	8	2	6	17.4	17.8	-0.33	14.2	17.9	-3.72
Eddie Jones	79	76	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.14	8	2	6	17.4	18.3	-0.88	14.2	18.9	-4.73
Shandon Anderson	28	29	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.16	7	3	4	16.1	18.1	-1.97	16.1	14.2	1.95
Dwyane Wade	76	74	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.14	1	9	-8	17.8	16.0	1.78	14.6	15.9	-1.31
Rasual Butler	45	43	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.04	3	7	-4	17.6	17.4	0.20	15.0	14.6	0.38
Wang Zhi-zhi	2	1	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	11	-12	19.5	17.5	2.05	16.0	14.8	1.18
Michael Doleac	28	27	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.12	-5	15	-20	17.6	17.5	0.16	16.4	14.1	2.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.38,0.45,0.51,0.63,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 98, LAL 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.4,0.48,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.99,1,1,1	94.8%
MIL 87, PHI 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.98,0.94,0.9,0.99,1	94.3%
HOU 89, MIN 103	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.78,0.82,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.9,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%