NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	89		Excitement	5.6 [656]		MVP	Anthony Peeler (MIN): +11.6%
Minnesota Timberwolves	103		Comeback	1.7 [741]		LVP	Eddie Griffin (HOU): -17.9%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Moochie Norris	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	3	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	7	43%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	16	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Steve Francis	0.00	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	21	60%	0.13	5	-0.12	10	80%	0.01
Yao Ming	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	7	67%	0.09	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.01
James Posey	-0.01	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	7	53%	0.03	2	-0.04	3	67%	0.00
Terence Morris	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collier	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Griffin	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.14	-0.04	-0.00	14	27%	-0.15	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.03	0.01	5	100%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.01	15	66%	0.18	3	-0.08	5	60%	-0.02
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.04	0.02	14	63%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Igor Rakocevic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	5	50%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	14	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Troy Hudson	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	14	57%	0.13	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.03	0.00	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	5	47%	-0.05	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	2.0	25.0	15.4	22.6	2.6	31.4	122.7
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +46.7%

HOU -3.2%

MIN +6.0%

MIN +2.9%

HOU -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	MIN	NBA	HOU	MIN	NBA
this game	17.2	15.0	15.5	98.9	115.7	101.6
season	16.3	14.9		101.7	104.0
opponent	15.8	15.4		102.3	100.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.7	22.2	15.8	15.6	17.2
MIN	14.9	13.8	14.2	17.1	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terence Morris	7	8	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.04	5	-19	24	23.6	16.6	6.96	13.5	15.2	-1.66
Jason Collier	17	17	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.01	-1	-13	12	18.6	16.8	1.77	12.4	15.6	-3.29
Moochie Norris	27	26	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.04	-6	-8	2	19.1	16.3	2.74	14.2	15.3	-1.10
Eddie Griffin	62	62	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.01	-8	-6	-2	16.7	18.1	-1.38	15.9	13.0	2.83
Maurice Taylor	28	27	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.10	-6	-8	2	18.1	16.7	1.38	13.0	15.9	-2.83
James Posey	76	74	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.01	-13	-1	-12	16.4	21.1	-4.72	15.1	14.5	0.57
Yao Ming	73	72	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.10	-13	-1	-12	16.8	18.6	-1.77	15.6	12.4	3.29
Steve Francis	82	82	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.12	-13	-1	-12	16.8	20.9	-4.08	15.2	13.3	1.87
Cuttino Mobley	78	77	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.06	-15	1	-16	17.0	18.1	-1.07	15.2	13.9	1.27

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	81	82	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.05	18	-4	22	15.0	15.5	-0.54	17.1	17.5	-0.38
Rasho Nesterovic	65	66	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.05	15	-1	16	16.4	11.1	5.32	16.4	19.1	-2.69
Wally Szczerbiak	72	72	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.09	13	1	12	15.5	12.9	2.56	16.7	19.2	-2.51
Troy Hudson	64	65	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.09	11	3	8	15.4	13.9	1.52	17.4	16.6	0.82
Kendall Gill	43	45	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.02	13	1	12	15.1	14.9	0.25	16.7	17.6	-0.93
Anthony Peeler	57	57	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.09	3	11	-8	14.2	16.5	-2.37	17.7	16.2	1.44
Igor Rakocevic	25	25	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.00	3	11	-8	13.9	15.4	-1.52	16.6	17.4	-0.82
Marc Jackson	24	24	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.04	-1	15	-16	11.1	16.4	-5.32	19.1	16.4	2.69
Gary Trent	14	14	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.02	-5	19	-24	15.9	14.9	1.00	19.3	16.8	2.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.78,0.82,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.9,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 83, MIA 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.38,0.45,0.51,0.63,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.99,1,1,1	94.2%
CHI 73, LAL 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.52,0.53,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.45,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.79,0.9,0.84,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.89,0.95,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%
LAC 98, LAL 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.4,0.48,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.99,1,1,1	94.1%