NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	92		Excitement	6.7 [502]		MVP	Mike Miller (DEN): +16.8%
Denver Nuggets	95		Comeback	2.4 [549]		LVP	Jeremy Lin (CHA): -25.6%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marvin Williams	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16	0.14	0.04	0.02	3	137%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Nicolas Batum	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	8	53%	0.07	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Jeremy Lamb	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	14	50%	0.09	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Frank Kaminsky	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	12	48%	0.02	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Spencer Hawes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	6	57%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
PJ Hairston	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0.02	8	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cody Zeller	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	0.03	11	58%	0.00	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Kemba Walker	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.15	-0.04	-0.09	0.01	12	39%	-0.12	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Jeremy Lin	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.18	-0.08	-0.01	9	9%	-0.19	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.04

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.08	0.09	0.00	2	150%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.06	0.00	4	90%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gary Harris	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.06	-0.03	8	67%	0.17	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.00	-0.01	18	55%	0.14	2	-0.06	13	85%	0.01
Darrell Arthur	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	75%	0.07	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Joffrey Lauvergne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	9	35%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Nikola Jokic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Will Barton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	11	42%	0.02	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.02
Emmanuel Mudiay	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.12	-0.03	0.01	15	37%	-0.06	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	1.8	30.0	15.5	22.4	2.4	30.4	127.7
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +57.7%

DEN +0.3%

CHA -4.2%

CHA -5.4%

DEN +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	DEN	NBA	CHA	DEN	NBA
this game	15.9	14.6	14.9	95.8	102.2	105.1
season	15.1	14.9		105.5	104.3
opponent	14.9	14.8		107.8	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	14.8	13.2	19.2	17.1	15.9
DEN	14.5	13.0	12.6	18.9	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Spencer Hawes	35	34	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.21	3	-6	9	14.4	16.7	-2.31	15.4	14.1	1.34
Marvin Williams	38	35	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.09	-2	-1	-1	17.5	14.8	2.70	15.9	13.8	2.13
Jeremy Lamb	60	58	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.49	10	-13	23	14.5	18.2	-3.72	15.5	13.0	2.55
Nicolas Batum	76	73	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.41	7	-10	17	15.8	16.3	-0.51	14.9	13.4	1.48
Frank Kaminsky	55	54	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.24	0	-3	3	14.9	17.2	-2.23	12.9	16.8	-3.94
Jeremy Lin	48	48	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.24	0	-3	3	15.5	16.3	-0.83	14.2	14.9	-0.72
PJ Hairston	36	35	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.08	-13	10	-23	18.2	14.5	3.72	13.0	15.5	-2.55
Cody Zeller	61	59	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.20	-6	3	-9	16.7	14.4	2.31	14.1	15.4	-1.34
Kemba Walker	71	69	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.26	-14	11	-25	16.2	15.2	0.99	15.1	13.0	2.05

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Harris	70	72	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.16	8	-5	13	14.3	15.4	-1.11	15.9	16.0	-0.14
Jusuf Nurkic	28	28	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.12	8	-5	13	15.4	14.2	1.19	15.1	16.2	-1.11
Emmanuel Mudiay	74	75	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.41	-2	5	-7	14.9	13.4	1.50	16.7	13.0	3.77
Danilo Gallinari	65	67	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.21	4	-1	5	14.3	15.2	-0.94	16.4	14.7	1.78
Darrell Arthur	54	55	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.18	4	-1	5	13.9	15.4	-1.47	16.5	15.1	1.44
Randy Foye	42	45	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.26	0	3	-3	14.5	14.6	-0.15	14.6	17.1	-2.48
Mike Miller	13	13	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.16	3	0	3	16.7	14.2	2.48	17.3	15.7	1.63
Will Barton	58	60	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.49	-10	13	-23	15.5	13.0	2.55	14.5	18.2	-3.72
Nikola Jokic	44	46	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.01	5	-2	7	13.3	15.7	-2.40	17.5	14.5	3.00
Joffrey Lauvergne	17	19	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.07	-5	8	-13	14.6	14.6	0.04	13.1	16.6	-3.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.67,0.65,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.46,0.29,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.77,0.79,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 106, NYK 115	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.5,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.41,0.5,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.96,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1	94.6%
LAC 98, LAL 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.4,0.48,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.99,1,1,1	93.1%
NJN 86, PHI 102	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.61,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.49,0.37,0.42,0.28,0.39,0.39,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.48,0.6,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	92.9%