NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	106		Excitement	6.9 [455]		MVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (NYK): +18.1%
New York Knicks	115		Comeback	1.8 [898]		LVP	Andray Blatche (WAS): -11.7%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.13	0.05	0.00	14	65%	0.17	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
JaVale McGee	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	-0.00	0.04	9	75%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Mustafa Shakur	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	5	60%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cartier Martin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yi Jianlian	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	-0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	13	53%	0.08	4	-0.09	8	87%	0.01
Nick Young	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.03	-0.00	16	56%	0.11	3	-0.12	7	86%	0.02
Al Thornton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.04	0.00	6	67%	0.06	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.00
Kevin Seraphin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	8	41%	-0.04	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Andray Blatche	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.15	0.01	-0.02	10	25%	-0.06	3	-0.05	4	50%	-0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.09	0.07	-0.02	23	57%	0.28	3	-0.09	7	57%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.03	0.03	20	57%	0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.02	-0.01	4	58%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Shawne Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.04	-0.01	6	56%	0.11	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Henry Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Landry Fields	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	13	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.04
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	6	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	14	57%	0.04	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.0	1.8	30.2	17.5	24.8	0.8	31.3	137.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +22.7%

NYK +0.9%

NYK +0.5%

NYK +23.8%

NYK +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	NYK	NBA	WAS	NYK	NBA
this game	14.6	14.2	15.5	106.0	115.0	105.7
season	15.1	14.3		100.9	108.6
opponent	15.5	15.2		108.4	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	12.8	14.7	16.1	15.5	14.6
NYK	11.2	16.6	13.8	15.8	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mustafa Shakur	26	29	0.17	-0.67	0.85	-0.24	14	-23	37	14.5	14.7	-0.18	15.9	13.5	2.38
Rashard Lewis	62	60	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.07	5	-14	19	14.5	14.9	-0.38	14.5	13.6	0.91
Cartier Martin	1	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-11	13	15.0	14.6	0.37	14.5	14.2	0.34
Hilton Armstrong	1	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-11	13	15.0	14.6	0.37	14.5	14.2	0.34
JaVale McGee	65	64	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-9	9	14.0	15.9	-1.93	14.6	13.3	1.31
Yi Jianlian	2	2	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-9	9	14.5	14.6	-0.13	14.5	14.2	0.34
Trevor Booker	43	44	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.21	2	-11	13	15.5	14.0	1.55	15.2	13.3	1.89
Kevin Seraphin	29	29	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	-4	-1	15.9	14.1	1.78	13.0	14.6	-1.60
Al Thornton	49	50	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.19	-3	-6	3	14.3	14.9	-0.64	14.2	14.2	0.02
Andray Blatche	61	61	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.16	-15	6	-21	14.1	15.4	-1.28	13.4	15.3	-1.87
John Wall	74	71	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	0.00	-23	14	-37	14.7	14.5	0.18	13.5	15.9	-2.38
Nick Young	87	86	-0.79	0.29	-1.09	-0.09	-24	15	-39	14.9	12.8	2.14	13.9	15.9	-1.96

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronny Turiaf	55	54	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.23	10	-1	11	15.3	12.8	2.49	15.2	13.9	1.33
Raymond Felton	82	82	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.10	13	-4	17	13.7	16.2	-2.43	14.9	13.4	1.51
Amar'e Stoudemire	81	81	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.18	8	1	7	13.9	15.4	-1.54	14.7	14.5	0.13
Danilo Gallinari	77	76	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.17	8	1	7	13.9	15.2	-1.30	14.4	15.4	-1.04
Toney Douglas	44	44	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.23	2	7	-5	14.5	13.9	0.51	15.7	13.8	1.84
Wilson Chandler	76	78	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.13	5	4	1	14.6	12.9	1.70	14.4	15.3	-0.88
Shawne Williams	25	24	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.11	2	7	-5	15.0	13.9	1.11	14.8	14.6	0.27
Landry Fields	44	44	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.00	-1	10	-11	12.9	15.1	-2.21	13.6	15.5	-1.90
Henry Walker	16	17	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	11	-13	14.9	14.0	0.84	13.1	15.0	-1.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.5,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.41,0.5,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.96,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 92, DEN 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.67,0.65,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.46,0.29,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.77,0.79,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1	94.6%
NJN 87, CHI 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.56,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.71,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.36,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.68,0.76,0.78,0.92,0.89,0.99,1,1	93.2%
GSW 89, NOH 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.36,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.91,0.98,0.95,0.93,0.99,1,1	92.8%