NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	89		Excitement	6.1 [622]		MVP	Dan Dickau (NOH): +29.0%
New Orleans Hornets	98		Comeback	2.1 [767]		LVP	Jason Richardson (GSW): -19.0%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Murphy	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.08	0.05	13	74%	0.19	3	-0.09	8	75%	-0.00
Speedy Claxton	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	-0.02	0.00	13	68%	0.08	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	9	50%	0.02	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Dale Davis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luis Flores	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Adonal Foyle	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	0	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Calbert Cheaney	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	0.00	0.04	9	56%	0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	6	17%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.26,-0.26,-0.25,-0.17,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19	-0.17	-0.07	-0.04	22	33%	-0.11	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dan Dickau	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.07	0.21	-0.01	13	72%	0.34	3	-0.05	6	83%	0.02
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	9	55%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	9	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.02
Lonny Baxter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Freije	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	10	38%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Junior Harrington	0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	10	58%	0.01	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	8	37%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	-0.03	-0.04	19	41%	-0.04	3	-0.08	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.7	29.2	16.0	25.1	2.5	29.7	127.3
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +19.7%

NOH +8.5%

NOH +17.1%

NOH +1.5%

NOH +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	NOH	NBA	GSW	NOH	NBA
this game	14.9	16.1	15.5	94.7	106.5	104.0
season	15.0	16.5		102.3	97.7
opponent	15.7	15.2		105.2	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	15.7	12.8	14.6	16.5	14.9
NOH	14.9	17.4	17.5	14.8	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dale Davis	14	15	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.05	8	-17	25	13.3	15.1	-1.85	18.0	15.8	2.25
Mickael Pietrus	52	52	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.23	7	-16	23	14.1	15.9	-1.80	16.9	15.1	1.80
Luis Flores	3	3	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.02	-1	-8	7	14.3	14.9	-0.55	14.7	16.2	-1.50
Eduardo Najera	24	25	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-9	9	13.9	15.2	-1.27	16.6	16.0	0.60
Adonal Foyle	9	8	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.04	-5	-4	-1	18.2	14.5	3.72	14.5	16.3	-1.77
Jason Richardson	69	68	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.16	-5	-4	-1	14.8	15.0	-0.13	16.1	16.0	0.11
Mike Dunleavy	43	41	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.02	-10	1	-11	16.2	13.7	2.44	16.0	16.2	-0.17
Clifford Robinson	65	63	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.20	-5	-4	-1	14.7	15.3	-0.65	16.2	15.9	0.33
Calbert Cheaney	28	27	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.04	-12	3	-15	14.2	15.1	-0.87	14.6	16.8	-2.21
Speedy Claxton	87	85	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.24	-6	-3	-3	14.9	14.0	0.93	16.2	15.0	1.21
Troy Murphy	76	73	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.17	-16	7	-23	15.2	13.3	1.89	15.7	17.8	-2.17

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dan Dickau	50	50	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.24	14	-5	19	15.4	17.0	-1.58	15.0	14.7	0.25
Chris Andersen	52	52	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.21	11	-2	13	15.6	16.8	-1.25	15.3	14.3	1.00
George Lynch	64	66	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.04	11	-2	13	16.2	15.8	0.43	15.0	14.6	0.41
David Wesley	68	71	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.04	11	-2	13	15.6	17.5	-1.87	14.6	15.6	-0.93
Matt Freije	65	66	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.26	3	6	-3	16.9	14.3	2.53	15.2	14.0	1.18
P.J. Brown	74	77	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.16	5	4	1	16.1	16.3	-0.20	14.6	16.0	-1.39
Junior Harrington	58	60	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.11	5	4	1	16.1	16.1	0.05	15.1	14.5	0.61
Lonny Baxter	15	14	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	14	-19	17.3	15.9	1.37	13.9	15.0	-1.10
J.R. Smith	14	14	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	0.06	-10	19	-29	17.9	15.8	2.13	13.1	15.2	-2.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.36,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.91,0.98,0.95,0.93,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 89, BOS 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.45,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.62,0.77,0.86,0.91,0.88,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,1	93.3%
CHA 93, CLE 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.62,0.6,0.7,0.68,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.85,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.99,1	93.2%
SEA 100, UTA 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.58,0.7,0.82,0.72,0.73,0.82,0.91,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	93.1%