NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	100		Excitement	6.1 [634]		MVP	Antonio Daniels (SEA): +16.9%
Utah Jazz	109		Comeback	2.4 [773]		LVP	Vladimir Radmanovic (SEA): -16.6%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio Daniels	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.15	0.02	0.01	10	86%	0.17	1	-0.00	9	100%	0.03
Nick Collison	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.11	0.06	0.00	5	100%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Ray Allen	0.08	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.04	-0.03	22	55%	0.18	3	-0.09	5	60%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	15	44%	-0.03	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Reggie Evans	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Danny Fortson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	1	67%	-0.01	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Luke Ridnour	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.03	-0.05	0.04	14	52%	-0.04	2	-0.08	5	80%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.15	-0.06	-0.04	8	0%	-0.17	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raul Lopez	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.07	-0.00	10	77%	0.20	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.02
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.03	0.00	9	78%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.00	0.06	-0.03	16	50%	0.13	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	9	74%	0.10	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.04
Gordan Giricek	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	8	56%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	12	57%	0.08	3	-0.10	6	83%	0.01
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	1	25%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Curtis Borchardt	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	9	50%	-0.04	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	1.8	31.2	14.8	23.0	2.4	32.4	128.1
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +34.5%

UTA +5.7%

UTA +8.7%

SEA -0.3%

UTA +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	UTA	NBA	SEA	UTA	NBA
this game	15.5	16.0	15.5	108.7	119.8	104.0
season	16.5	16.7		109.5	102.3
opponent	15.1	15.6		106.7	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	19.9	11.8	16.1	15.1	15.5
UTA	16.1	16.6	15.9	15.5	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Evans	38	39	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.11	-1	-8	7	18.2	13.5	4.67	16.6	15.6	1.06
Vitaly Potapenko	7	6	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.04	2	-11	13	10.0	15.9	-5.92	13.3	16.2	-2.87
Jerome James	26	26	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.05	-2	-7	5	19.0	14.1	4.92	15.4	16.2	-0.82
Ray Allen	69	68	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	-5	1	15.7	14.7	1.09	15.9	16.4	-0.57
Rashard Lewis	69	69	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.06	-6	-3	-3	16.2	13.3	2.88	15.7	17.1	-1.42
Nick Collison	38	36	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.17	-5	-4	-1	14.2	16.4	-2.14	16.6	15.6	0.95
Danny Fortson	34	34	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.28	-2	-7	5	13.8	16.4	-2.61	16.9	15.5	1.44
Antonio Daniels	61	59	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.29	-4	-5	1	13.5	19.3	-5.81	15.9	16.2	-0.22
Luke Ridnour	64	65	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.17	-10	1	-11	16.0	14.3	1.65	15.8	16.5	-0.74
Vladimir Radmanovic	54	53	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.26	-13	4	-17	14.8	16.4	-1.58	16.2	15.8	0.38

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Harpring	77	77	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.20	18	-9	27	16.0	16.0	0.01	16.1	12.1	4.06
Raja Bell	65	66	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.28	9	0	9	15.6	16.9	-1.28	14.5	17.9	-3.42
Jarron Collins	22	22	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.08	13	-4	17	17.2	15.6	1.60	15.8	15.4	0.40
Mehmet Okur	51	52	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.32	2	7	-5	15.9	16.2	-0.29	13.1	18.5	-5.45
Raul Lopez	72	73	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.11	8	1	7	15.9	16.6	-0.72	15.8	14.3	1.45
Howard Eisley	19	19	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.13	1	8	-7	16.6	15.9	0.72	14.3	15.8	-1.45
Gordan Giricek	27	28	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	9	-9	16.4	15.8	0.56	16.9	14.9	2.00
Carlos Boozer	53	53	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.07	2	7	-5	16.3	15.6	0.79	17.6	12.5	5.08
Andrei Kirilenko	41	41	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.18	-7	16	-23	15.6	16.3	-0.69	12.9	17.5	-4.58
Curtis Borchardt	28	29	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.03	-1	10	-11	15.7	16.2	-0.48	18.2	14.2	4.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.58,0.7,0.82,0.72,0.73,0.82,0.91,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 81, ORL 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.67,0.81,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.3%
CHA 93, CLE 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.62,0.6,0.7,0.68,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.85,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.99,1	93.3%
DAL 105, SAC 116	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.7,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.92,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.3%