NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	81		Excitement	6.3 [531]		MVP	Bo Outlaw (ORL): +6.0%
Orlando Magic	95		Comeback	2.8 [376]		LVP	Juwan Howard (DAL): -16.2%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donnell Harvey	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	9	50%	0.03	3	-0.08	2	0%	-0.02
Shawn Bradley	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Howard Eisley	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.15	-0.00	-0.07	8	18%	-0.04	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Vernon Maxwell	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	9	42%	-0.03	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	14	56%	-0.01	5	-0.12	11	73%	-0.07
Michael Finley	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.05	-0.06	0.02	14	41%	-0.13	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Juwan Howard	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.17	-0.03	-0.04	14	44%	-0.03	5	-0.14	11	82%	0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.02	9	64%	0.09	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Cory Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.05	0.00	5	75%	0.12	3	-0.08	2	0%	-0.06
Don Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	4	40%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Andrew DeClercq	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	16	54%	0.04	4	-0.07	7	100%	0.02
Tracy McGrady	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.11	0.00	-0.07	21	45%	0.05	3	-0.09	9	56%	-0.03
Mike Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	11	33%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	9	50%	-0.02	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
John Amaechi	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	0.01	6	33%	-0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	1.8	26.2	16.7	33.2	2.7	31.4	138.5
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +41.6%

DAL -0.8%

ORL +12.2%

DAL -2.6%

DAL -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	ORL	NBA	DAL	ORL	NBA
this game	13.8	14.2	15.5	78.6	92.2	100.9
season	15.2	14.6		104.6	101.6
opponent	15.8	15.3		100.8	101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	12.2	16.4	14.5	12.5	13.8
ORL	12.6	14.9	14.3	15.2	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donnell Harvey	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-14	14	7.7	14.0	-6.29	15.2	14.1	1.13
Gary Trent	10	10	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.05	-2	-12	10	8.5	14.4	-5.87	17.8	13.8	4.03
Shawn Bradley	39	39	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.08	-2	-12	10	14.6	13.3	1.28	15.6	13.3	2.25
Eduardo Najera	4	4	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.03	-4	-10	6	7.7	14.0	-6.29	15.2	14.1	1.13
Dirk Nowitzki	83	83	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	-11	8	13.9	13.4	0.43	14.4	13.2	1.14
Steve Nash	74	72	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.16	-1	-13	12	14.3	12.6	1.73	13.4	15.9	-2.49
Michael Finley	92	92	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.00	-9	-5	-4	14.3	9.4	4.96	14.0	15.7	-1.75
Vernon Maxwell	44	43	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.20	-3	-11	8	14.6	13.2	1.39	15.1	13.5	1.55
Juwan Howard	85	88	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.03	-18	4	-22	13.4	15.8	-2.47	13.5	18.0	-4.49
Howard Eisley	80	80	-0.80	0.30	-1.11	0.02	-28	14	-42	13.5	14.7	-1.10	13.8	15.4	-1.58

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tracy McGrady	96	97	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.03	22	-8	30	13.9	17.1	-3.19	13.9	12.3	1.55
Cory Alexander	43	44	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.19	13	1	12	15.4	13.3	2.15	12.6	14.7	-2.10
Bo Outlaw	92	93	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.01	19	-5	24	13.6	19.2	-5.62	14.0	11.8	2.21
Don Reid	25	23	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.09	10	4	6	15.4	13.8	1.58	10.9	14.6	-3.71
Darrell Armstrong	84	84	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.11	10	4	6	13.7	16.3	-2.57	13.5	15.3	-1.80
Monty Williams	16	18	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.16	-1	15	-16	16.9	13.7	3.21	16.4	13.2	3.14
John Amaechi	22	22	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.05	4	10	-6	12.4	14.7	-2.29	14.3	13.7	0.61
Andrew DeClercq	20	19	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	14	-14	12.4	14.6	-2.19	13.4	13.9	-0.46
Mike Miller	71	69	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.05	2	12	-10	13.8	15.1	-1.30	14.2	13.0	1.23
Pat Garrity	34	34	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.12	-5	19	-24	16.4	13.1	3.27	15.4	13.0	2.46
Michael Doleac	12	12	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	18	-22	15.7	14.0	1.70	12.5	14.0	-1.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.67,0.81,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 100, UTA 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.58,0.7,0.82,0.72,0.73,0.82,0.91,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.3%
CHA 93, CLE 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.62,0.6,0.7,0.68,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.85,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.99,1	93.0%
MEM 84, DAL 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.44,0.32,0.54,0.66,0.75,0.67,0.81,0.79,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.98,1,0.99,1	92.9%