NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	87		Excitement	6.8 [475]		MVP	Andres Nocioni (CHI): +46.1%
Chicago Bulls	95		Comeback	2.0 [822]		LVP	Jason Kidd (NJN): -22.7%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nenad Krstic	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.13	0.04	0.01	20	66%	0.23	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Jacque Vaughn	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	14	50%	0.04	2	-0.08	4	75%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	4	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	5	40%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Wright	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	4	50%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.12	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18,-0.21,-0.16,-0.11,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12	-0.05	-0.05	0.02	25	42%	-0.10	1	-0.02	10	80%	0.03
Jason Kidd	-0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.16	-0.08	-0.02	9	24%	-0.12	4	-0.11	3	67%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.46	0.46	0.18	0.26	-0.02	14	77%	0.48	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.14	0.05	0.03	13	69%	0.15	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.02	0.01	18	52%	0.04	0	0.00	6	100%	0.01
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	2	37%	0.01	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Schenscher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	8	31%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	0.04	8	56%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	9	30%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Malik Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.00	10	20%	-0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.8	24.1	15.7	24.5	1.7	35.2	127.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +51.3%

NJN -7.0%

NJN -4.0%

CHI +13.3%

NJN -3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	CHI	NBA	NJN	CHI	NBA
this game	15.7	16.0	15.6	94.6	105.6	104.4
season	15.7	14.4		102.1	102.6
opponent	16.1	15.7		102.1	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	16.3	15.0	15.9	15.3	15.7
CHI	13.6	17.7	16.9	16.0	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jacque Vaughn	14	13	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.06	0	-8	8	17.0	15.4	1.58	13.8	16.4	-2.59
Antoine Wright	35	35	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.33	9	-17	26	16.0	15.5	0.54	16.7	15.6	1.09
Clifford Robinson	39	41	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.23	5	-13	18	14.0	16.9	-2.84	16.0	16.0	-0.02
Jason Collins	47	44	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.04	-8	0	-8	16.2	15.1	1.04	15.7	16.3	-0.56
Nenad Krstic	85	83	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.13	-8	0	-8	15.8	13.6	2.26	16.4	11.1	5.25
Jason Kidd	78	76	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.18	-8	0	-8	15.4	17.0	-1.58	16.3	14.4	1.85
Richard Jefferson	86	85	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.23	-10	2	-12	15.7	14.7	1.07	15.9	17.4	-1.49
Vince Carter	76	73	-0.72	0.22	-0.95	-0.14	-20	12	-32	15.8	15.2	0.58	15.6	17.8	-2.19

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luol Deng	76	79	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.19	18	-10	28	15.7	17.4	-1.70	15.9	14.1	1.85
Kirk Hinrich	83	85	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.20	15	-7	22	16.1	15.1	0.92	15.9	12.3	3.66
Andres Nocioni	43	44	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.36	3	5	-2	16.1	15.9	0.15	14.8	16.5	-1.66
Chris Duhon	53	53	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.38	2	6	-4	15.8	16.2	-0.39	15.0	16.5	-1.52
Tyson Chandler	52	55	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.03	9	-1	10	16.0	15.9	0.07	15.7	15.6	0.07
Darius Songaila	41	39	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.19	-1	9	-10	15.8	16.1	-0.29	15.0	16.2	-1.20
Malik Allen	38	40	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.05	2	6	-4	16.8	15.4	1.34	16.7	14.8	1.88
Luke Schenscher	13	13	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.00	-2	10	-12	16.3	15.9	0.37	16.1	15.6	0.48
Othella Harrington	7	6	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.07	-5	13	-18	14.3	16.1	-1.85	14.8	15.7	-0.89
Ben Gordon	44	46	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	-0.05	-1	9	-10	16.0	15.9	0.11	15.9	15.4	0.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.56,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.71,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.36,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.68,0.76,0.78,0.92,0.89,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 88, NJN 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.31,0.27,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.78,0.86,0.96,0.99,1,1	93.9%
WAS 106, NYK 115	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.5,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.41,0.5,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.96,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1	93.2%
CHI 102, CLE 112	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.64,0.71,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.54,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.83,0.85,0.97,0.99,1,1	92.5%