NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	88		Excitement	6.5 [519]		MVP	Jamie Feick (NJN): +14.3%
New Jersey Nets	96		Comeback	2.7 [511]		LVP	Dikembe Mutombo (ATL): -17.3%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Johnson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.00	4	58%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Jim Jackson	-0.01	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.06	-0.03	12	62%	0.08	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Chris Crawford	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	11	48%	-0.04	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Jason Terry	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	9	60%	0.01	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Bimbo Coles	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.04	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	13	46%	-0.03	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Isaiah Rider	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.08	-0.07	0.02	19	48%	-0.05	4	-0.12	4	75%	-0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.10	-0.07	0.00	2	50%	-0.04	4	-0.13	4	50%	-0.04

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamie Feick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.08	0.02	13	62%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.01	0.00	5	80%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.00	3	83%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	13	54%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	50%	0.00
Sherman Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.00	4	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	14	48%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	21	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Jim McIlvaine	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	-0.03	-0.04	13	40%	-0.01	4	-0.11	4	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.5	24.6	15.7	24.3	1.7	26.3	116.5
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +38.4%

ATL -13.2%

ATL -10.8%

NJN +29.8%

NJN +5.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	NJN	NBA	ATL	NJN	NBA
this game	15.5	16.6	15.2	98.9	106.7	101.7
season	15.4	15.5		99.3	102.1
opponent	14.7	15.2		103.3	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	16.2	13.9	16.6	15.4	15.5
NJN	13.2	17.4	15.4	21.4	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Crawford	47	48	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.26	3	-11	14	15.0	16.1	-1.05	16.7	16.6	0.07
Jason Terry	37	38	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.29	4	-12	16	14.0	16.6	-2.59	19.2	14.7	4.46
Anthony Johnson	35	34	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.28	3	-11	14	14.6	16.1	-1.55	18.9	15.3	3.57
Alan Henderson	66	67	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.13	-4	-4	0	15.4	16.0	-0.68	17.1	15.3	1.84
Bimbo Coles	52	52	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.03	-12	4	-16	16.6	14.0	2.59	14.7	19.2	-4.46
Isaiah Rider	76	78	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.12	-7	-1	-6	15.5	16.0	-0.54	16.3	18.7	-2.35
Jim Jackson	67	68	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.13	-12	4	-16	16.1	13.8	2.35	15.9	19.0	-3.07
Dikembe Mutombo	65	65	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.14	-15	7	-22	16.1	14.1	1.99	16.1	18.0	-1.84

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamie Feick	60	58	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.39	6	2	4	17.6	14.6	3.05	15.3	15.9	-0.61
Stephon Marbury	72	73	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.02	15	-7	22	16.3	18.1	-1.78	15.7	14.9	0.73
Keith Van Horn	66	65	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.16	8	0	8	17.2	15.1	2.06	15.9	14.5	1.37
Kendall Gill	59	58	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.02	12	-4	16	15.6	18.6	-2.97	16.2	14.2	2.02
Lucious Harris	26	26	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.25	0	8	-8	17.7	16.2	1.44	17.2	14.9	2.28
Kerry Kittles	64	63	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.01	8	0	8	16.2	17.7	-1.44	14.9	17.2	-2.28
Johnny Newman	31	31	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.24	-4	12	-16	18.6	15.6	2.97	14.2	16.2	-2.02
Sherman Douglas	18	16	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.29	-7	15	-22	18.1	16.3	1.78	14.9	15.7	-0.73
Scott Burrell	18	19	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.09	-2	10	-12	14.2	17.2	-3.08	14.9	15.7	-0.75
Jim McIlvaine	36	36	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.11	4	4	0	15.2	17.6	-2.44	15.5	15.5	-0.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.31,0.27,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.78,0.86,0.96,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 87, CHI 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.56,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.71,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.36,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.68,0.76,0.78,0.92,0.89,0.99,1,1	93.9%
GSW 99, ATL 115	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.71,0.56,0.56,0.39,0.38,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.76,0.78,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.4%
UTA 109, LAL 113	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.44,0.56,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.27,0.35,0.25,0.21,0.34,0.48,0.36,0.42,0.43,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.59,0.67,0.85,0.88,0.98,0.96,1	93.3%