NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	99		Excitement	6.8 [452]		MVP	Marvin Williams (ATL): +15.0%
Atlanta Hawks	115		Comeback	2.8 [768]		LVP	Jamal Crawford (GSW): -16.2%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelenna Azubuike	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.03	0.05	-0.07	13	48%	0.15	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Anthony Morrow	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	-0.01	0.01	11	62%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	9	70%	0.14	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.02
Brandan Wright	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.03	13	56%	0.05	1	-0.04	8	62%	-0.04
Ronny Turiaf	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.06	-0.06	0.03	21	60%	0.10	4	-0.13	3	67%	-0.01
Rob Kurz	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.19	-0.03	-0.06	15	20%	-0.14	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.17	0.01	0.03	13	79%	0.18	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.09	0.02	12	77%	0.19	4	-0.06	2	50%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	9	61%	0.14	2	-0.08	5	80%	0.03
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.04	-0.03	20	44%	0.06	1	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Solomon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.04	4	64%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randolph Morris	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario West	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Acie Law	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	8	67%	0.08	5	-0.12	5	80%	-0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	8	39%	-0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	1.7	30.0	15.5	23.2	2.0	31.2	126.3
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +14.5%

ATL +17.9%

ATL +10.7%

ATL +7.5%

GSW -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	ATL	NBA	GSW	ATL	NBA
this game	14.6	14.8	15.5	102.1	116.2	106.4
season	13.8	15.8		107.3	106.7
opponent	16.1	15.0		106.0	111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	15.8	13.0	14.8	14.7	14.6
ATL	13.6	14.1	15.2	16.6	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandan Wright	62	63	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	-14	12	13.8	15.8	-1.99	14.3	15.8	-1.58
Rob Kurz	27	27	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.14	-8	-8	0	14.3	14.7	-0.36	14.5	14.9	-0.43
Anthony Morrow	50	52	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.14	-1	-15	14	14.4	14.7	-0.24	16.1	13.4	2.67
CJ Watson	25	28	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.03	-5	-11	6	13.9	14.8	-0.86	15.1	14.7	0.39
Jamal Crawford	73	73	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.03	-12	-4	-8	14.7	14.1	0.63	14.8	14.8	0.03
Ronny Turiaf	38	39	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.27	-2	-14	12	15.6	13.9	1.64	15.8	14.2	1.55
Marco Belinelli	86	88	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.06	-15	-1	-14	14.3	16.4	-2.04	14.8	14.8	0.01
Kelenna Azubuike	58	58	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.01	-16	0	-16	15.0	13.9	1.10	13.7	16.4	-2.75
Andris Biedrins	66	67	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.06	-19	3	-22	14.8	14.0	0.87	14.8	14.8	-0.02

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronald Murray	43	42	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.07	24	-8	32	15.3	14.5	0.76	14.9	14.3	0.57
Joe Johnson	84	83	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.07	13	3	10	15.0	13.9	1.13	14.8	13.0	1.82
Maurice Evans	45	41	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.13	10	6	4	15.2	14.5	0.72	15.1	14.2	0.94
Marvin Williams	72	70	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.12	16	0	16	14.2	16.5	-2.32	14.7	14.1	0.62
Josh Smith	71	71	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.03	9	7	2	15.4	13.4	2.00	14.6	14.3	0.29
Zaza Pachulia	27	25	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.12	4	12	-8	16.3	14.3	2.07	16.6	13.9	2.70
Al Horford	61	61	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.01	6	10	-4	14.3	15.7	-1.43	14.2	15.1	-0.93
Acie Law	17	15	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.00	3	13	-10	13.2	15.2	-1.99	14.4	14.6	-0.19
Randolph Morris	2	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	15	-14	14.5	14.8	-0.34	6.0	14.8	-8.83
Mario West	2	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	15	-14	14.5	14.8	-0.34	6.0	14.8	-8.83
Solomon Jones	15	16	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.06	1	15	-14	14.5	14.9	-0.35	12.2	15.0	-2.76
Mike Bibby	56	55	-0.27	0.77	-1.05	-0.04	-8	24	-32	14.5	15.3	-0.76	14.3	14.9	-0.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.71,0.56,0.56,0.39,0.38,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.76,0.78,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 88, NJN 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.31,0.27,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.78,0.86,0.96,0.99,1,1	93.4%
DAL 87, SAC 98	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.27,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.41,0.65,0.72,0.9,0.9,0.98,1,1	92.7%
SAS 89, DAL 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.61,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.37,0.28,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.71,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	92.4%