NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	87		Excitement	6.8 [483]		MVP	Ben McLemore (SAC): +26.7%
Sacramento Kings	98		Comeback	2.7 [435]		LVP	Dwight Powell (DAL): -17.0%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Harris	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	5	70%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
AJ Hammons	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.00	6	64%	0.14	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.03
Nerlens Noel	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	4	75%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	10	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
J.J. Barea	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	7	64%	0.08	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Brussino	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.03	-0.05	12	46%	0.04	4	-0.09	4	75%	0.02
Dorian Finney-Smith	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	8	44%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jarrod Uthoff	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.01	-0.00	8	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Yogi Ferrell	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	9	39%	-0.00	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.03	-0.09	0.05	11	46%	-0.09	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.02,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.16	0.15	0.04	13	79%	0.30	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.02,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.08	-0.01	14	53%	0.18	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.03
Langston Galloway	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	10	62%	0.09	4	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Skal Labissiere	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	7	61%	0.13	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.03
Willie Cauley-Stein	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.03	12	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	9	30%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Georgios Papagiannis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	10	59%	0.06	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	5	27%	-0.02	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.4	27.3	14.6	20.3	2.4	28.3	118.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +36.5%

SAC +10.3%

SAC +8.9%

DAL -5.7%

DAL -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	SAC	NBA	DAL	SAC	NBA
this game	14.8	15.3	14.8	90.6	103.2	107.7
season	16.2	15.4		104.4	106.0
opponent	14.6	14.7		110.0	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	16.2	12.5	15.5	15.3	14.8
SAC	15.8	16.3	13.3	16.0	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Yogi Ferrell	48	48	0.14	-0.64	0.77	0.14	0	-11	11	14.9	14.8	0.06	16.0	14.6	1.47
Harrison Barnes	55	54	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.04	3	-14	17	15.3	14.3	1.00	15.9	14.5	1.41
Nerlens Noel	42	41	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.12	-5	-6	1	15.7	14.2	1.46	15.4	15.3	0.13
Devin Harris	31	31	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.15	0	-11	11	14.5	15.0	-0.44	13.7	16.1	-2.38
J.J. Barea	31	31	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.15	0	-11	11	14.5	15.0	-0.44	13.7	16.1	-2.38
Nicolas Brussino	65	64	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.03	-11	0	-11	15.0	14.5	0.44	16.1	13.7	2.38
Dorian Finney-Smith	45	45	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.25	-7	-4	-3	15.0	14.7	0.29	15.3	15.3	0.03
AJ Hammons	53	52	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.30	-6	-5	-1	14.3	15.6	-1.29	15.2	15.4	-0.15
Dwight Powell	68	66	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.10	-15	4	-19	14.9	14.8	0.03	15.5	14.8	0.70
Jarrod Uthoff	42	43	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.21	-14	3	-17	14.2	15.4	-1.16	14.6	15.9	-1.38

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben McLemore	52	52	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.28	11	0	11	15.4	15.2	0.28	14.8	14.8	0.01
Willie Cauley-Stein	67	68	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.06	16	-5	21	15.3	15.4	-0.16	15.0	14.5	0.54
Langston Galloway	72	74	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.01	17	-6	23	15.6	14.5	1.05	15.3	13.4	1.92
Buddy Hield	59	59	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.18	8	3	5	15.9	14.4	1.54	14.7	15.0	-0.30
Georgios Papagiannis	55	56	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.29	4	7	-3	15.0	15.7	-0.66	15.2	14.4	0.76
Skal Labissiere	68	67	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.00	2	9	-7	15.6	14.6	0.96	14.6	15.4	-0.77
Tyreke Evans	56	58	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.07	3	8	-5	15.1	15.7	-0.64	15.2	14.3	0.87
Garrett Temple	46	46	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.14	-6	17	-23	14.3	16.2	-1.88	13.6	16.0	-2.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.27,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.41,0.65,0.72,0.9,0.9,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 99, ATL 115	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.71,0.56,0.56,0.39,0.38,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.76,0.78,0.98,1,1,1,1	92.7%
NJN 92, IND 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.81,0.79,0.96,0.99,1	92.7%
SAC 82, HOU 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.66,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.45,0.38,0.28,0.28,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.43,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.41,0.6,0.67,0.86,0.89,0.97,0.92,1	91.9%