NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	113		Excitement	2.3 [966]		MVP	CJ McCollum (WAS): +27.6%
Washington Wizards	132		Comeback	1.0 [217]		LVP	Jalen Johnson (ATL): -7.8%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
V�t Krej?�	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.00	7	71%	0.06	1	0.01	0	0%	0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	0.00	0.04	14	67%	0.06	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Luke Kennard	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	7	56%	0.03	2	-0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Zaccharie Risacher	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.08	0.00	0.06	12	65%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
Kristaps Porzi??is	0.02	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.14	0.00	0.13	13	67%	0.02	0	0.00	7	86%	-0.00
Mouhamed Gueye	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Keaton Wallace	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Asa Newell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacob Toppin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	9	44%	0.00	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dyson Daniels	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	11	50%	-0.01	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Johnson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.17	0.00	-0.09	12	28%	-0.03	5	-0.04	1	100%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,0,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.37	0.04	0.13	25	85%	0.28	2	-0.00	4	50%	0.00
Corey Kispert	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.14	0.00	0.01	11	70%	0.14	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Alex Sarr	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.14	0.01	0.04	15	71%	0.12	1	-0.02	8	50%	0.00
Bub Carrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	6	83%	0.02	3	0.01	0	0%	0.00
Bilal Coulibaly	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Justin Champagnie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cam Whitmore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sharife Cooper	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Riley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamir Watkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malaki Branham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	3	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Vukcevic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	4	87%	-0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	8	53%	0.01	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	0.0	26.5	0.0	27.0	0.0	29.7	0.0
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.0	14.3	29.7	2.2	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +42.0%

WAS +4.1%

ATL -1.9%

WAS +5.5%

WAS +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	WAS	NBA	ATL	WAS	NBA
this game	13.6	13.9	14.2	107.6	126.9	113.4
season	13.3	13.9		113.1	108.6
opponent	14.0	14.4		119.8	112.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.8	13.5	13.9	12.3	13.6
WAS	10.8	15.9	12.7	16.7	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Asa Newell	26	24	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.41	14	-33	47	12.3	14.1	-1.83	16.7	13.0	3.67
Jacob Toppin	26	24	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.41	14	-33	47	12.3	14.1	-1.83	16.7	13.0	3.67
Kristaps Porzi??is	65	64	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.13	-9	-10	1	13.2	14.3	-1.09	14.5	12.8	1.68
Luke Kennard	70	71	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.40	-28	9	-37	14.3	12.3	2.09	12.9	16.0	-3.05
Keaton Wallace	76	74	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.02	-15	-4	-11	13.4	14.3	-0.92	13.6	14.6	-0.96
V�t Krej?�	63	63	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.47	-31	12	-43	14.4	12.5	1.83	12.3	16.3	-4.06
Mouhamed Gueye	87	86	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.10	-19	0	-19	13.8	12.9	0.92	13.5	15.9	-2.42
Zaccharie Risacher	82	81	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.29	-6	-13	7	13.1	15.7	-2.68	14.9	10.2	4.76
Jalen Johnson	74	73	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.11	-20	1	-21	13.4	14.2	-0.73	14.2	13.1	1.08
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	74	73	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.11	-20	1	-21	13.4	14.2	-0.73	14.2	13.1	1.08
Onyeka Okongwu	79	80	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.47	-33	14	-47	14.1	12.3	1.83	13.0	16.7	-3.67
Dyson Daniels	77	77	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	0.17	-23	4	-27	13.7	13.6	0.10	13.9	13.7	0.19

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bilal Coulibaly	91	92	0.54	-0.04	0.57	-0.17	24	-5	29	13.5	16.5	-3.03	13.8	12.3	1.53
Alex Sarr	88	90	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.34	29	-10	39	13.8	14.4	-0.58	14.3	10.0	4.26
Justin Champagnie	100	100	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.21	24	-5	29	13.4	25.7	-12.34	14.0	6.4	7.61
CJ McCollum	90	90	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.19	23	-4	27	13.9	13.7	0.20	14.0	11.5	2.47
Khris Middleton	76	77	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.25	25	-6	31	14.1	13.2	0.97	13.7	13.4	0.35
Corey Kispert	67	66	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.14	21	-2	23	13.4	14.8	-1.35	13.5	13.8	-0.32
Bub Carrington	95	95	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.11	18	1	17	13.3	19.9	-6.57	14.1	8.9	5.25
Tristan Vukcevic	91	93	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.03	12	7	5	13.9	13.5	0.48	13.7	13.6	0.07
Cam Whitmore	66	66	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.39	26	-7	33	12.9	15.6	-2.71	14.2	12.6	1.60
Jamir Watkins	76	77	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.24	-3	22	-25	15.0	10.8	4.24	13.2	14.8	-1.60
Malaki Branham	49	52	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.12	-3	22	-25	14.8	13.1	1.65	13.2	14.1	-0.98
Sharife Cooper	20	21	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.27	-9	28	-37	14.9	13.6	1.26	13.7	13.6	0.02
Will Riley	24	26	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.41	-14	33	-47	16.7	13.0	3.67	12.3	14.1	-1.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.89,0.89,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 111, GSW 126	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.76,0.83,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.82,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.86,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
IND 113, MIL 140	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.63,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.83,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.93,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
GSW 99, UTA 115	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%