NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	99		Excitement	1.7 [1260]		MVP	Karl Malone (UTA): +10.8%
Utah Jazz	115		Comeback	1.1 [1260]		LVP	Antawn Jamison (GSW): -6.2%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Jones	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.16	0.00	0.08	6	142%	0.11	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Terry Cummings	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	7	71%	0.01	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vonteego Cummings	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.02	7	61%	-0.01	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Mookie Blaylock	-0.01	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Farmer	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	8	62%	0.00	1	-0.01	8	75%	-0.01
Adonal Foyle	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tim Legler	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.06	0.00	0.08	9	64%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.03
Jason Caffey	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	0.00	7	44%	-0.04	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Antawn Jamison	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.16	0.00	-0.10	17	38%	-0.02	4	-0.04	5	20%	-0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl Malone	0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.16	0.00	0.06	14	84%	0.12	2	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
Bryon Russell	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.00	-0.04	13	54%	0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	7	76%	0.06	1	-0.01	7	100%	0.01
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.00	10	67%	0.05	1	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.02	3	87%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	2	67%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Olden Polynice	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	7	56%	0.02	3	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
Pete Chilcutt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	7	57%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	6	71%	0.01	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Quincy Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.08	0.00	-0.07	3	25%	-0.01	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Adam Keefe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.8	27.0	15.6	23.7	1.7	31.6	126.5
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +29.9%

UTA +8.1%

UTA +4.6%

UTA +5.5%

UTA +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	UTA	NBA	GSW	UTA	NBA
this game	15.2	16.9	15.2	111.2	127.8	101.7
season	14.7	16.3		97.2	104.5
opponent	15.2	14.7		100.6	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	15.9	14.5	15.1	15.4	15.2
UTA	14.8	19.1	17.6	16.6	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damon Jones	45	46	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.33	8	-24	32	13.9	16.6	-2.75	17.9	16.0	1.94
Adonal Foyle	44	47	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.00	-6	-10	4	15.0	15.5	-0.49	17.7	16.1	1.54
Vonteego Cummings	50	50	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.33	5	-21	26	15.3	15.1	0.26	18.0	15.7	2.29
Terry Cummings	40	39	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.07	-6	-10	4	15.0	15.4	-0.41	17.7	16.3	1.41
Jason Caffey	29	28	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.15	-14	-2	-12	15.6	15.0	0.59	16.9	17.0	-0.02
Tim Legler	57	59	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.08	-6	-10	4	15.8	14.2	1.52	15.9	18.9	-2.99
Tony Farmer	57	58	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.09	-15	-1	-14	15.8	14.2	1.57	16.4	17.9	-1.49
Mookie Blaylock	54	54	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.24	-23	7	-30	15.7	14.5	1.17	16.5	17.7	-1.20
Antawn Jamison	69	69	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.18	-23	7	-30	14.9	16.4	-1.58	16.3	19.0	-2.62

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karl Malone	58	59	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.41	31	-15	46	16.9	16.9	0.01	15.0	15.6	-0.62
Bryon Russell	54	54	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.46	32	-16	48	17.2	16.6	0.65	15.1	15.4	-0.24
Greg Ostertag	44	43	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.51	32	-16	48	16.3	17.5	-1.18	15.7	14.8	0.83
Jeff Hornacek	46	45	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.48	30	-14	44	16.1	17.8	-1.67	15.5	14.9	0.58
John Stockton	38	38	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.27	20	-4	24	15.5	18.0	-2.45	14.5	15.7	-1.22
Howard Eisley	34	33	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.08	9	7	2	19.3	15.5	3.78	16.2	14.7	1.47
Olden Polynice	46	46	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.54	-16	32	-48	17.5	16.3	1.18	14.8	15.7	-0.83
Quincy Lewis	29	28	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.35	-10	26	-36	16.6	17.1	-0.58	14.2	15.7	-1.53
Jacque Vaughn	36	36	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.49	-15	31	-46	17.5	16.6	0.88	15.6	15.0	0.65
Scott Padgett	33	31	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.34	-11	27	-38	17.7	16.5	1.24	15.7	15.0	0.74
Pete Chilcutt	18	18	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.38	-13	29	-42	15.5	17.3	-1.81	15.0	15.3	-0.28
Adam Keefe	14	14	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.26	-9	25	-34	16.2	17.1	-0.86	15.6	15.2	0.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 81, IND 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.66,0.69,0.68,0.73,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.0%
DET 79, GSW 111	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.8,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.0%
DET 81, WAS 124	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.77,0.81,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%