inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 79 Excitement1.5 [1309] MVPBaron Davis (GSW): +7.6%
Golden State Warriors 111 Comeback1.0 [1008] LVPRonald Murray (DET): -5.2%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince0.050,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.090.000.03779%0.0500.0000%0.00
Antonio McDyess0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01440%0.0000.002100%-0.00
Amir Johnson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.042100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ronald Dupree0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.070.00-0.071032%0.0010.0050%0.00
Lindsey Hunter-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.01-0.00-0.011350%-0.002-0.002100%0.00
Carlos Delfino-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.090.00-0.07520%-0.022-0.0000%0.00
Rasheed Wallace-0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.010.000.03657%-0.011-0.012100%-0.00
Jason Maxiell-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.08-0.00-0.061144%0.014-0.03333%-0.00
Chauncey Billups-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.011146%-0.022-0.002100%0.00
Nazr Mohammed-0.040,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.060.00-0.0200%-0.002-0.0420%-0.00
Ronald Murray-0.050,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.080.00-0.03933%-0.022-0.0400%0.00

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Baron Davis0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.060.00-0.021461%0.081-0.00560%-0.01
Jason Richardson0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.070.000.001357%0.0700.002100%0.00
Mickael Pietrus0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.090.010.05681%0.071-0.01475%0.00
Andris Biedrins0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.070.000.02865%0.061-0.01425%-0.01
Troy Murphy0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.020.00-0.04940%0.0300.00250%-0.01
Monta Ellis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.00-0.01686%0.055-0.05250%-0.00
Matt Barnes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.100.000.103112%0.0000.00250%0.00
Dajuan Wagner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0010.00250%0.00
Patrick O'Bryant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.0520%0.0010.0000%0.00
Anthony Roberson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01658%0.0020.0000%0.00
Mike Dunleavy0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.01850%-0.012-0.0020%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.22.626.714.825.52.326.6121.5
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +32.5%
GSW +1.1%
GSW +8.1%
GSW +8.7%
DET -0.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETGSWNBADETGSWNBA
this game17.114.615.485.9123.3104.5
season16.813.5106.1105.7
opponent15.215.7105.7101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET19.915.417.016.117.1
GSW12.917.314.313.814.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Amir Johnson20190.00-0.500.500.000-323215.217.6-2.3814.414.6-0.24
Ronald Dupree2523-0.00-0.500.500.03-1-313016.117.4-1.3013.814.8-1.04
Carlos Delfino5047-0.09-0.410.320.06-5-272215.718.7-3.0315.014.00.97
Jason Maxiell5453-0.09-0.410.320.03-4-282416.018.6-2.5314.814.20.58
Antonio McDyess3232-0.15-0.350.210.20-12-20817.916.61.2413.315.3-1.98
Lindsey Hunter4949-0.15-0.350.200.11-9-231416.317.9-1.5413.615.7-2.07
Nazr Mohammed2222-0.29-0.21-0.070.21-17-15-219.016.42.6013.814.8-1.04
Chauncey Billups5656-0.38-0.12-0.260.32-24-8-1617.815.91.8915.413.22.22
Rasheed Wallace4746-0.41-0.09-0.320.38-27-5-2217.516.60.8715.213.91.35
Ronald Murray4746-0.46-0.04-0.430.39-29-3-2617.716.41.3515.513.52.02
Tayshaun Prince5857-0.47-0.03-0.450.47-320-3218.115.32.8114.015.5-1.52

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andris Biedrins57560.500.000.49-0.443203215.313.31.9817.716.11.66
Jason Richardson59580.470.030.44-0.382932614.913.91.0017.815.72.11
Monta Ellis55540.440.060.38-0.382842414.714.40.3017.716.21.50
Troy Murphy59590.430.070.37-0.121913615.113.61.4417.416.50.95
Baron Davis51540.360.140.22-0.492932613.915.4-1.4618.315.42.89
Mickael Pietrus38370.210.29-0.080.04626-2015.913.62.3616.417.5-1.19
Mike Dunleavy53570.080.42-0.33-0.241121-1013.615.9-2.2716.518.0-1.51
Anthony Roberson23250.000.50-0.50-0.03131-3013.814.8-1.0416.117.4-1.30
Matt Barnes23260.000.50-0.50-0.03131-3013.814.8-1.0415.717.6-1.97
Dajuan Wagner14150.000.50-0.50-0.06230-2814.214.6-0.4013.817.7-3.90
Patrick O'Bryant18190.000.50-0.50-0.06230-2813.114.9-1.8815.417.5-2.07


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.8,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
IND 89, PHX 1240.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.5%
DET 81, WAS 1240.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.77,0.81,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.4%
CHI 91, HOU 1210.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.3%