NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	81		Excitement	1.7 [1258]		MVP	Rik Smits (IND): +7.0%
Indiana Pacers	107		Comeback	1.0 [1156]		LVP	Horace Grant (ORL): -7.1%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Harper	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	10	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.08	-0.02	0.06	11	70%	0.00	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Dan Schayes	0.00	0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	7	43%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Lawson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Donald Royal	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.10	0.00	-0.09	6	31%	-0.00	2	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	57%	0.00	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Brian Evans	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.04	13	48%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Johnny Taylor	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.16	0.00	-0.11	7	22%	-0.01	3	-0.03	4	50%	0.00
Mark Price	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.15	0.00	-0.09	8	19%	-0.03	4	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	0.00	-0.03	16	29%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rik Smits	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.00	-0.01	12	69%	0.08	2	-0.01	5	40%	-0.02
Chris Mullin	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	0.01	9	67%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.00	-0.04	7	65%	0.07	1	-0.01	3	67%	0.00
Derrick McKey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	6	43%	0.02	1	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	5	80%	0.03	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.16	0.00	0.16	5	105%	0.00	0	0.00	9	78%	-0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	3	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	6	33%	-0.00
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	62%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	3	69%	-0.01	2	-0.03	7	71%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	2.4	23.6	15.4	23.4	1.8	28.4	116.6
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +37.2%

IND +5.8%

IND +1.5%

IND +3.7%

IND +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	IND	NBA	ORL	IND	NBA
this game	17.4	14.3	15.6	88.0	120.2	102.5
season	16.7	16.0		100.3	105.3
opponent	16.1	15.6		99.2	101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	20.6	17.6	15.9	16.0	17.4
IND	13.7	13.5	16.1	14.0	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Johnny Taylor	37	37	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-29	32	17.6	17.3	0.34	13.4	15.0	-1.58
Donald Royal	30	28	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.05	-2	-24	22	15.4	18.5	-3.08	14.1	14.4	-0.32
Darrell Armstrong	50	49	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.03	-3	-23	20	17.8	17.0	0.86	13.6	15.3	-1.72
Brian Evans	56	54	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.02	-6	-20	14	16.8	18.4	-1.55	14.1	14.6	-0.50
Jason Lawson	27	25	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.28	-17	-9	-8	20.7	16.1	4.56	13.5	14.7	-1.18
Dan Schayes	41	42	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.06	-11	-15	4	18.3	16.7	1.62	14.4	14.3	0.15
Bo Outlaw	71	69	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.15	-17	-9	-8	17.2	18.3	-1.15	14.3	14.5	-0.29
Mark Price	40	39	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.26	-22	-4	-18	17.1	17.7	-0.57	15.0	13.8	1.25
Derek Harper	53	50	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.35	-26	0	-26	17.2	17.8	-0.70	15.3	13.1	2.27
Horace Grant	55	52	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.35	-29	3	-32	17.3	17.6	-0.34	15.0	13.4	1.58

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Miller	49	51	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.32	25	1	24	15.1	13.3	1.77	17.3	17.7	-0.38
Rik Smits	40	40	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.27	23	3	20	15.0	13.7	1.32	17.1	17.7	-0.57
Chris Mullin	47	47	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.28	23	3	20	15.0	13.6	1.38	17.9	17.0	0.92
Mark Jackson	44	45	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.26	22	4	18	14.5	14.2	0.34	17.6	17.3	0.39
Dale Davis	39	41	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.25	21	5	16	15.1	13.7	1.43	16.2	18.5	-2.26
Antonio Davis	46	47	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.15	10	16	-6	13.6	15.1	-1.53	19.3	15.6	3.70
Travis Best	45	47	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.00	4	22	-18	14.2	14.5	-0.34	17.3	17.6	-0.39
Jalen Rose	35	38	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.14	-1	27	-28	12.7	15.4	-2.66	16.9	17.8	-0.94
Derrick McKey	41	42	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.08	6	20	-14	13.8	14.7	-0.92	18.4	16.7	1.72
Fred Hoiberg	40	41	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.06	1	25	-24	13.3	15.1	-1.77	17.7	17.3	0.38
Austin Croshere	13	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	26	-26	16.1	14.0	2.05	15.3	17.8	-2.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.66,0.69,0.68,0.73,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 82, DAL 119	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.3%
DET 81, WAS 124	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.77,0.81,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.3%
PHX 86, POR 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.8,0.86,0.89,0.86,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.2%