inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Indiana Pacers 113 Excitement2.6 [1089] MVPPat Connaughton (MIL): +16.6%
Milwaukee Bucks 140 Comeback1.1 [1007] LVPJustin Holiday (IND): -4.3%


Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Caris LeVert0.050,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.060.000.021753%0.0500.002100%0.00
T.J. McConnell0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.070.010.03872%0.051-0.012100%0.01
Domantas Sabonis0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.070.010.041756%0.051-0.01580%0.00
Doug McDermott0.040,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.140.000.101471%0.0400.0000%0.00
Goga Bitadze0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.030.000.011048%0.0200.001100%0.00
Jeremy Lamb0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.12-0.030.091470%0.051-0.052100%0.01
Kelan Martin0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jalen Lecque0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.080.00-0.0850%0.0000.0000%0.00
Cassius Stanley0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03425%0.0000.0000%0.00
Edmond Sumner-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02530%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Aaron Holiday-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.130.00-0.1170%-0.0210.0000%0.00
Justin Holiday-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.140.00-0.101015%-0.032-0.0100%0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Pat Connaughton0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.210.000.049111%0.1710.0000%0.00
Jrue Holiday0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.210.000.081587%0.162-0.02250%-0.00
Brook Lopez0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.050.01-0.051355%0.111-0.00786%0.02
Khris Middleton0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.000.012157%0.082-0.02250%-0.00
Bryn Forbes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.060.000.02967%0.051-0.0000%0.00
Bobby Portis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.060.000.021464%0.062-0.0200%0.00
Thanasis Antetokounmpo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.010.00-0.03243%0.0300.00333%0.00
Sam Merrill0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.042125%0.0010.0000%0.00
P.J. Tucker00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Axel Toupane0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mamadi Diakite00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jordan Nwora0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00260%0.0010.001100%0.00
Donte DiVincenzo0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.01667%0.014-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.52.224.414.831.52.028.2128.7
league avg25.62.428.114.828.02.332.7135.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +45.9%
IND -0.1%
MIL +5.5%
IND -2.2%
MIL +0.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsINDMILNBAINDMILNBA
this game14.013.014.4105.6130.8111.3
season13.613.5111.5114.8
opponent14.714.4109.3111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
IND13.512.014.716.114.0
MIL11.313.314.113.313.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kelan Martin880.00-0.500.500.09-3-242120.413.46.9410.013.2-3.20
Jalen Lecque660.00-0.500.500.03-1-262521.013.57.479.813.1-3.32
Cassius Stanley880.00-0.500.500.09-3-242120.413.46.9410.013.2-3.20
Jeremy Lamb6363-0.06-0.440.38-0.246-333913.015.3-2.3613.412.31.09
Aaron Holiday3737-0.10-0.400.290.13-8-191114.813.51.2712.213.4-1.22
Goga Bitadze4041-0.11-0.390.280.01-4-231914.313.70.6312.613.2-0.65
T.J. McConnell7472-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.14-4-231912.816.5-3.6213.112.70.45
Edmond Sumner3535-0.30-0.20-0.100.25-19-8-1114.513.70.7511.913.5-1.56
Caris LeVert6869-0.37-0.13-0.240.13-17-10-713.714.3-0.6013.911.22.68
Domantas Sabonis7474-0.38-0.12-0.260.15-18-9-913.614.8-1.2913.411.91.57
Doug McDermott6868-0.44-0.06-0.390.50-325-3713.315.1-1.7313.212.60.59
Justin Holiday5454-0.47-0.03-0.440.47-325-3714.413.50.8012.913.1-0.22

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jrue Holiday70700.51-0.010.51-0.262612512.513.9-1.4613.315.2-1.93
Pat Connaughton76770.460.040.42-0.302612513.013.0-0.0113.215.9-2.75
Khris Middleton70690.440.060.38-0.4129-23113.112.60.4814.113.70.38
Donte DiVincenzo61620.340.160.19-0.272161513.712.01.6514.213.60.69
Brook Lopez41430.290.210.08-0.151512313.312.70.5714.013.90.12
Bryn Forbes69690.220.28-0.060.08522-1713.312.40.8813.015.7-2.68
Bobby Portis60580.210.29-0.08-0.111116-513.012.90.1613.214.9-1.71
P.J. Tucker27280.030.47-0.450.17-532-3712.713.0-0.3513.514.1-0.66
Sam Merrill10100.000.50-0.50-0.09324-2112.013.1-1.0618.713.55.24
Axel Toupane660.000.50-0.50-0.03126-259.813.1-3.3221.013.57.47
Mamadi Diakite870.000.50-0.50-0.09324-2110.013.2-3.2020.013.56.47
Jordan Nwora880.000.50-0.50-0.09324-2110.013.2-3.2020.413.46.94
Thanasis Antetokounmpo2928-0.000.50-0.500.09-330-3313.812.71.0914.613.70.84


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.63,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.83,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.93,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHA 111, GSW 1260.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.76,0.83,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.82,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.86,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.2%
LAL 114, SAC 1320.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.9,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.9%
ORL 81, LAC 1010.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.9%