NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	111		Excitement	1.9 [1287]		MVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): +22.8%
Golden State Warriors	126		Comeback	1.0 [1303]		LVP	Jeremy Lamb (CHA): -3.8%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nicolas Batum	0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.02	7	81%	0.05	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Frank Kaminsky	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.18	0.00	0.16	14	75%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.06	11	36%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	5	47%	0.02	3	-0.01	5	100%	0.01
Marvin Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	13	54%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.08	0.00	0.08	11	64%	0.00	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.00
Brian Roberts	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	3	80%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Christian Wood	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Treveon Graham	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	3	62%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	12%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jeremy Lamb	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	11	29%	-0.04	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.39	0.00	0.16	20	97%	0.23	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.20	0.00	0.03	19	71%	0.17	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.01
JaVale McGee	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	7	60%	0.04	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	2	40%	0.02	1	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Patrick McCaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.06	5	36%	0.01	1	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	10	40%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	17	49%	0.02	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.00
James Michael McAdoo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damian Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	6	17%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	1.7	29.2	15.0	28.0	2.5	27.7	127.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +45.2%

GSW +0.6%

GSW +2.6%

GSW +1.5%

GSW +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	GSW	NBA	CHA	GSW	NBA
this game	14.9	13.5	14.8	108.8	124.8	107.7
season	15.1	13.5		107.9	114.9
opponent	15.1	14.8		103.3	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	16.4	15.8	14.4	13.0	14.9
GSW	12.4	13.5	12.7	15.2	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Treveon Graham	11	12	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.26	9	-24	33	9.6	15.5	-5.90	17.2	13.0	4.29
Christian Wood	14	15	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.24	8	-23	31	10.8	15.6	-4.77	16.7	12.9	3.76
Brian Roberts	32	32	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.33	11	-26	37	13.0	15.8	-2.73	15.2	12.7	2.57
Ramon Sessions	16	15	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.09	1	-16	17	13.8	15.1	-1.29	15.4	13.1	2.27
Jeremy Lamb	51	50	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.36	10	-25	35	14.2	15.6	-1.41	14.1	12.9	1.18
Marco Belinelli	63	63	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.51	12	-27	39	14.3	15.9	-1.69	14.6	11.6	3.07
Frank Kaminsky	49	48	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.22	2	-17	19	15.2	14.6	0.66	14.0	13.0	0.98
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	48	48	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.25	-21	6	-27	16.0	14.0	2.00	12.8	14.1	-1.28
Spencer Hawes	52	52	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.30	-24	9	-33	16.6	13.1	3.50	11.7	15.3	-3.65
Nicolas Batum	52	50	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.47	-30	15	-45	15.7	14.0	1.73	12.3	14.6	-2.39
Kemba Walker	54	54	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.36	-27	12	-39	16.3	13.3	3.04	11.9	15.3	-3.39
Marvin Williams	68	66	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.33	-26	11	-37	14.8	15.1	-0.37	12.9	14.5	-1.56

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Klay Thompson	71	71	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.39	30	-15	45	12.6	15.5	-2.89	15.9	12.5	3.43
Draymond Green	68	69	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.23	24	-9	33	12.5	15.5	-2.95	15.0	14.6	0.44
Kevin Durant	67	68	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.35	27	-12	39	12.9	14.7	-1.83	16.0	12.7	3.34
Stephen Curry	63	65	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.32	25	-10	35	12.4	15.2	-2.71	15.6	13.7	1.88
JaVale McGee	35	37	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.39	25	-10	35	12.0	14.2	-2.24	16.7	13.9	2.87
Andre Iguodala	52	53	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.17	0	15	-15	13.6	13.4	0.19	14.8	15.1	-0.31
James Michael McAdoo	38	37	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.33	-8	23	-31	15.2	12.4	2.71	13.7	15.6	-1.88
Ian Clark	34	33	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.47	-13	28	-41	15.2	12.6	2.58	13.1	15.8	-2.63
Kevon Looney	20	19	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.27	-9	24	-33	16.6	12.7	3.97	10.5	15.9	-5.44
Damian Jones	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	20	-25	15.9	13.2	2.66	10.1	15.4	-5.25
Anderson Varejao	12	12	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	23	-31	13.1	13.5	-0.43	15.8	14.8	1.06
Patrick McCaw	36	37	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.37	-13	28	-41	15.6	12.3	3.25	13.7	15.6	-1.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.76,0.83,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.82,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.86,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 114, SAC 132	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.9,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
DET 79, GSW 111	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.8,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
MIA 69, POR 88	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.64,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.83,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%