NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	102		Excitement	8.0 [101]		MVP	Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL): +32.2%
Milwaukee Bucks	110		Comeback	1.6 [230]		LVP	Khris Middleton (MIL): -21.1%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trae Young	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.1	0.12	-0.00	0.01	18	66%	0.25	5	-0.15	17	82%	0.02
Onyeka Okongwu	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.00	5	67%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.00	7	71%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vit Krejci	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Johnson	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	15	43%	0.06	1	-0.06	5	60%	-0.02
Zaccharie Risacher	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
De'Andre Hunter	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	16	42%	-0.00	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.06
Clint Capela	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	8	33%	-0.04	1	-0.06	2	0%	0.00
Dyson Daniels	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	10	46%	-0.04	3	-0.07	4	25%	-0.05

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.16	0.18	0.02	15	67%	0.34	1	-0.02	18	67%	-0.03
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.25	0.26	0.11	0.14	-0.00	10	80%	0.29	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.01	21	53%	0.16	2	-0.07	5	80%	0.00
Andre Jackson Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.05	0.00	4	62%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	10	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
AJ Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.02	-0.01	6	75%	0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Prince	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	8	37%	-0.02	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	0.00	5	8%	-0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21	-0.21	-0.08	-0.13	0.00	7	37%	-0.09	3	-0.13	2	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.9	3.3	30.6	16.4	28.7	3.3	41.7	150.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.3	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +42.1%

ATL -3.5%

MIL +11.2%

ATL -0.4%

MIL +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	MIL	NBA	ATL	MIL	NBA
this game	12.8	14.7	14.3	98.1	103.8	111.9
season	13.2	14.7		110.2	112.1
opponent	14.2	14.3		110.8	113.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	12.4	12.0	14.0	12.9	12.8
MIL	13.3	14.7	17.2	13.8	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Onyeka Okongwu	41	43	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.06	3	-11	14	13.3	12.4	0.98	14.0	15.1	-1.11
Vit Krejci	10	11	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.09	-3	-5	2	15.7	12.4	3.26	14.0	14.7	-0.74
Bogdan Bogdanovic	51	54	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-7	6	13.2	12.3	0.88	13.9	15.5	-1.65
Zaccharie Risacher	36	37	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.06	-9	1	-10	13.3	12.5	0.81	15.0	14.5	0.56
De'Andre Hunter	65	66	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.18	-3	-5	2	12.6	12.9	-0.32	14.1	15.5	-1.39
Dyson Daniels	82	81	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.36	-1	-7	6	12.4	14.2	-1.87	15.7	11.2	4.58
Trae Young	86	87	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.32	-4	-4	0	12.4	14.3	-1.85	14.6	14.7	-0.09
Clint Capela	63	63	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.20	-11	3	-14	12.4	13.3	-0.98	15.1	14.0	1.11
Jalen Johnson	86	88	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.27	-11	3	-14	12.7	12.9	-0.24	14.5	15.4	-0.94

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brook Lopez	74	73	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.22	21	-13	34	14.6	14.7	-0.04	12.9	12.4	0.56
Damian Lillard	85	81	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.32	5	3	2	14.8	14.1	0.65	12.4	14.0	-1.55
AJ Green	42	41	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.17	6	2	4	13.6	15.3	-1.72	13.5	12.3	1.22
Giannis Antetokounmpo	82	83	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.21	3	5	-2	14.9	13.8	1.07	12.6	13.5	-0.91
Gary Trent Jr.	51	47	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.03	8	0	8	13.6	15.7	-2.07	13.2	12.4	0.88
Taurean Prince	42	42	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.00	6	2	4	15.9	13.9	1.98	12.9	12.7	0.22
Andre Jackson Jr.	53	54	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.07	1	7	-6	15.9	13.4	2.49	12.6	12.9	-0.21
Khris Middleton	50	49	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.22	-5	13	-18	13.7	15.5	-1.74	12.3	13.2	-0.92
Bobby Portis	51	50	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.08	-5	13	-18	14.6	14.7	-0.06	12.8	12.7	0.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.61,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.44,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.6,0.68,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.67,0.66,0.6,0.55,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.66,0.61,0.75,0.9,0.84,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 119, WAS 125	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.62,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.48,0.58,0.64,0.55,0.61,0.69,0.89,0.98,0.98,1	92.9%
CHH 86, NYK 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.5,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.61,0.68,0.76,0.82,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.76,0.62,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.62,0.53,0.59,0.7,0.6,0.86,0.9,0.97,1,1	92.9%
CHI 93, DEN 101	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.72,0.65,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.66,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.61,0.72,0.97,0.98,1	92.9%