NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	86		Excitement	7.0 [235]		MVP	Latrell Sprewell (NYK): +6.4%
New York Knicks	94		Comeback	1.5 [485]		LVP	Charlie Ward (NYK): -17.3%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Jones	0.02	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	-0.00	0.05	15	61%	0.02	0	0.00	8	75%	0.02
Chucky Brown	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chuck Person	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	75%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
David Wesley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	9	71%	0.18	7	-0.22	3	67%	-0.01
Ricky Davis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	4	56%	0.01	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Bobby Phills	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	11	46%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Eldridge Recasner	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	10	33%	-0.08	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.05
Derrick Coleman	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16	-0.14	-0.05	-0.03	15	38%	-0.16	0	0.00	15	60%	-0.07

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.02	0.08	-0.01	13	50%	0.09	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.04
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.04	-0.01	8	39%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.04
Larry Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	10	68%	0.08	3	-0.10	8	75%	-0.02
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	16	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	8	75%	-0.01
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.04,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.07	-0.01	7	60%	0.05	2	-0.11	6	67%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	9	56%	0.03	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.17	-0.03	-0.02	9	26%	-0.07	3	-0.10	5	80%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.1	2.4	34.6	20.1	25.5	1.8	37.0	142.5
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +20.3%

NYK +12.5%

NYK +26.9%

CHH -11.6%

NYK +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	NYK	NBA	CHH	NYK	NBA
this game	15.8	16.7	15.8	97.7	105.6	99.6
season	15.7	16.0		99.2	97.0
opponent	16.6	15.5		95.1	99.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	14.9	14.3	16.3	17.9	15.8
NYK	18.7	15.0	18.8	14.8	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chucky Brown	10	10	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.07	4	-12	16	12.5	16.2	-3.73	17.9	16.6	1.32
Chuck Person	10	11	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.08	1	-9	10	9.9	16.6	-6.66	20.3	16.2	4.04
Brad Miller	17	19	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.02	-3	-5	2	14.8	16.1	-1.29	21.2	15.5	5.63
Eldridge Recasner	10	11	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.03	-5	-3	-2	17.9	15.5	2.36	17.4	16.6	0.72
Ricky Davis	21	22	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.09	-3	-5	2	14.6	16.2	-1.56	18.5	16.1	2.41
David Wesley	76	76	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.29	-1	-7	6	15.7	16.3	-0.61	16.8	16.2	0.59
Bobby Phills	75	75	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.21	-6	-2	-4	16.3	12.7	3.65	16.0	20.9	-4.90
Derrick Coleman	73	71	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.25	-5	-3	-2	16.4	12.9	3.54	16.3	18.5	-2.22
Eddie Jones	75	76	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.21	-8	0	-8	15.9	15.0	0.95	16.1	20.5	-4.37
Elden Campbell	73	74	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.17	-14	6	-20	16.2	14.1	2.02	16.1	20.1	-4.01

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Childs	62	60	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.21	15	-7	22	16.9	16.4	0.46	15.7	15.9	-0.18
Latrell Sprewell	62	61	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.24	14	-6	20	16.9	16.4	0.46	15.7	16.0	-0.28
Larry Johnson	73	71	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.18	11	-3	14	16.2	19.2	-3.07	15.8	15.8	-0.02
Allan Houston	72	73	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.32	6	2	4	16.3	18.5	-2.15	16.1	14.4	1.70
Marcus Camby	29	28	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.03	10	-2	12	18.1	16.1	2.04	15.7	15.9	-0.19
Chris Dudley	59	59	0.20	0.29	-0.09	0.26	-2	10	-12	17.2	15.9	1.30	16.4	14.7	1.72
Kurt Thomas	40	42	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.08	-7	15	-22	16.2	17.1	-0.92	15.7	15.9	-0.27
Charlie Ward	48	45	-0.14	0.65	-0.79	0.03	-6	14	-20	16.9	16.6	0.31	15.0	16.6	-1.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.5,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.61,0.68,0.76,0.82,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.76,0.62,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.62,0.53,0.59,0.7,0.6,0.86,0.9,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 87, CHA 102	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.69,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.73,0.67,0.58,0.62,0.72,0.56,0.7,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.64,0.73,0.86,0.89,0.98,1,1	93.0%
NOH 84, IND 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.67,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.73,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.53,0.59,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.94,1,1	92.4%
DEN 111, ATL 116	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.5,0.5,0.58,0.67,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.79,0.72,0.78,0.75,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.91,1	92.4%