inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 122 Excitement6.9 [189] MVPGradey Dick (TOR): +17.6%
Toronto Raptors 121 Comeback1.3 [295] LVPKelly Olynyk (TOR): -6.8%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nikola Vucevic0.160,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.160.150.030.011767%0.1600.002100%0.02
Julian Phillips0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.060.01-0.01591%0.122-0.041100%0.00
Lonzo Ball0.070,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,0.07,0.07-0.070.13-0.02940%0.143-0.072100%0.05
Matas Buzelis0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.050.02-0.00570%0.0700.0000%0.00
Jalen Smith0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.09-0.000.03583%0.0600.002100%0.01
Coby White0.050,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.05-0.040.07-0.021551%0.134-0.08786%0.01
Josh Giddey0.040,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.00-0.00492%0.123-0.074100%0.02
Ayo Dosunmu0.010,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.040.04-0.011537%0.0100.00250%-0.02
Patrick Williams0.000,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.00643%0.0000.002100%0.01
Talen Horton-Tucker0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.031250%0.0000.00633%-0.03

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gradey Dick0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.180.180.070.09-0.022057%0.191-0.02786%0.05
Ochai Agbaji0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.070.040.011062%0.1000.00450%-0.02
Chris Boucher0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.010.01852%0.0400.00560%-0.02
Ja'Kobe Walter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.01-0.00-0.01650%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Jamal Shead0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02-0.020.10-0.020.104125%0.021-0.0400%0.00
Garrett Temple0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.0010%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Jakob Poeltl0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.010.01743%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Davion Mitchell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.010.01275%0.013-0.0700%0.00
Jonathan Mogbo0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.020.01444%-0.012-0.0610%-0.02
RJ Barrett0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.07-0.070.02-0.030.062456%0.116-0.17989%0.04
Kelly Olynyk0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.020.00644%-0.022-0.05475%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.52.428.814.838.81.734.7144.6
league avg25.82.328.114.928.42.332.3134.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI +33.4%
CHI +5.0%
TOR -9.3%
CHI +20.2%
CHI +0.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHITORNBACHITORNBA
this game11.814.614.3109.9112.0112.0
season13.113.8111.5109.1
opponent14.714.3116.3115.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHI11.011.011.014.211.8
TOR13.816.314.314.014.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Coby White80790.56-0.060.620.2710-91912.011.10.8814.514.8-0.25
Nikola Vucevic74730.330.170.160.272-1311.612.1-0.4714.514.6-0.08
Josh Giddey55560.330.170.16-0.0814-132710.413.1-2.6415.313.81.48
Talen Horton-Tucker58560.290.210.080.47-67-1312.211.30.9213.715.5-1.82
Lonzo Ball53510.280.220.070.55-910-1911.611.9-0.2414.514.7-0.23
Ayo Dosunmu93880.270.230.040.51-89-1712.110.31.7814.614.30.34
Matas Buzelis31290.210.29-0.070.017-61310.912.1-1.2013.914.8-0.93
Jalen Smith36340.160.34-0.180.102-1312.411.50.9614.914.40.54
Patrick Williams51490.040.46-0.410.16-45-911.212.2-1.0514.514.6-0.12
Julian Phillips24250.010.49-0.470.10-34-713.911.22.7415.714.21.44

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Garrett Temple780.00-0.500.51-0.021-2312.914.7-1.8412.411.70.66
Jamal Shead2526-0.10-0.400.30-0.3910-112114.014.7-0.7514.211.03.22
Jakob Poeltl5352-0.19-0.310.120.01-76-1314.115.1-1.0211.112.3-1.19
Ja'Kobe Walter5253-0.21-0.290.09-0.03-65-1115.014.10.9012.211.30.88
Gradey Dick7276-0.21-0.290.08-0.6515-163114.414.9-0.5112.011.30.74
Chris Boucher4850-0.21-0.290.080.05-98-1714.814.40.4310.512.8-2.38
Kelly Olynyk2830-0.24-0.260.02-0.03-76-1315.914.11.7811.511.9-0.36
Davion Mitchell3639-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.09-65-1114.914.40.5111.711.8-0.15
Jonathan Mogbo6163-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.548-91714.215.1-0.9412.910.32.52
RJ Barrett8686-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.381-2314.315.5-1.1111.811.80.01
Ochai Agbaji7272-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.28-54-914.913.91.0710.813.6-2.77


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.29,0.24,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.33,0.41,0.46,0.34,0.23,0.28,0.36,0.33,0.18,0.15,0.17,0.2,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.1,0.15,0.05,0.03,0.21,0.31,0.02,0
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 88, DAL 780.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.22,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.2,0.25,0.17,0.27,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.12,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.19,0.07,0,093.1%
NJN 82, IND 750.5,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.26,0.2,0.21,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.19,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.15,0.17,0.15,092.9%
WAS 96, NOH 910.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.28,0.29,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.3,0.21,0.16,0.2,0.14,0.15,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.07,0.02,0.16,0.16,0.01,092.7%