NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	88		Excitement	4.5 [560]		MVP	Hakeem Olajuwon (HOU): +10.5%
Dallas Mavericks	78		Comeback	1.0 [627]		LVP	Michael Finley (DAL): -18.7%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hakeem Olajuwon	0.11	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.02	0.01	16	67%	0.13	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Cuttino Mobley	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	11	67%	0.11	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Michael Dickerson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	9	44%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Price	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mack	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryce Drew	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	-0.05	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	8	61%	0.04	5	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Othella Harrington	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	2	62%	0.01	4	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Charles Barkley	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.02	-0.04	18	38%	-0.07	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
A.C. Green	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hot Rod Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	17	50%	0.04	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	14	57%	0.05	3	-0.06	7	57%	-0.02
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	10	37%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	14	34%	-0.09	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.04
Steve Nash	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	10	15%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.12	-0.07	-0.01	20	36%	-0.10	2	-0.09	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.7	23.2	16.4	22.8	2.0	32.4	121.5
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +43.8%

HOU +5.2%

DAL -0.9%

HOU +0.7%

HOU +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	DAL	NBA	HOU	DAL	NBA
this game	16.6	16.5	15.8	100.0	90.7	99.6
season	16.0	15.9		103.1	99.7
opponent	15.6	15.6		102.3	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.6	16.1	15.9	18.7	16.6
DAL	18.0	16.6	18.4	13.1	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Dickerson	58	57	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.01	17	-7	24	16.0	17.9	-1.90	18.4	12.7	5.68
Cuttino Mobley	66	64	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.13	11	-1	12	16.8	16.1	0.64	16.5	16.6	-0.14
Scottie Pippen	71	70	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.04	14	-4	18	16.5	17.1	-0.55	17.4	12.5	4.90
Hakeem Olajuwon	67	67	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.16	8	2	6	16.3	17.8	-1.51	16.4	16.7	-0.32
Othella Harrington	47	45	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.14	7	3	4	17.0	16.2	0.74	16.7	16.3	0.37
Charles Barkley	62	60	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.12	5	5	0	16.7	16.3	0.43	16.4	16.6	-0.18
Sam Mack	19	18	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.18	-4	14	-18	16.9	16.5	0.36	14.3	17.1	-2.73
Brent Price	39	38	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.24	-6	16	-22	16.9	16.4	0.51	14.1	18.4	-4.22
Bryce Drew	11	11	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	12	-14	18.3	16.4	1.90	12.6	17.1	-4.42

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	9	9	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-9	8	20.9	16.0	4.91	13.1	17.0	-3.90
Hot Rod Williams	20	21	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.08	-9	-1	-8	17.6	16.1	1.51	16.3	16.7	-0.37
Erick Strickland	43	43	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.16	-1	-9	8	15.7	17.2	-1.49	16.9	16.3	0.62
A.C. Green	33	34	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.00	-7	-3	-4	18.3	15.3	2.99	16.0	17.0	-0.95
Steve Nash	52	53	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.19	-3	-7	4	16.5	16.4	0.08	16.7	16.5	0.26
Gary Trent	61	62	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.24	-2	-8	6	15.8	18.2	-2.41	16.4	17.1	-0.66
Shawn Bradley	65	66	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.29	-1	-9	8	16.0	18.0	-1.94	17.0	15.6	1.36
Michael Finley	77	79	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.18	-9	-1	-8	16.0	20.9	-4.91	17.0	13.1	3.90
Hubert Davis	70	73	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.03	-17	7	-24	16.8	15.2	1.52	16.6	16.9	-0.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.22,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.2,0.25,0.17,0.27,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.12,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.19,0.07,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 93, PHI 88	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.2,0.28,0.24,0.3,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0,0,0	95.2%
POR 105, SAS 95	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.19,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.29,0.2,0.22,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0,0	95.1%
DAL 105, DEN 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.3,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.13,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%