NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	105		Excitement	4.3 [947]		MVP	Rasheed Wallace (POR): +11.2%
San Antonio Spurs	95		Comeback	1.0 [522]		LVP	Mario Elie (SAS): -14.5%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0.11	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.01	15	69%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Detlef Schrempf	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	6	73%	0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Scottie Pippen	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.02	-0.03	7	64%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.00	10	71%	0.13	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Bonzi Wells	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	10	55%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brian Grant	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	4	55%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Greg Anthony	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	4	64%	0.03	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.01
Steven Smith	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	8	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Damon Stoudamire	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	0.01	-0.00	9	41%	-0.03	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.00	0.01	9	71%	0.08	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
David Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	0.01	0.04	18	63%	0.06	0	0.00	10	70%	-0.02
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	12	60%	0.05	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Jerome Kersey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Samaki Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	9	37%	-0.06	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	7	31%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Jaren Jackson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mario Elie	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	0.00	6	50%	-0.01	6	-0.13	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	2.3	26.6	16.5	25.4	2.4	35.3	133.3
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +42.3%

SAS -9.0%

POR +9.7%

POR +3.1%

POR +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	SAS	NBA	POR	SAS	NBA
this game	16.9	15.8	15.2	120.7	106.7	101.7
season	15.9	15.5		105.9	101.6
opponent	15.4	15.7		95.9	99.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.5	18.3	16.8	18.4	16.9
SAS	15.5	16.9	16.7	14.3	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Arvydas Sabonis	53	53	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.01	14	-4	18	15.8	18.6	-2.77	16.2	15.2	0.99
Rasheed Wallace	68	69	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.19	6	4	2	17.3	15.5	1.80	15.8	15.9	-0.18
Steven Smith	45	45	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.05	8	2	6	17.4	16.4	1.02	16.9	14.7	2.18
Damon Stoudamire	61	61	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.08	7	3	4	16.9	17.1	-0.26	15.5	16.5	-0.96
Detlef Schrempf	40	40	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.10	6	4	2	17.4	16.5	0.91	16.1	15.5	0.62
Scottie Pippen	47	49	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.10	4	6	-2	16.5	17.4	-0.91	15.5	16.1	-0.62
Greg Anthony	26	28	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.13	3	7	-4	17.1	16.9	0.26	16.5	15.5	0.96
Bonzi Wells	42	44	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.16	2	8	-6	16.4	17.4	-1.02	14.7	16.9	-2.18
Brian Grant	36	37	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.13	1	9	-8	17.7	16.4	1.40	14.8	16.5	-1.71
Jermaine O'Neal	17	19	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.08	-1	11	-12	17.0	16.9	0.09	16.8	15.5	1.25

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Samaki Walker	13	11	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.09	2	-12	14	10.5	16.7	-6.17	15.3	17.2	-1.90
Jerome Kersey	16	15	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.05	-5	-5	0	16.1	15.8	0.31	15.2	17.3	-2.09
Jaren Jackson	35	34	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.14	1	-11	12	18.7	14.0	4.69	17.7	16.5	1.22
Antonio Daniels	34	33	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.14	-1	-9	8	15.7	15.9	-0.12	18.4	16.1	2.31
Malik Rose	20	19	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.13	-13	3	-16	16.2	15.7	0.57	15.6	17.3	-1.73
David Robinson	78	76	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.29	0	-10	10	16.0	14.5	1.44	17.4	13.5	3.88
Avery Johnson	55	54	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.07	-9	-1	-8	15.9	15.7	0.12	16.1	18.4	-2.31
Terry Porter	60	59	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.21	-5	-5	0	14.4	18.7	-4.32	16.9	16.9	0.00
Tim Duncan	67	68	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.16	-9	-1	-8	16.5	13.7	2.77	17.0	16.6	0.45
Mario Elie	67	66	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.11	-11	1	-12	15.5	16.7	-1.16	16.9	16.9	0.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.19,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.29,0.2,0.22,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 114, WAS 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.27,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.32,0.27,0.19,0.2,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
SAC 96, MEM 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.36,0.19,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.13,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.02,0	95.4%
LAL 111, PHI 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.27,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.2,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%