NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	82		Excitement	5.2 [765]		MVP	Richard Jefferson (NJN): +14.9%
Indiana Pacers	75		Comeback	1.2 [486]		LVP	Anthony Johnson (IND): -15.3%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.15	0.06	0.08	-0.01	17	56%	0.15	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lucious Harris	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.01	7	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01	-0.07	0.05	-0.03	20	49%	0.07	3	-0.05	7	43%	-0.05
Kerry Kittles	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	9	44%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Pack	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	4	44%	0.00	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Rodney Rogers	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.12	0.04	-0.03	13	46%	0.01	4	-0.06	9	78%	0.07
Brian Scalabrine	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	40%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.04	-0.01	10	65%	0.16	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	6	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	19	55%	0.06	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.00
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	9	50%	-0.03	2	-0.05	8	100%	0.04
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	11	46%	-0.04	3	-0.05	6	50%	-0.05
Anthony Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.13	-0.03	-0.01	10	20%	-0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.0	23.2	15.7	30.0	2.4	33.7	130.3
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +24.9%

NJN +3.5%

IND -5.1%

NJN +24.6%

NJN +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	IND	NBA	NJN	IND	NBA
this game	14.8	17.4	15.7	91.1	84.3	100.5
season	15.3	16.7		98.1	101.1
opponent	15.7	16.2		94.7	95.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	12.1	18.5	14.3	15.1	14.8
IND	16.7	20.5	15.7	17.6	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	81	80	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.33	4	3	1	14.3	19.1	-4.81	17.0	21.2	-4.23
Richard Jefferson	82	82	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.26	5	2	3	14.4	18.6	-4.22	17.4	18.1	-0.79
Kenyon Martin	81	79	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.28	4	3	1	14.3	19.1	-4.81	16.8	21.9	-5.05
Brian Scalabrine	42	39	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.16	7	0	7	15.6	14.0	1.62	17.7	17.2	0.49
Lucious Harris	34	35	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.02	8	-1	9	14.9	14.7	0.12	17.4	17.4	-0.07
Kerry Kittles	56	54	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.28	-1	8	-9	14.7	14.9	-0.12	17.4	17.4	0.07
Jason Collins	51	52	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.12	3	4	-1	15.9	13.4	2.50	17.7	17.1	0.62
Rodney Rogers	14	15	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.05	2	5	-3	13.2	15.1	-1.85	19.1	17.1	2.07
Robert Pack	9	9	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.04	3	4	-1	19.1	14.3	4.81	21.2	17.0	4.23

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Austin Croshere	42	43	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.32	9	-16	25	15.8	18.9	-3.09	15.2	14.4	0.83
James Jones	15	13	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-7	7	15.0	17.9	-2.91	14.4	14.8	-0.46
Metta World Peace	23	23	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.02	-5	-2	-3	18.5	17.0	1.43	15.3	14.6	0.77
Fred Jones	35	34	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.02	-8	1	-9	17.4	17.4	-0.07	14.9	14.7	0.12
Jeff Foster	49	46	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.13	-5	-2	-3	17.3	17.5	-0.20	13.9	15.7	-1.86
Reggie Miller	58	60	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.23	-3	-4	1	17.9	16.5	1.48	14.7	15.0	-0.33
Anthony Johnson	48	50	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.00	-12	5	-17	19.1	15.4	3.67	14.6	15.0	-0.35
Al Harrington	70	74	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.28	-5	-2	-3	17.6	16.8	0.73	15.1	13.1	2.01
Jermaine O'Neal	63	66	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.21	-9	2	-11	18.0	15.9	2.11	14.7	15.0	-0.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.26,0.2,0.21,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.19,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.15,0.17,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 109, DET 98	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.26,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.0%
MIN 99, NOH 94	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.35,0.37,0.46,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.3,0.25,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.27,0.35,0.2,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.13,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.11,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0,0	93.6%
DET 97, PHI 87	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.31,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.13,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.13,0.15,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.6%