NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	96		Excitement	5.8 [641]		MVP	Mike Miller (WAS): +26.1%
New Orleans Hornets	91		Comeback	1.1 [240]		LVP	David West (NOH): -16.2%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Miller	0.26	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.18	0.09	0.02	14	75%	0.29	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.02
Shaun Livingston	0.16	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16	0.08	0.03	-0.04	10	82%	0.28	3	-0.12	2	100%	0.05
Andray Blatche	0.15	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.07	0.11	0.02	17	59%	0.19	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.04
Nick Young	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.03	0.05	-0.02	9	45%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.04
JaVale McGee	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	10	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
James Singleton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Quinton Ross	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fabricio Oberto	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	100%	0.02	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.06	-0.00	11	62%	0.15	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	6	75%	0.10	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.04	0.00	9	56%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	11	56%	0.09	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	9	44%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	5	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Emeka Okafor	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	6	36%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	5	42%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.12
David West	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16	-0.16	-0.05	-0.08	0.03	15	55%	-0.05	5	-0.11	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.5	28.4	16.4	26.6	2.5	37.5	138.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +48.8%

WAS +14.4%

NOH -11.9%

NOH -2.4%

WAS +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	NOH	NBA	WAS	NOH	NBA
this game	17.2	15.5	15.3	109.1	103.4	106.0
season	15.7	15.5		102.6	106.0
opponent	15.2	15.3		108.3	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	16.6	18.4	16.4	17.3	17.2
NOH	16.1	15.9	17.9	12.7	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaun Livingston	69	68	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.20	17	-12	29	17.5	16.1	1.39	15.2	16.8	-1.64
Andray Blatche	72	70	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.33	12	-7	19	17.3	16.6	0.77	15.3	16.4	-1.07
Nick Young	62	64	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.27	13	-8	21	18.0	15.2	2.89	16.2	13.6	2.63
Fabricio Oberto	33	35	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.07	17	-12	29	17.4	17.1	0.27	15.8	15.4	0.44
Mike Miller	83	82	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.29	9	-4	13	17.0	21.2	-4.25	15.4	17.7	-2.29
JaVale McGee	23	24	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.08	-7	12	-19	18.6	16.7	1.86	16.5	15.2	1.33
Earl Boykins	20	20	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.16	-10	15	-25	15.4	17.7	-2.32	16.8	15.2	1.64
Quinton Ross	30	30	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.16	-12	17	-29	16.6	17.5	-0.90	14.4	16.1	-1.67
James Singleton	48	47	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.20	-14	19	-33	16.2	18.4	-2.17	15.2	16.0	-0.78

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Gray	24	21	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.08	9	-14	23	16.7	15.1	1.56	17.8	17.0	0.75
James Posey	47	46	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.29	10	-15	25	14.8	16.3	-1.51	17.9	16.4	1.51
Darren Collison	45	47	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.27	3	-8	11	15.0	16.1	-1.18	16.7	17.8	-1.05
Marcus Thornton	66	65	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.27	-3	-2	-1	15.2	16.5	-1.23	16.7	18.5	-1.80
Darius Songaila	38	39	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.07	-11	6	-17	15.9	15.2	0.73	16.6	17.7	-1.04
David West	63	64	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.34	-3	-2	-1	15.2	16.4	-1.15	17.7	15.9	1.81
Emeka Okafor	41	42	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.02	-14	9	-23	16.3	14.9	1.42	17.0	17.3	-0.28
Chris Paul	80	80	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.35	-3	-2	-1	15.4	17.1	-1.75	17.5	14.5	2.96
Morris Peterson	36	36	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.08	-13	8	-21	16.6	14.8	1.82	16.7	17.5	-0.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.28,0.29,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.3,0.21,0.16,0.2,0.14,0.15,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.07,0.02,0.16,0.16,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 92, PHX 81	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.32,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.2,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.1%
IND 83, TOR 77	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.2,0.27,0.29,0.3,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.17,0.14,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.17,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.14,0.19,0.06,0.02,0	93.8%
SAC 104, POR 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.3,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.01,0.02,0	93.7%