NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	119		Excitement	5.8 [261]		MVP	Santi Aldama (MEM): +17.7%
Memphis Grizzlies	135		Comeback	1.2 [461]		LVP	Jake LaRavia (MEM): -8.3%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dorian Finney-Smith	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.20	0.01	0.05	8	90%	0.16	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Shake Milton	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.01	-0.03	8	57%	0.10	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Keon Johnson	0.04	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	9	63%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Noah Clowney	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.01	0.02	10	60%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Day'Ron Sharpe	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	9	60%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Jalen Wilson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.02	13	52%	0.07	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Cameron Johnson	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	11	48%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Dennis Schroder	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	10	75%	0.09	6	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Ben Simmons	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nic Claxton	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	11	36%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Santi Aldama	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.12	0.04	-0.01	11	74%	0.21	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.02
Ja Morant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.08	0.04	-0.06	19	61%	0.20	3	-0.03	8	62%	-0.01
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.04	0.01	17	53%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Desmond Bane	0,0,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.14	0.00	0.06	14	68%	0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Brandon Clarke	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.01	11	61%	0.07	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Scotty Pippen Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	6	58%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Wells	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	8	75%	0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jay Huff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	62%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
John Konchar	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yuki Kawamura	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Colin Castleton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake LaRavia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	2.4	30.5	16.5	33.3	2.4	33.7	146.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.3	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +29.9%

BKN -1.2%

MEM +5.8%

MEM +9.2%

MEM +6.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	MEM	NBA	BKN	MEM	NBA
this game	14.1	12.9	14.3	111.2	127.4	112.0
season	15.4	13.1		110.8	116.2
opponent	14.0	14.2		108.1	115.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	13.0	15.2	14.5	13.7	14.1
MEM	12.7	13.0	10.7	15.7	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shake Milton	36	38	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.17	7	-23	30	12.6	14.8	-2.19	13.8	12.4	1.40
Noah Clowney	38	39	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.17	4	-20	24	13.0	14.7	-1.74	13.9	12.4	1.51
Ben Simmons	45	45	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.14	-3	-13	10	14.0	14.2	-0.24	13.5	12.5	1.03
Day'Ron Sharpe	36	38	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.11	-5	-11	6	13.9	14.2	-0.22	13.3	12.7	0.62
Keon Johnson	51	49	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.12	-13	-3	-10	15.0	13.3	1.66	12.2	13.5	-1.30
Jalen Wilson	62	64	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.21	-2	-14	12	13.2	15.3	-2.02	13.6	11.9	1.68
Nic Claxton	66	63	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.15	-15	-1	-14	14.3	13.8	0.51	12.7	13.4	-0.72
Dennis Schroder	62	60	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.15	-16	0	-16	14.1	14.1	0.01	12.6	13.4	-0.79
Cameron Johnson	70	67	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.08	-17	1	-18	14.9	12.5	2.46	12.3	14.1	-1.83
Dorian Finney-Smith	69	67	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.14	-20	4	-24	14.7	13.0	1.74	12.4	13.9	-1.51

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaren Jackson Jr.	73	73	0.59	-0.09	0.68	-0.20	27	-11	38	13.0	12.7	0.31	13.9	14.5	-0.60
Ja Morant	69	71	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.27	26	-10	36	13.2	12.4	0.78	14.8	12.7	2.02
Jaylen Wells	53	53	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.17	20	-4	24	12.7	13.2	-0.53	15.0	13.2	1.72
Desmond Bane	60	64	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.23	21	-5	26	12.2	13.9	-1.75	14.9	12.8	2.10
Brandon Clarke	53	52	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.12	5	11	-6	13.6	12.3	1.36	14.2	14.0	0.23
Santi Aldama	55	57	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.15	13	3	10	12.7	13.3	-0.60	14.3	13.9	0.44
Jake LaRavia	46	43	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.26	-5	21	-26	13.9	12.2	1.75	12.8	14.9	-2.10
Marcus Smart	53	54	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.20	-4	20	-24	13.2	12.7	0.53	13.2	15.0	-1.72
Scotty Pippen Jr.	34	34	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.18	-6	22	-28	12.2	13.3	-1.04	13.0	14.6	-1.65
John Konchar	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	20	-24	14.7	12.9	1.77	9.0	14.2	-5.19
Yuki Kawamura	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	20	-24	14.7	12.9	1.77	9.0	14.2	-5.19
Colin Castleton	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	20	-24	14.7	12.9	1.77	9.0	14.2	-5.19
Jay Huff	25	28	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.05	-5	21	-26	11.4	13.4	-1.97	14.7	13.9	0.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.7,0.75,0.8,0.76,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.81,0.81,0.64,0.67,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.87,0.85,0.78,0.82,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.83,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 63, HOU 84	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.8,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.7,0.67,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.8,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
IND 71, BOS 85	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.82,0.82,0.9,0.86,0.79,0.79,0.75,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.86,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	94.5%
CHA 83, ORL 97	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.8,0.85,0.8,0.86,0.84,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%