NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	83		Excitement	3.9 [1039]		MVP	Emeka Okafor (CHA): +20.2%
Orlando Magic	97		Comeback	1.0 [963]		LVP	Gerald Wallace (CHA): -17.2%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Emeka Okafor	0.20	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.23	0.02	0.04	15	84%	0.20	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Sean May	0.03	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	10	55%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Matt Carroll	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	6	43%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jake Voskuhl	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Anderson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	2	0%	-0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Primoz Brezec	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Ely	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bernard Robinson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	0.00	0.03	6	55%	-0.00	3	-0.03	8	87%	0.01
Adam Morrison	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.12	0.02	-0.04	15	32%	-0.02	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Raymond Felton	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.12	-0.01	0.02	11	33%	-0.09	3	-0.07	8	62%	-0.01
Gerald Wallace	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.02	-0.01	10	25%	-0.08	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwight Howard	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.03	0.00	12	65%	0.17	1	-0.03	13	77%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.00	-0.05	4	56%	0.06	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	0.00	11	52%	0.05	1	-0.02	7	71%	0.01
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.06	7	53%	0.04	3	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	8	56%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	3	0%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	7	56%	0.04	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Tony Battie	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	12	54%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	9	42%	-0.01	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	1.8	29.5	16.7	27.2	2.5	27.2	127.6
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +24.0%

ORL +7.5%

ORL +12.4%

ORL +3.8%

ORL +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	ORL	NBA	CHA	ORL	NBA
this game	15.9	15.0	15.4	89.2	104.3	104.5
season	15.7	15.9		101.7	103.4
opponent	15.7	15.0		103.0	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	16.2	15.9	16.8	14.9	15.9
ORL	13.3	14.7	16.7	15.8	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Melvin Ely	12	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-17	20	13.2	16.3	-3.07	14.6	15.1	-0.50
Alan Anderson	16	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-19	24	13.1	16.5	-3.46	14.9	15.1	-0.13
Jake Voskuhl	16	15	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.04	-3	-11	8	14.7	16.2	-1.42	12.8	15.5	-2.67
Primoz Brezec	20	22	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.07	-7	-7	0	14.5	16.3	-1.75	14.7	15.2	-0.47
Sean May	46	46	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.05	-6	-8	2	17.0	14.9	2.13	15.1	15.0	0.09
Bernard Robinson	40	41	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.09	-11	-3	-8	15.8	16.0	-0.26	15.1	15.0	0.14
Matt Carroll	25	27	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.07	-11	-3	-8	15.4	16.1	-0.72	16.9	14.3	2.55
Adam Morrison	76	73	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.12	-6	-8	2	16.1	15.1	1.06	14.3	17.7	-3.45
Emeka Okafor	60	59	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.04	-9	-5	-4	16.6	14.6	2.00	15.4	14.5	0.86
Gerald Wallace	75	75	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.11	-12	-2	-10	16.1	15.2	0.87	15.1	15.0	0.05
Raymond Felton	79	78	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.08	-13	-1	-12	16.2	14.2	2.01	15.4	13.1	2.36

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trevor Ariza	56	55	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.03	11	3	8	15.5	14.4	1.10	15.4	16.7	-1.28
Grant Hill	55	56	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.01	12	2	10	15.1	15.0	0.03	16.7	14.8	1.85
Darko Milicic	48	47	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.03	11	3	8	15.5	14.5	0.99	15.1	16.7	-1.61
Dwight Howard	57	58	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.11	6	8	-2	14.6	15.7	-1.11	16.4	15.2	1.16
Carlos Arroyo	44	44	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.02	10	4	6	15.7	14.4	1.30	15.6	16.2	-0.59
Keyon Dooling	48	47	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.01	8	6	2	15.5	14.6	0.94	15.5	16.4	-0.92
Jameer Nelson	49	49	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.11	4	10	-6	14.4	15.7	-1.30	16.2	15.6	0.59
Tony Battie	41	42	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.11	3	11	-8	14.4	15.6	-1.17	16.8	15.2	1.61
Hedo Turkoglu	40	41	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.08	3	11	-8	14.7	15.3	-0.51	17.0	15.1	1.92
Pat Garrity	13	13	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.05	6	8	-2	14.9	15.1	-0.14	14.7	16.1	-1.43
Keith Bogans	14	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	18	-22	14.6	15.1	-0.47	12.5	16.5	-3.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.8,0.85,0.8,0.86,0.84,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 64, IND 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.68,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.84,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.73,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
CHA 105, POR 122	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.76,0.86,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.5%
DET 90, IND 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.88,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,0.98,1	96.3%