NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	105		Excitement	4.1 [1029]		MVP	Nicolas Batum (POR): +20.0%
Portland Trail Blazers	122		Comeback	1.1 [947]		LVP	Kemba Walker (CHA): -17.3%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ramon Sessions	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.04	0.02	11	72%	0.15	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.11	0.01	0.05	11	71%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
DeSagana Diop	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Taylor	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.00	2	57%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Byron Mullens	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	12	54%	0.02	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Bismack Biyombo	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	10	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	9	47%	0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Jeff Adrien	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	16	41%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Kemba Walker	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.12	-0.02	0.04	20	33%	-0.12	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.17	0.02	-0.01	11	91%	0.22	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
JJ Hickson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.00	-0.01	9	75%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Meyers Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.01	-0.01	8	75%	0.11	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.01	10	70%	0.11	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	15	62%	0.09	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Victor Claver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Maynor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	8	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joel Freeland	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Barton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.03	0.00	0.10	16	56%	-0.01	3	-0.06	9	78%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.8	26.0	14.8	24.2	2.3	26.3	120.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +62.1%

CHA -4.4%

CHA -9.6%

CHA -1.2%

POR +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	POR	NBA	CHA	POR	NBA
this game	16.1	15.7	15.4	115.4	135.6	104.1
season	15.6	15.8		99.9	104.3
opponent	15.3	15.4		107.6	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	18.4	15.2	16.6	14.6	16.1
POR	17.6	16.9	13.4	15.4	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Byron Mullens	6	6	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.08	-5	-12	7	18.3	15.9	2.40	16.5	15.7	0.82
Jeff Adrien	42	40	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-14	11	17.0	15.3	1.61	15.6	15.8	-0.24
Jeff Taylor	28	29	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.00	-6	-11	5	15.2	16.5	-1.21	15.5	15.9	-0.37
DeSagana Diop	33	31	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.06	-8	-9	1	15.0	16.7	-1.75	14.0	16.6	-2.59
Gerald Henderson	53	52	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.05	-5	-12	7	15.7	16.6	-0.89	16.6	14.6	1.95
Ben Gordon	31	31	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.01	-9	-8	-1	15.7	16.3	-0.62	14.6	16.3	-1.76
Josh McRoberts	43	44	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.00	-9	-8	-1	14.9	17.1	-2.19	15.7	15.7	0.03
Ramon Sessions	53	53	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.01	-9	-8	-1	15.3	17.2	-1.97	15.3	16.3	-0.96
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	50	49	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.01	-10	-7	-3	17.2	14.7	2.47	16.4	15.0	1.39
Kemba Walker	69	67	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.04	-12	-5	-7	16.3	15.5	0.84	16.0	15.0	1.04
Bismack Biyombo	47	48	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.05	-9	-8	-1	17.5	14.6	2.94	16.2	15.1	1.11

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wesley Matthews	65	64	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.05	17	0	17	16.2	14.5	1.68	17.3	13.1	4.18
Damian Lillard	72	72	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.08	17	0	17	16.0	14.8	1.13	15.9	16.6	-0.69
Nicolas Batum	68	70	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.05	13	4	9	15.6	16.2	-0.59	16.5	14.8	1.66
LaMarcus Aldridge	63	62	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.13	6	11	-5	16.3	14.3	2.00	16.8	14.5	2.36
JJ Hickson	49	47	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.03	9	8	1	17.1	14.1	2.96	17.3	14.8	2.41
Victor Claver	36	37	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.02	8	9	-1	14.9	16.3	-1.31	14.5	17.1	-2.61
Meyers Leonard	41	44	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.03	8	9	-1	14.1	17.1	-2.96	14.8	17.3	-2.41
Eric Maynor	46	48	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.12	2	15	-13	14.8	16.7	-1.81	14.8	17.5	-2.66
Joel Freeland	8	8	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.04	5	12	-7	15.4	15.8	-0.39	14.5	16.2	-1.74
Will Barton	2	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	17	-17	14.5	15.8	-1.26	12.0	16.2	-4.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.76,0.86,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 89, MIL 107	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.82,0.86,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.93,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
CHA 83, ORL 97	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.8,0.85,0.8,0.86,0.84,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
CHA 95, ATL 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.79,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%