NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	90		Excitement	3.6 [1040]		MVP	Fred Hoiberg (IND): +8.5%
Indiana Pacers	98		Comeback	1.0 [1033]		LVP	Grant Hill (DET): -9.8%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bison Dele	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.03	21	56%	0.03	1	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.09	-0.01	0.09	20	70%	0.07	4	-0.07	7	100%	0.02
Don Reid	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles O'Bannon	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Dumars	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	56%	0.02	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Eric Montross	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Malik Sealy	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	5	42%	-0.01	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Lindsey Hunter	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	8	12%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	-0.10	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.00	0.01	18	47%	-0.05	3	-0.05	7	57%	-0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.01	6	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	-0.03	5	67%	0.07	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.01
Dale Davis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	9	75%	0.08	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Reggie Miller	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	10	59%	0.03	1	-0.01	9	89%	0.02
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	7	50%	0.02	3	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	4	54%	-0.02	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.00
Mark Pope	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mullin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	7	47%	0.02	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Rik Smits	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	19	48%	0.01	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.00
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	8	25%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.0	1.6	24.9	15.8	24.4	2.5	35.2	125.4
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +26.4%

IND +6.8%

IND +12.9%

IND +3.5%

IND +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	IND	NBA	DET	IND	NBA
this game	14.3	16.8	15.6	97.8	105.4	102.5
season	15.9	16.0		102.8	105.3
opponent	16.1	15.9		99.2	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	16.1	15.5	14.0	12.1	14.3
IND	18.9	16.5	14.8	17.2	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles O'Bannon	3	4	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.11	4	-12	16	4.0	14.7	-10.69	17.7	16.7	1.01
Scot Pollard	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.00	0	-8	8	0.0	14.5	-14.49	20.0	16.7	3.25
Don Reid	1	3	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.02	-1	-7	6	5.0	14.4	-9.44	16.0	16.8	-0.81
Jerome Williams	28	31	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.15	0	-8	8	13.4	14.7	-1.36	16.6	16.9	-0.21
Malik Sealy	46	46	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.23	1	-9	10	13.4	15.3	-1.85	16.6	17.0	-0.39
Joe Dumars	44	44	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.02	-9	1	-10	15.9	12.9	2.97	16.7	16.8	-0.11
Lindsey Hunter	53	55	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.04	-9	1	-10	14.6	14.0	0.63	16.9	16.6	0.26
Jerry Stackhouse	58	60	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.26	-2	-6	4	13.6	15.6	-2.03	16.9	16.6	0.32
Eric Montross	69	68	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.20	-6	-2	-4	14.4	14.2	0.22	16.9	16.4	0.53
Grant Hill	75	73	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.12	-10	2	-12	14.5	13.8	0.63	16.5	18.0	-1.55
Bison Dele	82	80	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.22	-8	0	-8	15.2	7.1	8.12	16.9	15.8	1.18

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Miller	68	66	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.08	11	-3	14	16.6	17.2	-0.57	13.7	15.8	-2.10
Dale Davis	56	56	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.04	11	-3	14	16.7	16.9	-0.22	14.9	13.4	1.51
Mark Jackson	61	61	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.12	8	0	8	16.1	18.0	-1.90	13.6	15.9	-2.31
Rik Smits	68	67	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.14	6	2	4	16.8	16.8	-0.08	14.3	14.5	-0.25
Jalen Rose	54	53	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.27	0	8	-8	17.0	16.5	0.42	13.5	15.5	-1.95
Chris Mullin	39	39	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.00	8	0	8	16.5	17.0	-0.42	15.5	13.5	1.95
Antonio Davis	46	44	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.25	-2	10	-12	17.1	16.4	0.68	13.5	15.1	-1.56
Travis Best	32	31	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.15	0	8	-8	18.0	16.1	1.90	15.9	13.6	2.31
Mark Pope	16	17	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.10	1	7	-6	16.2	16.9	-0.72	14.8	14.2	0.52
Fred Hoiberg	25	26	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.18	-3	11	-14	17.2	16.6	0.57	15.8	13.7	2.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.88,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 96, MIN 112	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.67,0.72,0.76,0.71,0.69,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.71,0.74,0.82,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
CHI 81, PHX 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.71,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.78,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.8,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
POR 89, LAC 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%