inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 81 Excitement3.5 [1071] MVPAnfernee Hardaway (PHX): +7.9%
Phoenix Suns 105 Comeback1.1 [1249] LVPWill Perdue (CHI): -13.9%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kornel David0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.00-0.01460%0.0300.002100%0.00
Elton Brand0.020,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.05-0.000.031261%0.0200.00743%-0.01
Lari Ketner0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.00550%0.0100.002100%0.00
Corey Benjamin-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.16-0.00-0.15732%0.004-0.01520%-0.01
Chris Anstey-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.00-0.02567%0.033-0.042100%0.01
Dedric Willoughby-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Metta World Peace-0.040,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.001054%0.002-0.05683%0.02
Michael Ruffin-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.08-0.00-0.02312%-0.051-0.02250%-0.01
Randy Brown-0.080,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.00-0.01663%0.025-0.10786%0.01
Hersey Hawkins-0.080,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.09-0.02-0.03850%0.035-0.122100%0.01
Will Perdue-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.12-0.020.0020%-0.044-0.1000%0.00

Phoenix Suns
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Anfernee Hardaway0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.090.010.021075%0.101-0.024100%0.02
Rodney Rogers0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.060.000.01873%0.061-0.01667%-0.00
Tom Gugliotta0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.010.011364%0.083-0.062100%0.01
Rex Chapman0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.050.000.04573%0.0100.0010%-0.01
Mark West0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Luc Longley0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.02-0.000.021062%0.022-0.021100%0.00
Todd Day0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.02350%-0.0010.002100%0.00
Randy Livingston0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.10-0.00-0.09831%-0.0130.0000%0.00
Shawn Marion0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.05-0.00-0.02855%-0.013-0.02475%0.00
Oliver Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.030.000.02850%-0.012-0.0400%0.00
Jason Kidd0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.09-0.00-0.01267%0.015-0.102100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.82.431.415.425.61.631.2133.4
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
PHX +22.6%
PHX +0.9%
PHX +7.5%
PHX +19.4%
CHI -0.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHIPHXNBACHIPHXNBA
this game16.212.915.282.7105.0101.7
season16.514.891.8101.4
opponent15.314.996.8102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHI14.016.717.516.416.2
PHX14.212.111.813.612.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Lari Ketner2626-0.10-0.400.300.13-8-16816.316.10.2413.012.90.12
Corey Benjamin4037-0.11-0.390.290.04-5-191415.716.5-0.7213.112.90.17
Metta World Peace6061-0.13-0.370.230.19-11-13216.815.21.5313.811.62.23
Dedric Willoughby1819-0.15-0.350.190.02-6-181212.617.0-4.3612.513.1-0.59
Chris Anstey2829-0.18-0.320.140.17-12-12015.416.5-1.1413.012.90.12
Will Perdue3839-0.22-0.280.06-0.04-6-181217.315.51.7812.813.0-0.17
Elton Brand6263-0.23-0.270.04-0.02-7-171016.815.01.8113.312.40.95
Kornel David3234-0.25-0.25-0.01-0.05-7-171015.016.8-1.7912.013.5-1.48
Michael Ruffin4243-0.27-0.23-0.040.17-15-9-614.617.3-2.6812.413.4-0.93
Randy Brown7475-0.35-0.15-0.190.24-20-4-1617.412.54.8113.112.60.52
Hersey Hawkins7074-0.510.01-0.510.17-23-1-2216.116.3-0.1612.613.9-1.26

Phoenix Suns
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tom Gugliotta67640.51-0.010.52-0.2325-12613.012.80.2416.415.80.54
Jason Kidd56560.420.080.34-0.05168812.813.1-0.3316.915.21.64
Anfernee Hardaway56550.350.150.20-0.061410413.112.80.2416.615.70.93
Rodney Rogers63610.330.170.17-0.161771013.212.60.6114.718.6-3.85
Oliver Miller26270.250.25-0.01-0.171410412.213.2-0.9715.816.3-0.55
Shawn Marion72730.220.28-0.060.10420-1612.913.1-0.1716.814.32.49
Luc Longley53510.180.32-0.15-0.201311213.212.70.4316.515.80.74
Rex Chapman34340.150.35-0.19-0.341771012.713.1-0.4116.915.81.09
Randy Livingston46430.150.35-0.20-0.201212013.412.50.9015.616.7-1.10
Mark West1312-0.030.53-0.560.18-731-3812.213.1-0.8314.416.4-2.00
Todd Day1414-0.030.53-0.560.12-529-3412.313.1-0.7715.116.4-1.29


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.71,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.78,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.8,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DET 90, IND 980.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.88,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,0.98,196.7%
NJN 77, LAC 900.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.5%
WAS 87, NYK 1080.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.86,0.83,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.4%