NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	89		Excitement	3.0 [1188]		MVP	Cuttino Mobley (LAC): +8.9%
Los Angeles Clippers	107		Comeback	1.0 [1271]		LVP	Fred Jones (POR): -6.3%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Roy	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	12	75%	0.12	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	9	37%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Dan Dickau	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	4	60%	-0.00	1	0.00	7	71%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.01	0.04	13	54%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	0.00	0.06	5	67%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Luke Schenscher	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.03	9	45%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	9	40%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jamaal Magloire	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	6	44%	-0.02	2	-0.04	6	33%	-0.03
Fred Jones	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.03	6	54%	-0.01	2	-0.05	1	100%	-0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.14	0.00	0.06	11	73%	0.10	1	-0.01	8	87%	-0.01
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.02	9	61%	0.10	2	-0.03	10	90%	0.02
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.02	12	65%	0.10	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.01
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	3	87%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Daniel Ewing	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Singleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	7	29%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	0.00	0.06	11	63%	0.04	4	-0.08	5	100%	0.01
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0.03	6	57%	-0.03	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	2.3	28.5	15.7	28.2	2.4	33.6	137.5
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +16.2%

LAC +17.6%

LAC +8.1%

LAC +6.4%

LAC +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	LAC	NBA	POR	LAC	NBA
this game	16.3	15.8	15.4	100.0	118.9	104.5
season	16.7	15.7		103.1	103.3
opponent	15.4	15.4		103.6	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	17.6	14.4	17.5	16.0	16.3
LAC	16.0	17.7	14.4	15.4	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dan Dickau	15	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-24	30	13.5	16.9	-3.45	15.1	16.0	-0.95
Luke Schenscher	48	49	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.06	-5	-13	8	15.4	17.4	-2.04	14.0	18.0	-4.00
Raef LaFrentz	50	50	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.21	-1	-17	16	16.7	15.9	0.78	16.4	15.1	1.30
Sergio Rodriguez	38	39	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.14	-13	-5	-8	15.7	16.8	-1.19	15.6	16.0	-0.45
Jarrett Jack	43	42	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.02	-8	-10	2	17.5	15.3	2.23	16.3	15.4	0.87
Jamaal Magloire	37	38	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.16	-15	-3	-12	17.1	15.8	1.27	17.7	14.5	3.14
Travis Outlaw	44	44	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.15	-15	-3	-12	16.8	15.8	1.00	15.8	15.9	-0.05
Martell Webster	57	57	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.12	-6	-12	6	16.0	16.9	-0.89	16.8	14.2	2.63
Fred Jones	54	56	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.10	-14	-4	-10	16.2	16.5	-0.24	15.3	16.7	-1.38
Brandon Roy	59	59	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.16	-19	1	-20	16.7	15.6	1.06	15.3	16.8	-1.47

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elton Brand	58	59	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.23	21	-3	24	15.0	17.3	-2.33	16.7	15.7	0.96
Cuttino Mobley	77	75	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.01	13	5	8	16.0	14.8	1.17	16.5	15.4	1.08
Corey Maggette	57	58	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.00	12	6	6	15.6	16.3	-0.68	16.7	15.7	0.91
Jason Hart	56	56	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.03	13	5	8	16.3	15.0	1.31	16.4	16.2	0.29
Chris Kaman	57	56	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.13	6	12	-6	17.4	13.2	4.11	16.8	15.5	1.31
Tim Thomas	51	50	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.14	15	3	12	15.3	16.6	-1.27	16.5	16.1	0.46
Quinton Ross	39	38	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.14	14	4	10	15.9	15.8	0.18	16.0	16.6	-0.54
Sam Cassell	34	33	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.01	5	13	-8	15.0	16.3	-1.31	16.2	16.4	-0.29
Daniel Ewing	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	21	-24	15.4	15.9	-0.45	13.6	16.6	-3.00
James Singleton	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	22	-26	16.3	15.8	0.54	12.1	16.8	-4.70
Paul Davis	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	20	-22	13.0	16.0	-3.01	11.7	16.6	-4.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 80, LAC 90	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
PHX 93, ORL 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.98,1,1,1,1	96.7%
NJN 77, LAC 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%