NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	71		Excitement	4.7 [893]		MVP	Anthony Johnson (IND): +8.8%
Boston Celtics	85		Comeback	1.1 [1174]		LVP	Jermaine O'Neal (IND): -21.9%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Johnson	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.00	-0.00	8	78%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
David Harrison	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	22%	-0.03	1	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04
Fred Jones	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.02	11	36%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sarunas Jasikevicius	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	14	38%	-0.04	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Stephen Jackson	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.12	-0.04	-0.00	20	37%	-0.08	3	-0.08	8	75%	-0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22	-0.18	-0.03	0.01	19	32%	-0.16	4	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Delonte West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	0.01	3	100%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Orien Greene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	5	67%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mark Blount	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	0.01	0.05	12	73%	0.12	3	-0.06	6	67%	0.01
Brian Scalabrine	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Dickau	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	21	50%	0.06	3	-0.06	8	75%	0.01
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	22%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	4	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	0.00	7	50%	0.03	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.15	-0.00	-0.01	11	33%	-0.04	5	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.5	34.3	15.5	26.4	2.6	34.5	142.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +41.7%

BOS +7.0%

BOS +1.5%

IND -2.7%

BOS +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	BOS	NBA	IND	BOS	NBA
this game	17.7	14.8	15.6	80.7	95.5	104.4
season	16.0	14.8		102.3	103.3
opponent	15.8	15.5		104.8	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	17.9	17.9	18.4	16.8	17.7
BOS	14.8	12.8	16.8	15.1	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Samaki Walker	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-12	10	10.5	17.9	-7.41	16.5	14.8	1.72
Scot Pollard	10	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.03	1	-15	16	14.8	18.1	-3.32	15.8	14.7	1.10
David Harrison	16	15	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.00	-1	-13	12	16.6	18.0	-1.36	14.5	14.9	-0.35
Anthony Johnson	53	55	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.12	-2	-12	10	18.4	16.7	1.65	14.7	15.0	-0.34
Danny Granger	27	28	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.03	-9	-5	-4	16.1	18.4	-2.29	12.1	16.1	-4.01
Stephen Jackson	79	81	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.17	-6	-8	2	17.7	18.3	-0.66	15.0	12.9	2.14
Jermaine O'Neal	66	69	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.19	-7	-7	0	18.5	15.6	2.86	15.1	13.9	1.19
Jeff Foster	51	50	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.06	-12	-2	-10	19.5	15.4	4.07	15.5	13.9	1.64
Sarunas Jasikevicius	70	69	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.07	-17	3	-20	17.9	17.0	0.93	15.1	13.8	1.32
Fred Jones	66	66	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.04	-15	1	-16	16.6	21.0	-4.41	14.6	15.5	-0.89

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ricky Davis	79	78	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.04	18	-4	22	14.5	17.0	-2.46	18.0	15.5	2.53
Orien Greene	32	30	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.21	19	-5	24	14.2	15.2	-0.99	18.6	17.3	1.26
Mark Blount	58	56	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.14	5	9	-4	14.9	14.6	0.27	18.6	16.2	2.44
Paul Pierce	73	73	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.09	6	8	-2	15.2	12.9	2.37	17.5	19.1	-1.68
Kendrick Perkins	35	36	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.05	6	8	-2	15.3	14.5	0.81	19.7	16.4	3.36
Delonte West	64	65	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.14	2	12	-10	15.2	13.8	1.36	16.9	20.1	-3.18
Ryan Gomes	28	27	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.00	6	8	-2	14.6	14.9	-0.31	17.1	18.0	-0.85
Raef LaFrentz	31	31	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.16	0	14	-14	15.1	14.7	0.42	17.7	17.7	0.01
Al Jefferson	45	42	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	12	-10	14.0	15.7	-1.75	16.6	18.7	-2.10
Brian Scalabrine	0	1	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.04	3	11	-8	0.0	14.8	-14.82	2.0	17.9	-15.92
Dan Dickau	0	1	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.04	3	11	-8	0.0	14.8	-14.82	2.0	17.9	-15.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.82,0.82,0.9,0.86,0.79,0.79,0.75,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.86,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 91, DEN 107	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.6,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.61,0.71,0.82,0.79,0.88,0.84,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.9,0.84,0.82,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
CHA 80, MIA 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.83,0.79,0.79,0.86,0.91,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.92,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
SAS 101, LAC 106	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.49,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.79,0.78,0.83,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.77,0.85,0.76,0.74,0.74,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.81,0.7,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.9%