NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	91		Excitement	4.3 [966]		MVP	Jameer Nelson (DEN): +7.9%
Denver Nuggets	107		Comeback	1.0 [847]		LVP	Derrick Favors (UTA): -13.4%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gobert	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	-0.00	0.02	7	78%	0.09	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Gordon Hayward	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	19	55%	0.05	2	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Bryce Cotton	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.07	6	33%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Evans	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jack Cooley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Elijah Millsap	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.06	8	73%	0.05	3	-0.07	6	33%	-0.02
Chris Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.05	3	67%	-0.01	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.00
Joe Ingles	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	10	27%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dante Exum	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trey Burke	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.01	0.01	12	25%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.15	-0.00	-0.02	9	29%	-0.05	4	-0.08	6	50%	-0.02

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	-0.00	0.03	10	90%	0.12	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ty Lawson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.03	12	62%	0.13	4	-0.06	5	80%	-0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	7	64%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	7	69%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
JJ Hickson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	7	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Erick Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.06	3	37%	0.01	2	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Gary Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenneth Faried	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Will Barton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.07	9	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	14	43%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Joffrey Lauvergne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	1	50%	-0.01	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.8	34.1	15.6	23.2	2.5	28.6	129.9
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +50.0%

UTA -2.3%

DEN +1.3%

UTA -0.8%

DEN +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	DEN	NBA	UTA	DEN	NBA
this game	16.6	14.0	15.1	95.8	115.1	104.2
season	16.2	14.6		103.8	103.4
opponent	15.3	15.3		106.6	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	20.0	15.6	16.0	15.5	16.6
DEN	14.3	11.5	16.0	14.5	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jack Cooley	15	14	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.02	0	-16	16	13.5	17.2	-3.68	13.1	14.1	-1.07
Rudy Gobert	66	66	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.15	1	-17	18	17.0	15.8	1.26	14.4	12.9	1.54
Dante Exum	22	24	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.01	-5	-11	6	19.0	15.9	3.08	12.7	14.4	-1.66
Jeremy Evans	24	25	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.05	-3	-13	10	14.9	17.2	-2.29	13.8	14.1	-0.30
Elijah Millsap	35	33	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.06	-3	-13	10	15.0	17.6	-2.58	13.2	14.4	-1.23
Bryce Cotton	27	26	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.06	-8	-8	0	14.9	17.3	-2.49	12.8	14.4	-1.68
Trey Burke	56	54	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.16	-1	-15	14	16.5	16.9	-0.41	14.6	13.1	1.60
Trevor Booker	40	35	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.01	-7	-9	2	17.5	16.0	1.46	13.5	14.3	-0.74
Joe Ingles	59	59	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.06	-7	-9	2	16.9	16.2	0.61	14.2	13.6	0.52
Derrick Favors	35	36	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.11	-15	-1	-14	17.8	15.9	1.90	15.1	13.3	1.85
Chris Johnson	34	34	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.03	-14	-2	-12	15.8	17.1	-1.35	13.8	14.1	-0.24
Gordon Hayward	62	59	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.14	-18	2	-20	17.7	14.7	3.01	14.1	13.7	0.43

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ty Lawson	62	64	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.00	13	3	10	13.8	14.4	-0.56	16.5	16.9	-0.45
Wilson Chandler	69	70	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.12	16	0	16	13.6	15.0	-1.43	17.3	14.9	2.38
Danilo Gallinari	54	55	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.04	10	6	4	14.0	13.9	0.14	17.1	15.9	1.18
JJ Hickson	41	43	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.04	9	7	2	13.0	14.7	-1.66	17.5	15.9	1.65
Randy Foye	44	44	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.06	6	10	-4	14.0	13.9	0.08	16.9	16.4	0.43
Jameer Nelson	40	43	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.10	11	5	6	14.2	13.8	0.34	17.5	15.9	1.52
Erick Green	25	24	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.02	6	10	-4	14.4	13.8	0.52	15.9	16.9	-1.01
Kenneth Faried	32	33	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.13	10	6	4	16.0	12.9	3.13	17.5	16.2	1.26
Will Barton	37	39	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.02	6	10	-4	14.9	13.4	1.52	16.4	16.8	-0.46
Joffrey Lauvergne	28	26	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.17	-3	19	-22	13.6	14.1	-0.53	14.0	17.6	-3.62
Jusuf Nurkic	24	24	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.10	-1	17	-18	12.9	14.4	-1.49	14.7	17.3	-2.57
Gary Harris	9	10	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.10	-3	19	-22	12.9	14.1	-1.21	13.6	17.0	-3.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.6,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.61,0.71,0.82,0.79,0.88,0.84,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.9,0.84,0.82,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 94, PHI 110	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.77,0.76,0.68,0.61,0.69,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.76,0.88,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
NJN 78, CHH 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
MEM 87, PHX 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.87,0.83,0.81,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%