NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	87		Excitement	3.6 [1089]		MVP	Raja Bell (PHX): +20.6%
Phoenix Suns	105		Comeback	1.0 [1308]		LVP	Tarence Kinsey (MEM): -11.6%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.00	-0.02	19	52%	0.06	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Alexander Johnson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.02	5	80%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	9	57%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.02
Scott Padgett	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	12	54%	0.02	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	11	50%	0.02	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Junior Harrington	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	9	36%	-0.03	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.01
Chucky Atkins	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	5	9%	-0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Tarence Kinsey	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.04	-0.02	0.05	14	40%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.24	0.02	0.05	16	88%	0.24	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.16	0.03	0.06	17	71%	0.16	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.00	-0.05	7	65%	0.08	4	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	10	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Shawn Marion	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	44%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	7	44%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	6	50%	0.01	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	23.8	0.7	24.5	2.4	27.5	105.5
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +47.6%

PHX +10.9%

MEM -6.8%

MEM -4.8%

PHX +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	PHX	NBA	MEM	PHX	NBA
this game	17.9	13.8	15.4	96.7	114.1	104.5
season	15.1	13.8		105.1	112.2
opponent	16.0	15.1		105.0	110.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	16.9	18.6	17.0	19.3	17.9
PHX	12.6	14.1	14.3	14.3	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scott Padgett	3	4	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-16	14	20.0	17.8	2.16	13.5	13.8	-0.30
Stromile Swift	17	18	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.00	-4	-14	10	16.1	18.3	-2.28	14.8	13.5	1.24
Dahntay Jones	39	40	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.01	-6	-12	6	17.2	18.5	-1.25	13.2	14.2	-1.08
Pau Gasol	74	76	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	-14	10	17.5	19.7	-2.24	13.8	13.8	-0.04
Chucky Atkins	37	38	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.06	-9	-9	0	18.1	17.8	0.24	13.3	14.1	-0.84
Alexander Johnson	39	40	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.01	-9	-9	0	17.3	18.4	-1.11	12.9	14.5	-1.56
Rudy Gay	61	62	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.01	-9	-9	0	17.6	18.7	-1.10	13.7	14.0	-0.27
Junior Harrington	58	58	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.05	-12	-6	-6	18.7	16.4	2.34	14.0	13.4	0.63
Hakim Warrick	50	50	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.12	-19	1	-20	19.6	15.8	3.85	14.1	13.4	0.78
Tarence Kinsey	72	74	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.05	-16	-2	-14	17.8	18.5	-0.74	14.3	11.8	2.49

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raja Bell	78	77	0.53	-0.03	0.57	-0.14	23	-5	28	13.8	13.4	0.42	18.2	16.1	2.14
Kurt Thomas	45	42	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.09	19	-1	20	13.9	13.7	0.25	19.4	16.6	2.71
Boris Diaw	56	55	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.16	16	2	14	13.5	14.3	-0.81	18.4	17.1	1.26
Leandro Barbosa	60	58	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.02	10	8	2	13.6	14.2	-0.57	18.5	16.9	1.56
Amar'e Stoudemire	63	64	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.04	7	11	-4	13.9	13.6	0.24	16.9	20.4	-3.48
Steve Nash	58	60	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.02	9	9	0	13.9	13.6	0.31	17.1	19.5	-2.33
Shawn Marion	54	52	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.12	4	14	-10	14.0	13.5	0.53	17.0	19.2	-2.25
James Jones	46	42	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.12	2	16	-14	13.7	13.9	-0.17	18.3	17.6	0.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.87,0.83,0.81,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 89, MIL 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.73,0.78,0.8,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
NYK 82, LAL 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.79,0.82,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.8,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
CLE 90, ORL 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.88,0.94,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%