NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	90		Excitement	3.6 [1074]		MVP	Dwight Howard (ORL): +19.9%
Orlando Magic	103		Comeback	1.0 [884]		LVP	Anthony Johnson (ORL): -6.0%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mo Williams	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.01	0.02	12	65%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Anderson Varejao	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.03	0.05	12	56%	0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
LeBron James	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	20	49%	0.07	3	-0.05	11	64%	-0.01
Sasha Pavlovic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tarence Kinsey	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delonte West	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	19	52%	0.03	3	-0.05	4	50%	-0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	5	30%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Daniel Gibson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	5	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwight Howard	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.23	0.02	0.05	21	69%	0.23	2	-0.03	16	75%	-0.01
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.01	0.01	10	70%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	-0.04	7	57%	0.05	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	13	62%	0.09	3	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.08	0.02	-0.10	12	38%	0.05	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.06	16	41%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.7	3.5	31.8	18.8	26.8	3.5	34.3	147.3
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +31.3%

ORL +7.6%

ORL +9.7%

ORL +1.0%

ORL +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	ORL	NBA	CLE	ORL	NBA
this game	15.7	16.3	15.5	101.1	113.2	106.4
season	16.9	15.3		110.6	107.3
opponent	15.8	15.2		101.4	101.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	19.1	18.0	15.0	10.9	15.7
ORL	14.5	14.7	17.0	18.8	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tarence Kinsey	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-13	13	4.0	15.9	-11.93	11.7	16.5	-4.82
Sasha Pavlovic	12	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-16	19	7.8	16.9	-9.05	15.8	16.4	-0.56
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	41	42	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.01	-6	-7	1	16.8	14.7	2.03	15.2	17.3	-2.12
Anderson Varejao	64	64	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.16	-2	-11	9	15.2	16.9	-1.69	17.0	14.8	2.15
Ben Wallace	25	25	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.01	-8	-5	-3	16.7	15.3	1.41	15.9	16.5	-0.56
Wally Szczerbiak	23	25	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.02	-9	-4	-5	16.7	15.3	1.33	17.6	15.9	1.70
Mo Williams	73	73	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.11	-6	-7	1	15.8	15.2	0.50	16.6	15.2	1.45
Daniel Gibson	36	36	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.07	-16	3	-19	18.6	13.7	4.86	15.9	16.6	-0.68
Delonte West	87	89	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.15	-9	-4	-5	15.1	38.0	-22.85	16.3	19.5	-3.24
LeBron James	82	85	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.15	-12	-1	-11	15.5	17.3	-1.76	16.4	15.2	1.25

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mickael Pietrus	64	64	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.06	13	0	13	16.9	15.0	1.84	16.0	14.8	1.20
Dwight Howard	80	77	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.04	13	0	13	16.2	17.4	-1.18	15.0	20.0	-5.01
Rashard Lewis	79	78	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.21	7	6	1	15.8	19.5	-3.65	15.7	15.5	0.24
Courtney Lee	57	55	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.06	15	-2	17	16.2	16.5	-0.22	16.1	14.9	1.22
Rafer Alston	73	70	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.12	6	7	-1	16.5	15.7	0.76	14.8	18.7	-3.91
Anthony Johnson	20	20	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.04	10	3	7	15.2	16.6	-1.45	18.6	14.8	3.85
Hedo Turkoglu	71	69	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.18	1	12	-11	16.6	15.3	1.26	14.9	18.2	-3.27
Marcin Gortat	11	12	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.08	0	13	-13	17.4	16.2	1.18	20.0	15.0	5.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.88,0.94,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 82, HOU 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.89,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
CHA 95, ATL 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.79,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
SAS 97, PHI 113	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.89,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%