NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	82		Excitement	3.1 [1162]		MVP	Tyson Chandler (NOH): +10.4%
Houston Rockets	91		Comeback	1.1 [874]		LVP	Chris Paul (NOH): -6.4%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyson Chandler	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.00	0.01	10	70%	0.10	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	8	44%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Brown	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.01	0.04	10	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
James Posey	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Julian Wright	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.02	4	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	0.02	0.07	15	56%	0.00	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Hilton Armstrong	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	7	14%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	5	30%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	10	43%	-0.03	3	-0.03	8	100%	0.03

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Von Wafer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.01	6	83%	0.09	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	12	68%	0.09	3	-0.03	7	100%	0.03
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.04	8	67%	0.10	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.00	-0.05	10	42%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.03	12	58%	0.08	4	-0.04	7	100%	0.02
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	0.00	0.05	2	83%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	6	37%	-0.02	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Luther Head	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.03	7	36%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.0	27.1	16.5	25.2	1.8	30.2	127.8
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +41.0%

HOU +1.4%

HOU +11.1%

NOH -9.8%

HOU +6.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	HOU	NBA	NOH	HOU	NBA
this game	16.5	18.2	15.5	100.0	108.3	106.4
season	16.6	16.3		105.9	105.9
opponent	15.2	15.6		102.7	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	18.6	15.5	17.6	14.8	16.5
HOU	17.5	18.8	20.3	16.5	18.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Julian Wright	29	28	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.01	-5	-4	-1	17.4	16.0	1.36	17.3	18.6	-1.29
Hilton Armstrong	25	24	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.04	-6	-3	-3	16.6	16.5	0.14	17.6	18.4	-0.83
Devin Brown	35	35	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.20	2	-11	13	15.6	17.2	-1.57	16.8	19.1	-2.31
Rasual Butler	35	33	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.03	-7	-2	-5	17.2	16.0	1.22	17.5	18.6	-1.09
James Posey	41	42	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.24	0	-9	9	16.2	16.8	-0.56	17.4	19.0	-1.55
Morris Peterson	41	42	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.00	-9	0	-9	16.8	16.2	0.56	19.0	17.4	1.55
Peja Stojakovic	40	43	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.14	-6	-3	-3	16.4	16.5	-0.10	18.9	17.5	1.40
Tyson Chandler	54	57	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.15	-7	-2	-5	16.7	16.2	0.49	18.9	16.7	2.17
Chris Paul	57	60	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.27	-3	-6	3	16.5	16.6	-0.14	18.4	17.6	0.83
David West	53	56	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.25	-4	-5	1	16.0	17.4	-1.36	18.6	17.3	1.29

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tracy McGrady	75	73	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.19	8	1	7	17.9	20.6	-2.66	16.9	13.3	3.56
Metta World Peace	62	59	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.24	6	3	3	18.7	16.8	1.90	16.7	16.0	0.63
Luis Scola	55	53	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.08	9	0	9	18.7	17.1	1.59	17.7	14.3	3.44
Yao Ming	55	53	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.16	6	3	3	19.2	16.2	2.96	16.8	16.0	0.83
Aaron Brooks	46	42	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.26	0	9	-9	18.2	18.2	-0.06	16.6	16.3	0.29
Luther Head	41	43	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.10	5	4	1	17.6	18.7	-1.16	16.1	16.9	-0.86
Charles Hayes	38	38	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.11	2	7	-5	16.5	19.6	-3.11	15.5	17.4	-1.86
Von Wafer	31	32	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	5	-1	17.9	18.4	-0.49	15.3	17.3	-2.00
Carl Landry	17	17	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.00	5	4	1	18.4	18.1	0.29	14.7	17.0	-2.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.89,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 81, DET 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
UTA 69, SAS 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
UTA 56, SEA 71	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.84,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%