inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Utah Jazz 56 Excitement3.5 [672] MVPDale Ellis (SEA): +2.2%
Seattle SuperSonics 71 Comeback1.0 [615] LVPShandon Anderson (UTA): -13.5%


Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Greg Foster-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.01250%0.011-0.02250%0.00
Chris King-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.000.01250%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Anthony Avent-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.05-0.00-0.03540%0.002-0.0300%0.00
Greg Ostertag-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.000.00125%-0.0300.00250%-0.01
Jacque Vaughn-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.090.00-0.0630%-0.012-0.0200%0.00
Adam Keefe-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.000.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Bryon Russell-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.000.00943%-0.031-0.023100%0.01
John Stockton-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.09-0.00-0.02720%-0.051-0.021100%0.00
Karl Malone-0.120,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.100.000.011344%-0.053-0.06887%0.02
Howard Eisley-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.17-0.01-0.06818%-0.054-0.071100%0.01
Shandon Anderson-0.140,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.15-0.01-0.031329%-0.063-0.0720%-0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dale Ellis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.00-0.02855%0.031-0.00450%-0.01
Olden Polynice0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.000.002100%0.012-0.0200%0.00
Aaron Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.00-0.01267%0.001-0.0120%-0.03
Moochie Norris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.060.01-0.04845%0.012-0.02425%-0.03
Rashard Lewis0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.00-0.00450%0.012-0.0400%0.00
Hersey Hawkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.10-0.00-0.04840%-0.013-0.044100%0.01
Detlef Schrempf0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.110.00-0.061231%-0.032-0.032100%0.01
Vin Baker0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.100.00-0.04933%-0.003-0.0500%0.00
Gary Payton0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.13,-0.12,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.130.02-0.021942%0.005-0.092100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game54.11.628.214.727.11.827.2154.7
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.7163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SEA +32.6%
UTA -5.4%
SEA +14.7%
SEA +7.1%
SEA +1.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsUTASEANBAUTASEANBA
this game16.917.215.865.984.599.6
season16.415.4102.6102.4
opponent15.916.0103.596.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
UTA19.816.514.417.116.9
SEA15.217.816.219.917.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jacque Vaughn1516-0.05-0.450.41-0.050-151513.717.6-3.8415.317.6-2.32
Anthony Avent3636-0.10-0.400.30-0.255-202515.018.3-3.3315.118.7-3.59
Greg Ostertag2524-0.11-0.390.280.01-4-11719.215.93.3217.617.00.55
Greg Foster1111-0.17-0.330.170.10-9-6-314.517.3-2.8018.217.01.14
Chris King2322-0.20-0.300.10-0.03-6-9317.216.80.4419.516.43.19
Shandon Anderson5251-0.24-0.260.02-0.12-4-11717.216.40.8716.418.4-2.03
Adam Keefe1516-0.25-0.25-0.000.10-12-3-917.216.80.3717.117.2-0.08
Bryon Russell6262-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.04-9-6-316.817.2-0.4416.419.5-3.19
Karl Malone5957-0.32-0.18-0.140.00-11-4-718.114.33.7817.915.72.25
Howard Eisley5150-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.07-9-6-316.617.3-0.6717.416.90.47
John Stockton5251-0.38-0.12-0.260.12-172-1917.715.62.1618.415.33.06

Seattle SuperSonics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Detlef Schrempf60600.460.040.42-0.1019-42315.321.9-6.6217.715.02.63
Dale Ellis57590.430.070.36-0.0717-21917.416.80.6116.817.1-0.26
Vin Baker60600.430.070.35-0.0416-11718.414.24.1817.216.21.04
Hersey Hawkins60600.360.140.230.1096317.516.50.9716.318.3-2.02
Gary Payton57590.290.210.070.14510-517.816.01.7517.316.01.29
Moochie Norris27270.210.29-0.08-0.08105516.017.8-1.7515.417.6-2.18
Olden Polynice42450.150.35-0.200.06312-918.915.53.3317.616.01.59
Aaron Williams33310.120.38-0.260.21-318-2115.018.6-3.6115.717.6-1.92
Rashard Lewis24240.060.44-0.380.09-116-1717.916.90.9616.717.0-0.20


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.84,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 76, DAL 1010.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.84,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.0%
SAC 101, LAL 1240.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.83,0.79,0.81,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.9%
BOS 73, DAL 890.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.79,0.82,0.79,0.83,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.9%