NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	81		Excitement	3.5 [1122]		MVP	Jeff Foster (IND): +4.6%
Detroit Pistons	96		Comeback	1.1 [1218]		LVP	Fred Jones (IND): -11.2%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Foster	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	100%	0.05	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.01
Anthony Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eddie Gill	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.01	-0.04	22	44%	-0.02	3	-0.05	6	100%	0.02
Reggie Miller	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.02	7	43%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	-0.00	-0.04	10	52%	0.01	6	-0.10	5	20%	-0.01
Stephen Jackson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	0.00	-0.01	19	38%	-0.02	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Fred Jones	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.13	-0.00	-0.02	6	7%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	0.01	0.06	16	67%	0.05	2	-0.03	10	90%	0.03
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	-0.02	7	57%	0.02	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	12	54%	0.01	0	0.00	15	33%	-0.09
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	45%	0.00	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Ronald Dupree	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0.03	6	65%	-0.00	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.04	13	35%	-0.04	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.02
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.12	0.01	-0.04	11	33%	-0.03	3	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.4	3.4	34.3	20.6	34.2	2.8	30.3	154.0
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +26.1%

IND -3.6%

DET +4.0%

DET +16.7%

DET +6.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	DET	NBA	IND	DET	NBA
this game	16.2	15.4	15.5	89.0	105.5	104.0
season	16.8	16.7		101.9	103.5
opponent	15.9	15.5		98.9	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	18.4	15.0	15.1	16.7	16.2
DET	15.9	15.6	13.7	16.8	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scot Pollard	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-21	27	9.8	16.6	-6.79	17.5	15.3	2.22
Eddie Gill	7	8	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-17	19	13.3	16.5	-3.18	17.6	15.2	2.41
James Jones	26	26	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.10	1	-16	17	16.3	16.2	0.18	14.7	15.7	-0.98
Austin Croshere	25	24	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	-12	9	13.9	17.1	-3.23	14.3	15.8	-1.54
Fred Jones	33	32	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.05	-7	-8	1	16.3	16.2	0.18	14.8	15.8	-1.00
Jamaal Tinsley	43	43	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.06	-5	-10	5	16.1	16.4	-0.28	14.7	16.1	-1.43
Jeff Foster	41	39	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.06	-6	-9	3	16.1	16.3	-0.22	14.4	16.2	-1.74
Dale Davis	34	36	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.07	-11	-4	-7	17.3	15.6	1.67	16.6	14.7	1.91
Anthony Johnson	44	43	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.04	-12	-3	-9	16.8	15.7	1.11	15.4	15.4	-0.02
Reggie Miller	58	59	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.11	-8	-7	-1	16.2	16.3	-0.18	15.8	14.8	1.00
Jermaine O'Neal	74	74	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.09	-16	1	-17	17.1	12.6	4.47	15.8	13.8	1.97
Stephen Jackson	65	65	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.04	-16	1	-17	16.2	16.3	-0.18	15.7	14.7	0.98

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Wallace	70	70	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.02	16	-1	17	15.4	15.6	-0.25	16.0	17.0	-1.08
Tayshaun Prince	72	74	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.13	19	-4	23	15.3	15.8	-0.46	16.5	15.2	1.28
Richard Hamilton	75	75	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.08	17	-2	19	15.1	16.7	-1.60	17.0	12.7	4.29
Rasheed Wallace	59	59	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.16	19	-4	23	15.5	15.2	0.32	17.2	14.5	2.70
Chauncey Billups	62	62	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.06	10	5	5	15.5	15.3	0.17	16.0	16.8	-0.79
Lindsey Hunter	39	37	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.11	5	10	-5	15.2	15.6	-0.39	15.3	16.8	-1.51
Antonio McDyess	36	38	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.11	7	8	-1	14.7	15.9	-1.21	17.5	15.3	2.20
Carlos Arroyo	17	18	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	13	-11	15.5	15.4	0.05	14.7	16.6	-1.87
Elden Campbell	10	9	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.19	-6	21	-27	18.0	15.1	2.89	11.9	16.7	-4.81
Darko Milicic	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	21	-27	17.5	15.3	2.22	9.8	16.6	-6.79
Ronald Dupree	9	8	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.22	-8	23	-31	17.4	15.2	2.24	14.4	16.4	-2.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 82, HOU 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.89,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
LAC 80, PHI 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.81,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
UTA 69, SAS 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%