NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	94		Excitement	4.4 [961]		MVP	Andre Iguodala (PHI): +15.0%
Philadelphia 76ers	110		Comeback	1.0 [1264]		LVP	DaJuan Summers (DET): -6.5%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Monroe	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.13	0.01	0.06	9	80%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Will Bynum	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	24	55%	0.08	3	-0.05	5	80%	-0.01
Charlie Villanueva	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.03	-0.01	14	55%	0.06	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Jason Maxiell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	17	40%	0.03	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.01
DaJuan Summers	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	8	45%	-0.05	2	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Iguodala	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.13	0.01	-0.01	13	78%	0.17	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.00	16	56%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.13	0.00	0.08	15	77%	0.12	3	-0.07	1	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	11	52%	0.06	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	0.00	0.05	9	60%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.08	0.02	-0.06	8	40%	0.03	3	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.01	-0.04	4	25%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.02	-0.02	7	31%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.03
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.7	27.1	15.5	23.5	2.3	29.3	124.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +24.2%

PHI +0.9%

PHI +20.6%

PHI +1.6%

PHI +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	PHI	NBA	DET	PHI	NBA
this game	16.2	13.8	15.5	97.9	114.6	105.7
season	16.7	15.5		106.4	104.6
opponent	15.5	15.2		103.4	110.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	16.7	14.9	16.4	16.9	16.2
PHI	13.3	11.8	15.5	15.2	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charlie Villanueva	73	74	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.05	-11	-5	-6	16.3	15.8	0.43	13.4	15.4	-1.97
Greg Monroe	84	83	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.03	-12	-4	-8	16.4	14.6	1.80	14.0	12.7	1.33
Jason Maxiell	60	60	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.00	-14	-2	-12	15.7	17.0	-1.31	13.3	14.7	-1.45
DaJuan Summers	77	78	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.16	-9	-7	-2	16.0	16.8	-0.79	14.3	11.8	2.54
Will Bynum	96	96	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.03	-16	0	-16	16.2	0.0	16.16	13.8	0.0	13.84
Ben Gordon	90	89	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.02	-18	2	-20	16.3	13.7	2.66	14.0	11.9	2.14

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jodie Meeks	71	69	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.03	16	0	16	13.6	14.6	-1.08	16.4	15.4	1.04
Andre Iguodala	74	74	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.04	12	4	8	14.3	12.5	1.80	17.0	13.2	3.86
Jrue Holiday	72	72	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.12	8	8	0	14.4	12.3	2.07	16.1	16.2	-0.07
Thaddeus Young	64	64	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.04	10	6	4	13.8	13.9	-0.09	15.6	17.2	-1.55
Elton Brand	57	57	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.06	8	8	0	14.7	12.5	2.20	16.3	15.9	0.35
Lou Williams	44	45	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.05	10	6	4	12.7	14.8	-2.02	15.8	16.5	-0.71
Marreese Speights	39	39	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.03	8	8	0	12.5	14.7	-2.20	15.9	16.3	-0.35
Spencer Hawes	32	32	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.00	6	10	-4	13.9	13.8	0.09	17.2	15.6	1.55
Evan Turner	27	28	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	14	-12	13.9	13.8	0.01	13.7	17.1	-3.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.77,0.76,0.68,0.61,0.69,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.76,0.88,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 78, CHH 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
UTA 91, DEN 107	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.6,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.61,0.71,0.82,0.79,0.88,0.84,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.9,0.84,0.82,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
ATL 92, TOR 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.7,0.64,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%