NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	92		Excitement	3.9 [1036]		MVP	Morris Peterson (TOR): +12.6%
Toronto Raptors	105		Comeback	1.0 [1190]		LVP	Josh Childress (ATL): -10.8%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Speedy Claxton	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.02	0.01	12	64%	0.12	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Shelden Williams	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	5	83%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Zaza Pachulia	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	-0.01	0.05	3	86%	0.05	1	-0.03	8	100%	0.01
Marvin Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.09	-0.02	0.05	15	65%	0.06	2	-0.04	7	86%	-0.00
Royal Ivey	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	16	45%	0.04	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Lorenzen Wright	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Childress	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.03	0.03	8	44%	-0.02	3	-0.09	9	78%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.15	0.01	0.03	8	89%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Joey Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.01	0.02	14	61%	0.10	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Chris Bosh	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.02	-0.01	11	64%	0.13	3	-0.04	11	45%	-0.09
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	-0.03	11	52%	0.08	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	6	67%	0.07	3	-0.06	6	67%	-0.02
Darrick Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	6	47%	0.04	2	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
Anthony Parker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.01	0.03	8	56%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Uros Slokar	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	7	47%	0.03	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.4	2.4	25.4	17.6	29.5	1.8	31.2	136.3
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +29.5%

TOR +3.9%

TOR +12.6%

TOR +5.5%

ATL -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	TOR	NBA	ATL	TOR	NBA
this game	16.6	17.9	15.4	109.5	126.5	104.5
season	16.1	15.2		101.1	104.7
opponent	15.4	15.3		104.1	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.9	17.9	18.2	14.6	16.6
TOR	15.4	17.2	17.8	21.4	17.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lorenzen Wright	16	17	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.08	0	-13	13	14.9	17.0	-2.09	17.1	18.1	-1.02
Solomon Jones	15	15	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.01	-4	-9	5	17.7	16.4	1.26	18.9	17.6	1.22
Royal Ivey	16	15	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.04	-4	-9	5	16.9	16.6	0.30	19.5	17.5	1.95
Zaza Pachulia	65	63	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.03	-10	-3	-7	15.8	19.4	-3.54	17.5	18.9	-1.36
Speedy Claxton	57	57	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.09	-8	-5	-3	16.7	16.5	0.17	18.1	17.5	0.59
Marvin Williams	67	68	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.28	-2	-11	9	16.4	17.6	-1.20	17.8	18.0	-0.16
Shelden Williams	49	46	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.23	-20	7	-27	17.8	14.9	2.89	17.8	17.9	-0.09
Josh Childress	62	61	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.12	-9	-4	-5	16.3	17.5	-1.18	17.8	18.0	-0.12
Joe Johnson	73	73	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.20	-8	-5	-3	17.1	13.6	3.45	17.7	18.8	-1.06

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jose Calderon	61	62	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.08	12	1	11	17.5	19.0	-1.48	16.5	17.0	-0.50
Chris Bosh	58	57	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.03	13	0	13	17.6	18.6	-1.05	16.2	17.5	-1.25
Anthony Parker	54	56	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.03	12	1	11	16.9	19.7	-2.80	16.8	16.2	0.63
Joey Graham	52	53	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.11	8	5	3	17.9	17.8	0.15	17.5	15.1	2.38
Rasho Nesterovic	55	58	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.02	9	4	5	17.4	18.8	-1.44	16.8	16.2	0.69
Andrea Bargnani	54	55	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.11	6	7	-1	18.3	17.0	1.33	17.0	15.9	1.07
Kris Humphries	17	16	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.04	3	10	-7	17.4	18.0	-0.65	16.6	16.6	-0.08
Morris Peterson	37	36	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.10	1	12	-11	20.0	16.2	3.85	15.9	17.2	-1.35
Darrick Martin	22	22	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	12	-11	19.0	17.5	1.48	17.0	16.5	0.50
Fred Jones	4	4	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	13	-13	16.2	17.9	-1.70	9.7	17.0	-7.23
Uros Slokar	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	13	-13	24.0	17.8	6.21	5.0	16.8	-11.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.7,0.64,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 56, MIN 73	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.87,0.81,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
CLE 71, PHI 86	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.69,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.86,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.91,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
BOS 86, POR 106	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.8,0.7,0.78,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%