NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	86		Excitement	4.1 [610]		MVP	Greg Anthony (POR): +9.8%
Portland Trail Blazers	106		Comeback	1.3 [699]		LVP	Kenny Anderson (BOS): -9.7%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.11	-0.00	0.04	14	73%	0.11	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Tony Battie	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	14	57%	0.07	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Riley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Minor	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	7	21%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Popeye Jones	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	3	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dwayne Schintzius	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dana Barros	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	-0.04	9	22%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ron Mercer	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	10	38%	-0.03	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Antoine Walker	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	16	42%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Kenny Anderson	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.01	-0.03	14	28%	-0.10	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.03

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.00	0.02	4	110%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.03	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.01
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	13	62%	0.10	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walt Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	62%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Carlos Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	1	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	12	55%	-0.01	1	-0.00	14	93%	0.03
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	15	47%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.13	0.00	-0.06	4	42%	-0.02	5	-0.05	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	1.8	27.2	15.6	26.2	1.7	30.4	129.5
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +28.6%

POR +17.0%

POR +8.3%

BOS -4.3%

POR +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	POR	NBA	BOS	POR	NBA
this game	17.6	15.7	15.8	100.0	121.8	99.6
season	15.0	16.0		98.1	102.0
opponent	15.9	15.8		96.2	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.7	18.2	21.0	16.6	17.6
POR	15.0	13.9	20.2	14.7	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Riley	12	13	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.11	-3	-17	14	17.1	17.7	-0.61	17.9	15.3	2.61
Bruce Bowen	11	11	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.14	-6	-14	8	17.3	17.7	-0.38	15.0	15.8	-0.80
Andrew DeClercq	24	24	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.10	1	-21	22	14.9	18.6	-3.73	15.5	15.8	-0.34
Greg Minor	34	36	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-17	14	17.6	17.6	0.07	16.0	15.5	0.51
Popeye Jones	18	20	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	-15	10	19.3	17.1	2.19	17.0	15.3	1.75
Tony Battie	48	48	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.16	1	-21	22	17.2	18.2	-0.99	15.0	16.6	-1.56
Dana Barros	33	33	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	-4	-16	12	18.1	17.3	0.74	14.5	16.5	-2.01
Kenny Anderson	53	54	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.16	-16	-4	-12	17.3	18.1	-0.74	16.5	14.5	2.01
Dwayne Schintzius	13	12	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.19	-18	-2	-16	19.3	17.3	2.01	14.0	16.0	-1.97
Antoine Walker	57	57	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.08	-16	-4	-12	18.3	16.3	2.00	15.8	15.6	0.21
Ron Mercer	55	55	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.00	-14	-6	-8	18.4	16.1	2.31	16.3	14.6	1.70
Paul Pierce	72	72	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.02	-17	-3	-14	17.0	20.7	-3.71	15.2	18.2	-3.02

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Grant	56	55	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.26	26	-6	32	17.1	13.1	4.00	19.8	13.7	6.04
Isaiah Rider	48	47	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.02	13	7	6	17.2	13.9	3.32	18.5	16.5	2.00
Walt Williams	55	55	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.11	16	4	12	15.4	16.2	-0.87	16.4	19.7	-3.24
Damon Stoudamire	50	49	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.08	8	12	-4	16.8	14.2	2.63	18.8	16.1	2.67
Rasheed Wallace	43	42	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.17	3	17	-14	13.7	17.7	-4.01	16.9	18.3	-1.37
Arvydas Sabonis	44	45	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.12	12	8	4	16.6	14.8	1.80	17.8	17.4	0.36
Greg Anthony	34	34	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.11	10	10	0	13.9	16.9	-3.03	16.1	18.6	-2.56
Stacey Augmon	32	31	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.03	4	16	-12	16.2	15.4	0.87	19.7	16.4	3.24
Jim Jackson	39	39	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.11	7	13	-6	13.9	17.2	-3.32	16.5	18.5	-2.00
Jermaine O'Neal	15	14	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	18	-16	15.3	15.8	-0.53	14.6	18.2	-3.62
Carlos Rogers	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	19	-18	19.5	15.5	3.98	17.7	17.6	0.15
Kelvin Cato	15	15	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.04	-2	22	-24	13.5	16.2	-2.70	13.6	18.5	-4.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.8,0.7,0.78,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 56, MIN 73	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.87,0.81,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
ATL 92, TOR 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.7,0.64,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
DEN 99, GSW 114	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.67,0.69,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.77,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.78,0.83,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%