NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	71		Excitement	3.3 [1133]		MVP	John Salmons (PHI): +9.5%
Philadelphia 76ers	86		Comeback	1.0 [1199]		LVP	LeBron James (CLE): -11.9%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ira Newble	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lee Nailon	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	6	43%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kedrick Brown	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.08	0.00	0.08	3	117%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dajuan Wagner	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	6	42%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	18	39%	-0.04	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Ollie	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	0.04	4	55%	-0.03	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
LeBron James	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.15	-0.01	-0.04	13	46%	-0.03	5	-0.09	9	56%	-0.03

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Salmons	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.12	0.01	0.04	13	73%	0.12	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.01	11	55%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	-0.03	7	50%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zendon Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	11	48%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Amal McCaskill	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	17	46%	-0.02	2	-0.03	7	71%	-0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	6	36%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	2.4	32.8	15.6	21.5	2.3	24.5	122.2
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +36.2%

PHI +2.2%

PHI +13.0%

PHI +2.2%

CLE -3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	PHI	NBA	CLE	PHI	NBA
this game	17.1	20.3	15.7	92.2	111.7	100.5
season	15.7	16.2		99.8	96.7
opponent	15.8	15.5		99.5	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	17.5	16.3	17.7	17.1	17.1
PHI	16.8	20.5	22.3	21.9	20.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kedrick Brown	11	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.24	8	-23	31	15.9	17.3	-1.44	26.8	19.3	7.52
Ira Newble	42	43	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.11	1	-16	17	15.9	18.7	-2.83	23.4	16.3	7.10
DeSagana Diop	9	8	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.19	-9	-6	-3	16.1	17.3	-1.17	13.9	21.0	-7.13
Kevin Ollie	33	33	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.09	-1	-14	13	15.8	18.1	-2.32	21.5	19.3	2.20
Lee Nailon	27	29	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.06	-6	-9	3	16.7	17.4	-0.62	20.3	20.2	0.03
Tony Battie	26	27	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.19	2	-17	19	16.7	17.4	-0.74	26.2	17.0	9.18
Dajuan Wagner	32	30	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.05	-12	-3	-9	18.6	16.1	2.48	16.2	22.8	-6.60
Eric Williams	36	36	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.09	-15	0	-15	18.2	16.2	2.08	18.5	21.8	-3.36
Carlos Boozer	59	58	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.13	-8	-7	-1	16.9	17.8	-0.83	20.3	20.2	0.14
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	56	56	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.11	-11	-4	-7	17.4	16.4	1.05	18.9	23.9	-4.95
LeBron James	54	55	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.18	-24	9	-33	18.1	14.8	3.30	18.6	24.5	-5.94

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Snow	71	70	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.13	23	-8	31	20.0	23.7	-3.69	17.2	16.6	0.63
Aaron McKie	58	58	0.53	-0.03	0.57	-0.05	20	-5	25	19.6	22.2	-2.52	17.4	16.5	0.89
Samuel Dalembert	61	63	0.53	-0.03	0.57	-0.05	20	-5	25	19.7	22.5	-2.83	17.4	16.1	1.31
Kenny Thomas	74	74	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.03	15	0	15	20.5	14.3	6.17	17.0	21.7	-4.71
John Salmons	51	51	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.14	9	6	3	21.1	18.6	2.48	17.1	17.2	-0.07
Kyle Korver	29	29	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.09	0	15	-15	19.0	21.0	-2.02	17.2	17.1	0.16
Amal McCaskill	3	3	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.04	0	15	-15	14.3	20.5	-6.17	21.7	17.0	4.71
Willie Green	16	17	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.07	-3	18	-21	20.1	20.3	-0.17	17.3	17.1	0.19
Zendon Hamilton	16	14	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.11	-5	20	-25	22.5	19.7	2.83	16.1	17.4	-1.31
Greg Buckner	6	6	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	19	-23	29.0	19.5	9.48	13.7	17.4	-3.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.69,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.86,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.91,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 92, TOR 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.7,0.64,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
LAC 77, GSW 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.61,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
MIA 80, LAC 89	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.5,0.56,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.65,0.71,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.82,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.8,0.84,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	96.2%