inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 80 Excitement3.9 [1006] MVPEric Piatkowski (LAC): +9.1%
Los Angeles Clippers 89 Comeback1.0 [807] LVPCaron Butler (MIA): -15.3%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Travis Best0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.000.01-0.021145%0.0300.0000%0.00
Eddie House0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.01-0.001155%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Rasual Butler-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.00540%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Anthony Carter-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.01425%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Sean Lampley-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.070.00-0.04410%-0.0300.00250%-0.00
Eddie Jones-0.030,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.05-0.01-0.02650%0.033-0.0700%0.00
LaPhonso Ellis-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Mike James-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.010.021145%-0.041-0.0000%0.00
Malik Allen-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.01-0.010.041346%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Brian Grant-0.040,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.00665%0.013-0.05520%-0.05
Vladimir Stepania-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.12-0.00-0.02522%-0.1000.00825%-0.06
Caron Butler-0.150,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.16-0.01-0.021127%-0.131-0.02875%-0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Eric Piatkowski0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.040.03-0.021356%0.0900.00667%-0.00
Wang Zhi-zhi0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.010.001100%0.0300.0000%0.00
Chris Wilcox0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Marko Jaric0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.020.01-0.03736%0.0200.0000%0.00
Melvin Ely0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.01250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Elton Brand0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.01-0.021566%0.116-0.11887%0.03
Cherokee Parks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.02125%-0.0100.00250%-0.00
Keyon Dooling0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.070.00-0.05639%-0.021-0.00683%-0.00
Sean Rooks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.01743%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Andre Miller0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.05-0.00-0.02954%0.023-0.05683%0.00
Quentin Richardson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.110.01-0.061231%-0.022-0.032100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.81.830.516.423.22.533.5134.7
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAC +36.9%
LAC +14.1%
MIA -3.1%
MIA -2.4%
LAC +4.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIALACNBAMIALACNBA
this game16.616.315.592.0101.1101.6
season16.315.494.6100.2
opponent15.415.9104.3100.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA14.716.920.815.116.6
LAC12.518.216.219.116.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Sean Lampley1414-0.01-0.490.49-0.217-162312.717.4-4.6716.116.3-0.17
LaPhonso Ellis77-0.03-0.470.450.00-1-8717.616.51.0224.615.69.00
Anthony Carter1616-0.06-0.440.38-0.060-9913.117.4-4.3716.116.3-0.19
Rasual Butler2423-0.06-0.440.38-0.215-141916.016.9-0.8719.215.33.91
Vladimir Stepania4342-0.13-0.370.25-0.275-141915.917.4-1.4818.514.34.19
Eddie Jones4245-0.16-0.340.17-0.02-5-4-118.514.93.6615.217.4-2.22
Mike James4847-0.23-0.270.03-0.292-111314.619.1-4.4317.814.63.18
Travis Best3941-0.27-0.23-0.030.06-112-1319.114.64.4314.617.8-3.18
Eddie House3129-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.01-112-1315.817.1-1.2318.015.42.61
Brian Grant6366-0.34-0.16-0.19-0.23-4-5115.818.8-3.0415.119.8-4.71
Caron Butler4749-0.38-0.12-0.260.03-145-1918.214.83.3515.017.9-2.94
Malik Allen6161-0.500.00-0.500.03-189-2717.913.64.3015.119.0-3.86

Los Angeles Clippers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Elton Brand81800.450.050.400.2281716.118.1-2.0217.29.67.68
Eric Piatkowski51520.420.080.34-0.0215-62115.816.9-1.1017.615.22.40
Andre Miller59580.380.120.250.0810-11115.817.3-1.5816.716.50.17
Sean Rooks45450.320.180.150.0690917.714.82.9217.515.71.87
Marko Jaric63610.280.220.060.1645-115.318.7-3.3516.117.8-1.62
Quentin Richardson50500.250.25-0.010.2509-917.215.12.0316.516.8-0.31
Keyon Dooling41400.180.32-0.140.24-211-1318.014.83.2116.217.0-0.80
Wang Zhi-zhi880.130.37-0.240.0145-116.516.30.2415.716.7-0.97
Melvin Ely19180.090.41-0.31-0.0245-112.517.3-4.7918.116.31.79
Cherokee Parks13130.010.49-0.480.16-514-1915.416.4-1.0612.417.4-4.99
Chris Wilcox1010-0.010.51-0.510.05-211-1319.315.93.4011.317.3-6.02


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.5,0.56,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.65,0.71,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.82,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.8,0.84,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 72, LAL 1110.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.75,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.4%
BOS 99, DEN 1120.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.2%
CLE 71, PHI 860.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.69,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.86,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.91,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.2%