NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	101		Excitement	5.2 [785]		MVP	Pau Gasol (SAS): +10.3%
LA Clippers	106		Comeback	1.4 [600]		LVP	Jonathon Simmons (SAS): -14.2%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1	0.08	0.02	-0.00	12	66%	0.13	2	-0.03	8	100%	0.03
David Lee	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	8	62%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.01	0.01	5	80%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bryn Forbes	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dejounte Murray	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Patty Mills	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	5	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	13	38%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	0.02	-0.02	0.08	19	55%	0.01	4	-0.10	11	91%	0.02
Tony Parker	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	8	12%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathon Simmons	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.13	-0.03	-0.01	10	27%	-0.07	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09	0.09	-0.06	0.05	-0.11	11	35%	0.07	2	0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.02	0.00	11	68%	0.14	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
JJ Redick	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	7	69%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	5	70%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	9	65%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	6	69%	0.07	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.01	10	61%	0.03	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	9	61%	0.07	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.01	9	36%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.3	2.7	33.0	17.7	29.2	3.4	30.7	148.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +42.8%

LAC +0.6%

SAS -3.9%

LAC +10.3%

LAC +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	LAC	NBA	SAS	LAC	NBA
this game	14.2	14.3	14.8	101.0	103.9	107.7
season	15.4	15.0		110.1	110.8
opponent	14.8	14.8		106.6	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	11.8	15.9	16.1	13.3	14.2
LAC	15.8	13.6	13.4	14.4	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryn Forbes	7	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-9	13	5.9	14.8	-8.98	5.6	14.9	-9.38
Patty Mills	33	32	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.20	2	-7	9	15.8	13.4	2.45	15.9	13.6	2.33
Dejounte Murray	19	20	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.18	1	-6	7	9.8	15.2	-5.39	13.4	14.5	-1.12
Dewayne Dedmon	31	30	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-2	-1	14.8	13.9	0.91	14.9	14.0	0.89
Danny Green	62	62	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.22	1	-6	7	15.3	12.4	2.97	14.3	14.2	0.09
Kyle Anderson	29	29	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.17	-1	-4	3	11.8	15.2	-3.45	13.8	14.5	-0.67
David Lee	33	33	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.09	-4	-1	-3	14.5	14.1	0.46	15.0	14.0	1.07
Tony Parker	57	59	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.07	-6	1	-7	14.5	13.8	0.78	14.7	13.8	0.89
Pau Gasol	68	70	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.28	1	-6	7	13.9	14.8	-0.84	13.7	15.6	-1.92
LaMarcus Aldridge	47	49	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.01	-9	4	-13	14.7	13.7	1.01	14.0	14.6	-0.58
Kawhi Leonard	69	71	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.10	-8	3	-11	14.7	13.1	1.57	15.0	12.8	2.20
Jonathon Simmons	45	48	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.26	-3	-2	-1	14.2	14.2	-0.02	14.0	14.6	-0.61

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marreese Speights	61	60	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.25	9	-4	13	13.9	14.9	-1.04	14.6	13.6	1.06
Wesley Johnson	60	57	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.15	10	-5	15	14.8	13.5	1.29	13.0	15.9	-2.90
Raymond Felton	48	47	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.34	1	4	-3	14.6	14.1	0.53	14.4	14.0	0.37
JJ Redick	44	42	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.06	12	-7	19	13.9	14.6	-0.73	14.4	14.1	0.34
Austin Rivers	54	53	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.38	-5	10	-15	14.7	13.9	0.81	13.9	14.5	-0.61
Jamal Crawford	58	59	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.38	-5	10	-15	14.2	14.4	-0.22	13.9	14.6	-0.72
Chris Paul	50	49	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.02	6	-1	7	14.0	14.6	-0.52	14.6	13.9	0.67
DeAndre Jordan	55	54	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.15	-1	6	-7	14.4	14.1	0.29	14.4	14.0	0.31
Luc Mbah a Moute	31	32	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.09	0	5	-5	13.2	14.8	-1.60	15.6	13.6	1.99
Brandon Bass	26	25	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.07	-1	6	-7	14.5	14.2	0.31	14.5	14.1	0.36
Paul Pierce	23	22	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.01	-1	6	-7	15.1	14.1	1.01	13.6	14.4	-0.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.49,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.79,0.78,0.83,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.77,0.85,0.76,0.74,0.74,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.81,0.7,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 95, CLE 111	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.73,0.72,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.82,0.84,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.6%
NJN 64, MIA 85	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.74,0.72,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
IND 71, BOS 85	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.82,0.82,0.9,0.86,0.79,0.79,0.75,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.86,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	94.9%