inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Jersey Nets 64 Excitement4.7 [881] MVPWang Zhi-zhi (MIA): +6.1%
Miami Heat 85 Comeback1.1 [1166] LVPJason Kidd (NJN): -31.7%


New Jersey Nets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Aaron Williams0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.030.01-0.04557%0.072-0.05450%0.02
Brian Scalabrine0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.03-0.010.00462%0.0100.0000%0.00
Zoran Planinic0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Brandon Armstrong0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Robert Pack0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.010100%0.0010.002100%0.00
Rodney Rogers-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.00150%-0.0000.002100%0.01
Lucious Harris-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.0040%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Jason Collins-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.09-0.00-0.0130%-0.032-0.0400%0.00
Kerry Kittles-0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.09-0.01-0.021231%-0.061-0.022100%0.01
Richard Jefferson-0.090,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.01-0.011444%-0.023-0.074100%0.02
Kenyon Martin-0.120,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.08-0.030.01952%-0.052-0.061362%-0.04
Jason Kidd-0.320,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.27,-0.25,-0.25,-0.29,-0.29,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32-0.27-0.07-0.021922%-0.165-0.1520%-0.05

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Wang Zhi-zhi0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.01-0.02679%0.102-0.042100%0.01
Eddie Jones0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.00-0.011264%0.082-0.024100%0.01
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.07-0.000.054100%0.051-0.032100%0.00
Rafer Alston0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.02-0.000.021159%0.042-0.0400%0.00
Rasual Butler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Bimbo Coles00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Malik Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.02-0.01950%0.042-0.05475%-0.00
Brian Grant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.0030%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Caron Butler0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.040.000.021142%-0.031-0.022100%0.00
Lamar Odom0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.17-0.02-0.021536%-0.055-0.11367%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.12.029.216.426.02.528.3127.6
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +45.2%
NJN -2.0%
MIA +2.9%
MIA +5.2%
NJN -1.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNJNMIANBANJNMIANBA
this game14.017.215.768.193.4100.5
season15.316.298.199.3
opponent15.916.298.895.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NJN16.713.511.114.814.0
MIA16.014.820.218.117.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Zoran Planinic450.00-0.500.500.06-2-191710.014.1-4.1318.017.20.81
Brandon Armstrong450.00-0.500.500.06-2-191710.014.1-4.1318.017.20.81
Robert Pack450.00-0.500.500.06-2-191710.014.1-4.1318.017.20.81
Jason Collins4443-0.09-0.410.33-0.090-212113.514.3-0.8217.716.90.80
Rodney Rogers910-0.11-0.390.280.04-5-161115.613.81.7717.017.3-0.26
Brian Scalabrine2626-0.14-0.360.23-0.02-4-171311.814.8-3.0220.915.85.12
Lucious Harris1213-0.16-0.340.190.05-7-14717.813.44.4415.817.5-1.62
Richard Jefferson7772-0.23-0.270.050.10-11-10-113.814.9-1.1317.217.4-0.24
Jason Kidd8277-0.39-0.11-0.280.02-14-7-713.517.2-3.7717.714.53.23
Aaron Williams5048-0.41-0.09-0.330.20-210-2114.313.50.8216.917.7-0.80
Kenyon Martin8380-0.43-0.07-0.350.01-15-6-914.212.22.0116.720.8-4.08
Kerry Kittles7571-0.560.06-0.610.09-221-2315.09.85.2216.121.3-5.22

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rafer Alston87900.500.000.50-0.122102117.119.7-2.6414.110.04.13
Eddie Jones74780.440.060.37-0.061741316.022.6-6.6614.312.12.21
Lamar Odom80830.420.080.33-0.141921717.415.61.8114.112.71.39
Caron Butler70750.360.140.22-0.171831517.117.7-0.6314.412.32.12
Wang Zhi-zhi24210.260.240.03-0.061110115.517.9-2.4113.614.1-0.50
Malik Allen40380.250.250.000.05714-718.616.12.5312.814.7-1.96
Brian Grant39430.150.35-0.200.03417-1316.817.5-0.7214.613.51.11
Udonis Haslem33350.120.38-0.26-0.06615-919.515.93.6313.114.5-1.43
Rasual Butler430.000.50-0.50-0.06219-1719.717.12.648.314.1-5.81
Bimbo Coles440.000.50-0.500.00021-2119.717.12.6410.014.1-4.13


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.74,0.72,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 91, DET 1080.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.76,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.76,0.82,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.3%
SAC 132, GSW 1400.5,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.69,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.8,0.83,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.91,0.86,0.85,0.78,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,195.0%
SAS 101, LAC 1060.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.49,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.79,0.78,0.83,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.77,0.85,0.76,0.74,0.74,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.81,0.7,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,195.0%