NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	91		Excitement	4.1 [945]		MVP	Terry Mills (DET): +19.9%
Detroit Pistons	108		Comeback	1.2 [417]		LVP	Michael Jordan (CHI): -9.0%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scottie Pippen	0.04	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	-0.01	-0.02	19	52%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Dickey Simpkins	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	3	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Steve Kerr	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.08	-0.01	0.06	4	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	12	50%	0.02	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.00
Bison Dele	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	9	56%	0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Matt Steigenga	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	2	17%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Ron Harper	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Longley	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	13	38%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Michael Jordan	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	16	50%	0.01	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.02

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Mills	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.23	0.04	0.07	16	85%	0.22	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.02	-0.05	23	52%	0.08	2	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Joe Dumars	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.01	10	48%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	3	57%	0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Litterial Green	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Don Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Otis Thorpe	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	13	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	10	45%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.6	25.3	17.7	29.2	2.4	30.6	132.8
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +30.3%

DET +6.4%

CHI -1.5%

DET +11.4%

DET +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	DET	NBA	CHI	DET	NBA
this game	16.0	16.9	15.6	104.6	122.7	104.4
season	15.5	17.1		110.5	107.6
opponent	16.2	16.1		102.0	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.7	15.9	16.4	16.2	16.0
DET	16.3	16.1	15.7	19.8	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ron Harper	31	32	0.22	-0.72	0.94	-0.19	14	-31	45	15.6	16.3	-0.71	19.2	15.5	3.68
Matt Steigenga	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-18	19	12.2	16.3	-4.07	28.5	16.0	12.48
Dickey Simpkins	19	21	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-17	17	16.3	16.0	0.36	19.7	16.0	3.67
Bison Dele	31	31	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.04	-5	-12	7	17.0	15.5	1.45	14.8	18.0	-3.14
Scottie Pippen	71	71	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.05	-10	-7	-3	15.5	18.6	-3.10	16.6	17.9	-1.25
Luc Longley	47	48	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.05	-9	-8	-1	16.0	16.1	-0.17	16.6	17.2	-0.64
Jason Caffey	62	61	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.06	-13	-4	-9	15.9	16.3	-0.34	15.9	19.1	-3.28
Jud Buechler	37	37	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.08	-16	-1	-15	17.1	15.2	1.87	17.6	16.4	1.20
Michael Jordan	72	72	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.08	-19	2	-21	16.3	14.7	1.57	16.0	20.9	-4.89
Steve Kerr	60	61	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	0.10	-28	11	-39	15.9	16.4	-0.54	16.7	17.2	-0.50

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terry Mills	71	70	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.15	25	-8	33	16.1	20.2	-4.09	16.9	12.5	4.36
Grant Hill	78	79	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.01	18	-1	19	16.7	18.3	-1.61	16.4	12.4	4.03
Joe Dumars	74	73	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.08	19	-2	21	16.8	17.1	-0.32	16.8	12.1	4.72
Lindsey Hunter	71	71	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.02	13	4	9	16.9	16.6	0.36	16.1	15.7	0.35
Otis Thorpe	57	58	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.04	11	6	5	15.9	18.6	-2.63	15.7	16.7	-0.98
Michael Curry	25	24	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.12	-2	19	-21	18.6	16.2	2.41	14.5	16.6	-2.06
Theo Ratliff	39	39	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	14	-11	16.3	17.3	-1.06	16.3	15.8	0.54
Aaron McKie	16	15	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.09	-2	19	-21	20.0	16.2	3.82	13.8	16.5	-2.70
Jerome Williams	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	17	-17	22.7	16.7	6.00	4.0	16.3	-12.32
Litterial Green	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	17	-17	22.7	16.7	6.00	4.0	16.3	-12.32
Don Reid	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	17	-17	22.7	16.7	6.00	4.0	16.3	-12.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.76,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.76,0.82,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 73, MIA 83	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.83,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.77,0.8,0.68,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.86,0.95,0.95,0.99,1,0.99,1,1	95.5%
ORL 82, WAS 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.73,0.7,0.72,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.87,0.81,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.9,0.91,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
NJN 64, MIA 85	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.74,0.72,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%